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Forex

FX Evening Briefing — Tue 20 Oct 2026: GBP/USD Closes Higher 0.51% — Asian Session Preview

MarketsFN FX Desk

•10 min read
FX Evening Briefing — Tue 20 Oct 2026: GBP/USD Closes Higher 0.51% — Asian Session Preview

Evening wrap-up for Tuesday 20 October 2026: as European markets close and the US session enters its final hours, G10 and emerging FX markets are closing with 10 pairs higher and 9 lower on the day. The standout movers are GBP/USD (+0.51%), USD/CAD (-0.44%), NZD/USD (+0.41%). End-of-day flows — institutional rebalancing, month-end positioning and any late US data surprises — are the main drivers for tonight's Asian handoff.

This evening briefing includes the full day's economic calendar with all released actuals, final intraday pivot levels, and updated candlestick charts for all 19 pairs. Pivot levels will reset at tomorrow's EU open based on today's completed daily bars.

All pivot levels (R1 R2 R3 / S1 S2 S3) are computed from yesterday's full-session OHLC. Asian session key levels and carry trade dynamics are highlighted in each pair's analysis below.

Today's Economic Calendar — Full Day Results

Time (UTC)EventCCYPreviousForecastActual
01:00● China Loan Prime Rate 5Y (Oct)CNY3.50%3.50%3.50%
01:00● PBoC Loan Prime RateCNY3.00%3.00%3.00%
06:00● Average Earnings Index +Bonus (Aug)GBP3.9%3.8%3.7%
06:00● Claimant Count Change (Sep)GBP7.0K19.4K30.3K
06:00● Employment Change 3M/3M (MoM) (Aug)GBP67K20K102K
06:00● Unemployment Rate (Aug)GBP4.9%4.9%4.7%
06:00● German PPI (MoM) (Sep)EUR1.1%1.5%1.9%
09:00● German ZEW Current Conditions (Oct)EUR-47.1-45.0-35.9
09:00● German ZEW Economic Sentiment (Oct)EUR34.730.228.1
09:00● ZEW Economic Sentiment (Oct)EUR25.823.618.5
12:15● ADP Employment Change WeeklyUSD24.80K—18.50K
12:30● Building Permits (Sep)USD1.403M1.390M1.400M
12:30● Housing Starts (Sep)USD1.288M1.300M1.221M
12:30● Housing Starts (MoM) (Sep)USD-5.9%1.9%-5.2%
14:00● Pending Home Sales (MoM) (Sep)USD0.3%-0.7%-7.3%
14:30● Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3)USD3.6%3.6%3.5%
20:30● API Weekly Crude Oil StockUSD-11.120M-1.300M—
23:50● Adjusted Trade BalanceJPY-0.84T-0.26T—
23:50● Exports (YoY) (Sep)JPY19.3%20.1%—
23:50● Trade Balance (Sep)JPY-1,111.9B-181.0B—

Major Pairs

EUR/USD

1.1236 ▲0.23% Day H 1.1260 / L 1.1204 52W 1.1112–1.2082

EUR/USD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
1.12911.12631.12361.11821.11541.1127

End-of-day snapshot for EUR/USD: closing at 1.1236 (+0.23% on the day), just 1.11% above its 52-week floor at 1.1112. Today's full-session range of 1.1204–1.1260 (0.0056 points). The daily close above the pivot (1.1208) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 1.1236 / R2 1.1263 / R3 1.1291 on the upside and S1 1.1182 / S2 1.1154 / S3 1.1127 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

EUR/USD finishes the day the annual support is under watch — a close below would reset the technical outlook bearish. The 52-week range of 1.1112–1.2082 places the pair at the 13th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

EUR/USDRangeboundNear 52W Low

GBP/USD

1.3371 ▲0.51% Day H 1.3409 / L 1.3297 52W 1.3009–1.3868

GBP/USD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
1.33731.33571.33301.32871.32711.3244

