FX Evening Briefing — Mon 26 Oct 2026: USD/MXN Closes Lower 0.39% — Asian Session Preview
MarketsFN FX Desk
Evening wrap-up for Monday 26 October 2026: as European markets close and the US session enters its final hours, G10 and emerging FX markets are closing with 13 pairs higher and 6 lower on the day. The standout movers are USD/MXN (-0.39%), USD/JPY (+0.38%), USD/TRY (+0.33%). End-of-day flows — institutional rebalancing, month-end positioning and any late US data surprises — are the main drivers for tonight's Asian handoff.
This evening briefing includes the full day's economic calendar with all released actuals, final intraday pivot levels, and updated candlestick charts for all 19 pairs. Pivot levels will reset at tomorrow's EU open based on today's completed daily bars.
All pivot levels (R1 R2 R3 / S1 S2 S3) are computed from yesterday's full-session OHLC. Asian session key levels and carry trade dynamics are highlighted in each pair's analysis below.
Today's Economic Calendar — Full Day Results
| Time (UTC) | Event | CCY | Previous | Forecast | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | ● ECB's Elderson Speaks | EUR | — | — | — |
| 09:00 | ● German Business Expectations (Oct) | EUR | 90.4 | 90.0 | 91.6 |
| 09:00 | ● German Current Assessment (Oct) | EUR | 89.5 | 89.9 | 88.8 |
| 09:00 | ● German Ifo Business Climate Index (Oct) | EUR | 89.9 | 90.0 | 90.2 |
| 17:00 | ● 2-Year Note Auction | USD | 4.787% | — | 4.708% |
Major Pairs
EUR/USD
1.1180 ▼0.19% Day H 1.1226 / L 1.1173 52W 1.1112–1.2082
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1265 | 1.1246 | 1.1223 | 1.1181 | 1.1161 | 1.1139 |
End-of-day snapshot for EUR/USD: closing at 1.1180 (-0.19% on the day), just 0.61% above its 52-week floor at 1.1112. Today's full-session range of 1.1173–1.1226 (0.0053 points). The daily close below the pivot (1.1204) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 1.1223 / R2 1.1246 / R3 1.1265 on the upside and S1 1.1181 / S2 1.1161 / S3 1.1139 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
EUR/USD finishes the day the annual support is under watch — a close below would reset the technical outlook bearish. The 52-week range of 1.1112–1.2082 places the pair at the 7th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
EUR/USDRangeboundBelow S1Near 52W Low
GBP/USD
1.3356 ▼0.11% Day H 1.3387 / L 1.3327 52W 1.3009–1.3868
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3444 | 1.3426 | 1.3398 | 1.3351 | 1.3333 | 1.3305 |
End-of-day snapshot for GBP/USD: closing at 1.3356 (-0.11% on the day), at the 40th percentile of its 1.3009–1.3868 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 1.3327–1.3387 (0.0060 points). The daily close below the pivot (1.3379) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 1.3398 / R2 1.3426 / R3 1.3444 on the upside and S1 1.3351 / S2 1.3333 / S3 1.3305 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
GBP/USD finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 1.3009–1.3868 places the pair at the 40th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
GBP/USDRangebound
USD/JPY
157.40 ▲0.38% Day H 157.64 / L 156.65 52W 152.04–163.98
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 158.37 | 157.76 | 157.28 | 156.20 | 155.60 | 155.12 |
End-of-day snapshot for USD/JPY: closing at 157.40 (+0.38% on the day), at the 45th percentile of its 152.04–163.98 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 156.65–157.64 (0.99 points). The daily close above the pivot (156.68) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 157.28 / R2 157.76 / R3 158.37 on the upside and S1 156.20 / S2 155.60 / S3 155.12 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
USD/JPY finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 152.04–163.98 places the pair at the 45th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
USD/JPYBullishAbove R1
USD/CHF
0.8266 ▲0.22% Day H 0.8277 / L 0.8231 52W 0.7602–0.8395
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8337 | 0.8296 | 0.8272 | 0.8208 | 0.8167 | 0.8144 |
