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Economics

10-Year Yield Hits 52-Week High at 4.83% as Curve Holds Positive

MarketsFN Data Team

•4 min read
10-Year Yield Hits 52-Week High at 4.83% as Curve Holds Positive
Fixed Income · Treasury Yields · Weekly Close

The 10-year Treasury yield rose 4 bps this week to 4.83%, marking a 52-week high, while the 2Y-10Y spread held positive at 39 bps, signaling persistent economic expansion expectations.

The 10-year yield climbed 4 bps this week to settle at 4.83%, its highest level in 52 weeks. It now sits 22 bps above its 3-month average and 52 bps above its 1-year average, reflecting a steady upward trend from last year’s low of 3.97%.

The 2Y-10Y spread narrowed slightly by 1 bp this week to +39 bps, remaining in positive territory. While well below its 52-week high of +74 bps, the still-steep curve suggests markets anticipate continued growth rather than near-term recession risks, historically a bullish signal for the economy.

36-month yield spread chart
Fig. 2 — 2Y–10Y Treasury spread over 36 months. Green fill = normal curve; red fill = inverted (recession warning signal). Grey shading marks NBER-defined recessions where applicable.

Next week, traders will eye August retail sales and industrial production data for growth clues, alongside Fed speakers for hints on rate-cut timing. Any dovish shift could temper yields, while strong data may push them higher.

Key Statistics at a Glance

EditionWeekly Close
DateFriday, September 11, 2026
10Y Yield4.83%
10Y Day-on-day▲ 3.0 bps
10Y Week-on-week▲ 4.0 bps
10Y YTD change+64.0 bps
10Y 3-month avg4.61%
10Y 1-year avg4.31%
10Y 52-week high4.83%
10Y 52-week low3.97%
2Y Yield4.43%
2Y–10Y Spread+0.390% (+39.0 bps)
Spread WoW▼ 1.0 bps
Spread 52-week high+0.740%
Spread 52-week low+0.270%
Curve signalPositive
Data: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED) · Series: DGS10, DGS2, T10Y2Y, USREC · Daily, business days only · Source: US Treasury / Federal Reserve.
#US Treasuries#Bond Market#Yield Curve#Interest Rates#10-Year Treasury#2-Year Treasury#2Y10Y Spread#Federal Reserve#Fixed Income#FRED

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