End-of-day snapshot for GBP/USD: closing at 1.3371 (+0.51% on the day), at the 42th percentile of its 1.3009–1.3868 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 1.3297–1.3409 (0.0112 points). The daily close above the pivot (1.3314) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 1.3330 / R2 1.3357 / R3 1.3373 on the upside and S1 1.3287 / S2 1.3271 / S3 1.3244 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

GBP/USD finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 1.3009–1.3868 places the pair at the 42th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

GBP/USDBullishAbove R1

USD/JPY

158.22 ▼0.15% Day H 158.60 / L 157.82 52W 152.04–163.98

USD/JPY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
159.63159.09158.77157.92157.38157.07

End-of-day snapshot for USD/JPY: closing at 158.22 (-0.15% on the day), at the 52th percentile of its 152.04–163.98 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 157.82–158.60 (0.78 points). The daily close below the pivot (158.23) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 158.77 / R2 159.09 / R3 159.63 on the upside and S1 157.92 / S2 157.38 / S3 157.07 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/JPY finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 152.04–163.98 places the pair at the 52th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/JPYRangebound

USD/CHF

0.8260 ▼0.06% Day H 0.8269 / L 0.8222 52W 0.7602–0.8395

USD/CHF candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
0.83180.82940.82790.82410.82170.8202

End-of-day snapshot for USD/CHF: closing at 0.8260 (-0.06% on the day), at the 83th percentile of its 0.7602–0.8395 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 0.8222–0.8269 (0.0048 points). The daily close above the pivot (0.8255) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 0.8279 / R2 0.8294 / R3 0.8318 on the upside and S1 0.8241 / S2 0.8217 / S3 0.8202 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/CHF finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 0.7602–0.8395 places the pair at the 83th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/CHFRangebound

AUD/USD

0.7000 ▲0.32% Day H 0.7017 / L 0.6970 52W 0.6421–0.7277

AUD/USD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
0.70400.70160.69970.69550.69310.6912

End-of-day snapshot for AUD/USD: closing at 0.7000 (+0.32% on the day), at the 68th percentile of its 0.6421–0.7277 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 0.6970–0.7017 (0.0047 points). The daily close above the pivot (0.6974) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 0.6997 / R2 0.7016 / R3 0.7040 on the upside and S1 0.6955 / S2 0.6931 / S3 0.6912 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

AUD/USD finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 0.6421–0.7277 places the pair at the 68th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

AUD/USDBullishAbove R1

NZD/USD

0.5683 ▲0.41% Day H 0.5698 / L 0.5654 52W 0.5564–0.6092

NZD/USD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
0.56990.56860.56730.56470.56350.5622

End-of-day snapshot for NZD/USD: closing at 0.5683 (+0.41% on the day), at the 23th percentile of its 0.5564–0.6092 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 0.5654–0.5698 (0.0044 points). The daily close above the pivot (0.5661) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 0.5673 / R2 0.5686 / R3 0.5699 on the upside and S1 0.5647 / S2 0.5635 / S3 0.5622 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

NZD/USD finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 0.5564–0.6092 places the pair at the 23th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

NZD/USDBullishAbove R1

USD/CAD

1.4047 ▼0.44% Day H 1.4108 / L 1.4031 52W 1.3480–1.4299

USD/CAD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
1.42011.41671.41381.40751.40411.4012

End-of-day snapshot for USD/CAD: closing at 1.4047 (-0.44% on the day), at the 69th percentile of its 1.3480–1.4299 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 1.4031–1.4108 (0.0077 points). The daily close below the pivot (1.4104) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 1.4138 / R2 1.4167 / R3 1.4201 on the upside and S1 1.4075 / S2 1.4041 / S3 1.4012 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/CAD finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 1.3480–1.4299 places the pair at the 69th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/CADBearishBelow S1

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Cross Pairs

EUR/GBP

0.8396 ▼0.34% Day H 0.8427 / L 0.8384 52W 0.8384–0.8865

EUR/GBP candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
0.84690.84480.84370.84040.83840.8372