End-of-day snapshot for USD/CHF: closing at 0.8266 (+0.22% on the day), at the 84th percentile of its 0.7602–0.8395 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 0.8231–0.8277 (0.0045 points). The daily close above the pivot (0.8232) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 0.8272 / R2 0.8296 / R3 0.8337 on the upside and S1 0.8208 / S2 0.8167 / S3 0.8144 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
USD/CHF finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 0.7602–0.8395 places the pair at the 84th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
USD/CHFRangebound
AUD/USD
0.7025 ▼0.10% Day H 0.7039 / L 0.7012 52W 0.6421–0.7277
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7079 | 0.7059 | 0.7045 | 0.7012 | 0.6991 | 0.6978 |
End-of-day snapshot for AUD/USD: closing at 0.7025 (-0.10% on the day), at the 71th percentile of its 0.6421–0.7277 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 0.7012–0.7039 (0.0028 points). The daily close below the pivot (0.7025) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 0.7045 / R2 0.7059 / R3 0.7079 on the upside and S1 0.7012 / S2 0.6991 / S3 0.6978 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
AUD/USD finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 0.6421–0.7277 places the pair at the 71th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
AUD/USDRangebound
NZD/USD
0.5687 ▼0.19% Day H 0.5706 / L 0.5669 52W 0.5564–0.6092
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5739 | 0.5721 | 0.5709 | 0.5680 | 0.5662 | 0.5650 |
End-of-day snapshot for NZD/USD: closing at 0.5687 (-0.19% on the day), at the 23th percentile of its 0.5564–0.6092 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 0.5669–0.5706 (0.0037 points). The daily close below the pivot (0.5692) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 0.5709 / R2 0.5721 / R3 0.5739 on the upside and S1 0.5680 / S2 0.5662 / S3 0.5650 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
NZD/USD finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 0.5564–0.6092 places the pair at the 23th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
NZD/USDRangebound
USD/CAD
1.4046 ▲0.26% Day H 1.4055 / L 1.3998 52W 1.3480–1.4299
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4080 | 1.4049 | 1.4030 | 1.3979 | 1.3948 | 1.3929 |
End-of-day snapshot for USD/CAD: closing at 1.4046 (+0.26% on the day), at the 69th percentile of its 1.3480–1.4299 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 1.3998–1.4055 (0.0057 points). The daily close above the pivot (1.3999) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 1.4030 / R2 1.4049 / R3 1.4080 on the upside and S1 1.3979 / S2 1.3948 / S3 1.3929 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
USD/CAD finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 1.3480–1.4299 places the pair at the 69th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
USD/CADRangeboundAbove R1
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EUR/GBP
0.8376 ▲0.02% Day H 0.8401 / L 0.8372 52W 0.8361–0.8865
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8398 | 0.8388 | 0.8381 | 0.8364 | 0.8354 | 0.8348 |
End-of-day snapshot for EUR/GBP: closing at 0.8376 (+0.02% on the day), just 0.18% above its 52-week floor at 0.8361. Today's full-session range of 0.8372–0.8401 (0.0030 points). The daily close above the pivot (0.8371) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 0.8381 / R2 0.8388 / R3 0.8398 on the upside and S1 0.8364 / S2 0.8354 / S3 0.8348 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
EUR/GBP finishes the day the annual support is under watch — a close below would reset the technical outlook bearish. The 52-week range of 0.8361–0.8865 places the pair at the 3th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
EUR/GBPRangeboundNear 52W Low
EUR/JPY
176.14 ▲0.27% Day H 176.43 / L 175.74 52W 175.09–187.94
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 177.36 | 176.79 | 176.23 | 175.10 | 174.53 | 173.98 |
End-of-day snapshot for EUR/JPY: closing at 176.14 (+0.27% on the day), just 0.60% above its 52-week floor at 175.09. Today's full-session range of 175.74–176.43 (0.69 points). The daily close above the pivot (175.66) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 176.23 / R2 176.79 / R3 177.36 on the upside and S1 175.10 / S2 174.53 / S3 173.98 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