End-of-day snapshot for EUR/GBP: closing at 0.8396 (-0.34% on the day), just 0.14% above its 52-week floor at 0.8384. Today's full-session range of 0.8384–0.8427 (0.0043 points). The daily close below the pivot (0.8416) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 0.8437 / R2 0.8448 / R3 0.8469 on the upside and S1 0.8404 / S2 0.8384 / S3 0.8372 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

EUR/GBP finishes the day the annual support is under watch — a close below would reset the technical outlook bearish. The 52-week range of 0.8384–0.8865 places the pair at the 2th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

EUR/GBPBearishBelow S1Near 52W Low

EUR/JPY

177.51 ▼0.10% Day H 177.91 / L 177.13 52W 175.70–187.94

EUR/JPY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
179.25178.51178.09176.94176.20175.78

End-of-day snapshot for EUR/JPY: closing at 177.51 (-0.10% on the day), just 1.03% above its 52-week floor at 175.70. Today's full-session range of 177.13–177.91 (0.78 points). The daily close above the pivot (177.36) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 178.09 / R2 178.51 / R3 179.25 on the upside and S1 176.94 / S2 176.20 / S3 175.78 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

EUR/JPY finishes the day the annual support is under watch — a close below would reset the technical outlook bearish. The 52-week range of 175.70–187.94 places the pair at the 15th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

EUR/JPYRangeboundNear 52W Low

GBP/JPY

211.58 ▲0.36% Day H 211.61 / L 210.74 52W 199.06–219.60

GBP/JPY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
212.21211.64211.23210.26209.70209.29

End-of-day snapshot for GBP/JPY: closing at 211.58 (+0.36% on the day), at the 61th percentile of its 199.06–219.60 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 210.74–211.61 (0.88 points). The daily close above the pivot (210.67) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 211.23 / R2 211.64 / R3 212.21 on the upside and S1 210.26 / S2 209.70 / S3 209.29 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

GBP/JPY finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 199.06–219.60 places the pair at the 61th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

GBP/JPYBullishAbove R1

AUD/JPY

110.59 ▼0.01% Day H 110.77 / L 110.36 52W 98.82–114.95

AUD/JPY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
111.98111.39110.99110.00109.41109.01

End-of-day snapshot for AUD/JPY: closing at 110.59 (-0.01% on the day), at the 73th percentile of its 98.82–114.95 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 110.36–110.77 (0.41 points). The daily close above the pivot (110.40) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 110.99 / R2 111.39 / R3 111.98 on the upside and S1 110.00 / S2 109.41 / S3 109.01 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

AUD/JPY finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 98.82–114.95 places the pair at the 73th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

AUD/JPYRangebound

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Nordic Pairs

USD/NOK

9.396 ▼0.18% Day H 9.423 / L 9.369 52W 9.144–10.297

USD/NOK candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
9.5019.4779.4459.3899.3659.334

End-of-day snapshot for USD/NOK: closing at 9.396 (-0.18% on the day), at the 22th percentile of its 9.144–10.297 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 9.369–9.423 (0.053 points). The daily close below the pivot (9.421) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 9.445 / R2 9.477 / R3 9.501 on the upside and S1 9.389 / S2 9.365 / S3 9.334 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/NOK finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 9.144–10.297 places the pair at the 22th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/NOKRangebound

USD/SEK

9.888 ▼0.21% Day H 9.924 / L 9.877 52W 8.737–10.105

USD/SEK candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
10.0079.9789.9439.8809.8509.816

End-of-day snapshot for USD/SEK: closing at 9.888 (-0.21% on the day), at the 84th percentile of its 8.737–10.105 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 9.877–9.924 (0.048 points). The daily close below the pivot (9.914) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 9.943 / R2 9.978 / R3 10.007 on the upside and S1 9.880 / S2 9.850 / S3 9.816 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/SEK finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 8.737–10.105 places the pair at the 84th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/SEKRangebound

EUR/NOK

10.557 ▲0.06% Day H 10.567 / L 10.514 52W 10.514–12.012

EUR/NOK candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
10.66010.63310.59210.52310.49610.455