EUR/JPY finishes the day the annual support is under watch — a close below would reset the technical outlook bearish. The 52-week range of 175.09–187.94 places the pair at the 8th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
EUR/JPYRangeboundNear 52W Low
GBP/JPY
210.18 ▲0.22% Day H 210.38 / L 209.64 52W 199.06–219.60
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211.79 | 211.13 | 210.43 | 209.06 | 208.40 | 207.70 |
End-of-day snapshot for GBP/JPY: closing at 210.18 (+0.22% on the day), at the 54th percentile of its 199.06–219.60 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 209.64–210.38 (0.73 points). The daily close above the pivot (209.77) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 210.43 / R2 211.13 / R3 211.79 on the upside and S1 209.06 / S2 208.40 / S3 207.70 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
GBP/JPY finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 199.06–219.60 places the pair at the 54th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
GBP/JPYRangebound
AUD/JPY
110.49 ▲0.17% Day H 110.75 / L 110.08 52W 98.82–114.95
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111.62 | 111.03 | 110.67 | 109.71 | 109.12 | 108.76 |
End-of-day snapshot for AUD/JPY: closing at 110.49 (+0.17% on the day), at the 72th percentile of its 98.82–114.95 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 110.08–110.75 (0.68 points). The daily close above the pivot (110.08) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 110.67 / R2 111.03 / R3 111.62 on the upside and S1 109.71 / S2 109.12 / S3 108.76 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
AUD/JPY finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 98.82–114.95 places the pair at the 72th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
AUD/JPYRangebound
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USD/NOK
9.328 ▲0.09% Day H 9.350 / L 9.268 52W 9.144–10.297
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.462 | 9.412 | 9.366 | 9.270 | 9.220 | 9.173 |
End-of-day snapshot for USD/NOK: closing at 9.328 (+0.09% on the day), at the 16th percentile of its 9.144–10.297 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 9.268–9.350 (0.082 points). The daily close above the pivot (9.316) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 9.366 / R2 9.412 / R3 9.462 on the upside and S1 9.270 / S2 9.220 / S3 9.173 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
USD/NOK finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 9.144–10.297 places the pair at the 16th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
USD/NOKRangebound
USD/SEK
9.954 ▲0.28% Day H 9.975 / L 9.859 52W 8.737–10.105
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.021 | 9.984 | 9.955 | 9.889 | 9.852 | 9.823 |
End-of-day snapshot for USD/SEK: closing at 9.954 (+0.28% on the day), at the 89th percentile of its 8.737–10.105 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 9.859–9.975 (0.116 points). The daily close above the pivot (9.918) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 9.955 / R2 9.984 / R3 10.021 on the upside and S1 9.889 / S2 9.852 / S3 9.823 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
USD/SEK finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 8.737–10.105 places the pair at the 89th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
USD/SEKRangebound
EUR/NOK
10.432 ▼0.09% Day H 10.480 / L 10.401 52W 10.401–12.012
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.537 | 10.506 | 10.474 | 10.410 | 10.379 | 10.346 |
End-of-day snapshot for EUR/NOK: closing at 10.432 (-0.09% on the day), just 0.30% above its 52-week floor at 10.401. Today's full-session range of 10.401–10.480 (0.079 points). The daily close below the pivot (10.442) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 10.474 / R2 10.506 / R3 10.537 on the upside and S1 10.410 / S2 10.379 / S3 10.346 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
EUR/NOK finishes the day the annual support is under watch — a close below would reset the technical outlook bearish. The 52-week range of 10.401–12.012 places the pair at the 2th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