End-of-day snapshot for EUR/NOK: closing at 10.557 (+0.06% on the day), just 0.41% above its 52-week floor at 10.514. Today's full-session range of 10.514–10.567 (0.053 points). The daily close below the pivot (10.565) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 10.592 / R2 10.633 / R3 10.660 on the upside and S1 10.523 / S2 10.496 / S3 10.455 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

EUR/NOK finishes the day the annual support is under watch — a close below would reset the technical outlook bearish. The 52-week range of 10.514–12.012 places the pair at the 3th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

EUR/NOKRangeboundNear 52W Low

NOK/SEK

1.0519 ▲0.32% Day H 1.0569 / L 1.0365 52W 0.9064–1.0569

NOK/SEK candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
1.06261.05801.05331.04391.03921.0345

End-of-day snapshot for NOK/SEK: closing at 1.0519 (+0.32% on the day), just 0.48% below its 52-week high of 1.0569. Today's full-session range of 1.0365–1.0569 (0.0203 points). The daily close above the pivot (1.0486) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 1.0533 / R2 1.0580 / R3 1.0626 on the upside and S1 1.0439 / S2 1.0392 / S3 1.0345 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

NOK/SEK finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 0.9064–1.0569 places the pair at the 97th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

NOK/SEKBullishNear 52W High

Exotic Pairs

USD/TRY

49.575 ▲0.27% Day H 49.577 / L 49.441 52W 41.825–49.577

USD/TRY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
49.68649.62249.53249.37849.31449.223

End-of-day snapshot for USD/TRY: closing at 49.575 (+0.27% on the day), just 0.00% below its 52-week high of 49.577. Today's full-session range of 49.441–49.577 (0.135 points). The daily close above the pivot (49.468) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 49.532 / R2 49.622 / R3 49.686 on the upside and S1 49.378 / S2 49.314 / S3 49.223 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/TRY finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 41.825–49.577 places the pair at the 100th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/TRYRangeboundAbove R1Near 52W High

USD/MXN

18.469 ▲0.28% Day H 18.517 / L 18.372 52W 16.855–18.768

USD/MXN candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
18.65218.60018.50918.36518.31418.222

End-of-day snapshot for USD/MXN: closing at 18.469 (+0.28% on the day), at the 84th percentile of its 16.855–18.768 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 18.372–18.517 (0.145 points). The daily close above the pivot (18.457) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 18.509 / R2 18.600 / R3 18.652 on the upside and S1 18.365 / S2 18.314 / S3 18.222 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/MXN finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 16.855–18.768 places the pair at the 84th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/MXNRangebound

USD/ZAR

16.42 ▲0.08% Day H 16.48 / L 16.38 52W 15.64–17.57

USD/ZAR candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
16.5416.5216.4616.3816.3616.30

End-of-day snapshot for USD/ZAR: closing at 16.42 (+0.08% on the day), at the 41th percentile of its 15.64–17.57 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 16.38–16.48 (0.10 points). The daily close below the pivot (16.44) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 16.46 / R2 16.52 / R3 16.54 on the upside and S1 16.38 / S2 16.36 / S3 16.30 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/ZAR finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 15.64–17.57 places the pair at the 41th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/ZARRangebound

USD/PLN

3.8855 ▼0.25% Day H 3.9047 / L 3.8853 52W 3.4750–3.9350

USD/PLN candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
3.92533.91653.90593.88663.87783.8673

End-of-day snapshot for USD/PLN: closing at 3.8855 (-0.25% on the day), just 1.27% below its 52-week high of 3.9350. Today's full-session range of 3.8853–3.9047 (0.0194 points). The daily close below the pivot (3.8972) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 3.9059 / R2 3.9165 / R3 3.9253 on the upside and S1 3.8866 / S2 3.8778 / S3 3.8673 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/PLN finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 3.4750–3.9350 places the pair at the 89th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/PLNRangeboundBelow S1Near 52W High

Informational purposes only — not investment advice. Pivot levels computed from yesterday's session OHLC via standard floor-pivot formula. Prices sourced from MetaTrader 5 as of Tuesday 20 October 2026 evening (20:30 CET). Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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