EUR/NOKRangeboundNear 52W Low
NOK/SEK
1.0666 ▲0.24% Day H 1.0672 / L 1.0591 52W 0.9064–1.0672
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0782 | 1.0721 | 1.0680 | 1.0579 | 1.0518 | 1.0478 |
End-of-day snapshot for NOK/SEK: closing at 1.0666 (+0.24% on the day), just 0.06% below its 52-week high of 1.0672. Today's full-session range of 1.0591–1.0672 (0.0082 points). The daily close above the pivot (1.0619) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 1.0680 / R2 1.0721 / R3 1.0782 on the upside and S1 1.0579 / S2 1.0518 / S3 1.0478 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
NOK/SEK finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 0.9064–1.0672 places the pair at the 100th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
NOK/SEKRangeboundNear 52W High
Exotic Pairs
USD/TRY
49.760 ▲0.33% Day H 49.821 / L 49.639 52W 41.870–49.821
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.988 | 49.862 | 49.729 | 49.470 | 49.345 | 49.211 |
End-of-day snapshot for USD/TRY: closing at 49.760 (+0.33% on the day), just 0.12% below its 52-week high of 49.821. Today's full-session range of 49.639–49.821 (0.182 points). The daily close above the pivot (49.603) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 49.729 / R2 49.862 / R3 49.988 on the upside and S1 49.470 / S2 49.345 / S3 49.211 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
USD/TRY finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 41.870–49.821 places the pair at the 99th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
USD/TRYBullishAbove R1Near 52W High
USD/MXN
18.579 ▼0.39% Day H 18.758 / L 18.558 52W 16.855–18.856
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.924 | 18.865 | 18.759 | 18.593 | 18.534 | 18.427 |
End-of-day snapshot for USD/MXN: closing at 18.579 (-0.39% on the day), just 1.49% below its 52-week high of 18.856. Today's full-session range of 18.558–18.758 (0.200 points). The daily close below the pivot (18.699) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 18.759 / R2 18.865 / R3 18.924 on the upside and S1 18.593 / S2 18.534 / S3 18.427 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
USD/MXN finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 16.855–18.856 places the pair at the 86th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
USD/MXNBearishBelow S1Near 52W High
USD/ZAR
16.63 ▲0.30% Day H 16.69 / L 16.53 52W 15.64–17.57
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.80 | 16.71 | 16.65 | 16.49 | 16.40 | 16.34 |
End-of-day snapshot for USD/ZAR: closing at 16.63 (+0.30% on the day), at the 51th percentile of its 15.64–17.57 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 16.53–16.69 (0.16 points). The daily close above the pivot (16.56) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 16.65 / R2 16.71 / R3 16.80 on the upside and S1 16.49 / S2 16.40 / S3 16.34 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
USD/ZAR finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 15.64–17.57 places the pair at the 51th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
USD/ZARRangebound
USD/PLN
3.9377 ▲0.22% Day H 3.9415 / L 3.9033 52W 3.4750–3.9415
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.9909 | 3.9621 | 3.9455 | 3.9002 | 3.8714 | 3.8548 |
End-of-day snapshot for USD/PLN: closing at 3.9377 (+0.22% on the day), just 0.09% below its 52-week high of 3.9415. Today's full-session range of 3.9033–3.9415 (0.0382 points). The daily close above the pivot (3.9168) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 3.9455 / R2 3.9621 / R3 3.9909 on the upside and S1 3.9002 / S2 3.8714 / S3 3.8548 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
USD/PLN finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 3.4750–3.9415 places the pair at the 99th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
USD/PLNRangeboundNear 52W High
Informational purposes only — not investment advice. Pivot levels computed from yesterday's session OHLC via standard floor-pivot formula. Prices sourced from MetaTrader 5 as of Monday 26 October 2026 evening (20:30 CET). Past performance is not indicative of future results.
