US Pre-Market Briefing | October 30, 2026
Market Commentary
U.S. equity futures are mixed in early trading as tech weakness offsets broader resilience, with Nasdaq 100 futures down 0.48% while Dow futures edge 0.13% higher. The divergence follows Amazon’s 7% premarket drop and Intel’s 25% plunge after disappointing earnings, dragging chipmakers and big tech lower. Meanwhile, stronger-than-expected Q3 GDP growth of 3.4% and rising inflation are reinforcing expectations of a hawkish Fed pause, keeping Treasury yields elevated.
European markets are under pressure after France slipped into contraction with Q3 GDP at -0.1%, missing forecasts, while the ECB held rates steady at 2.5%. The euro zone’s slowdown contrasts with U.S. economic momentum, though today’s Chicago PMI (forecast: 55.8) will test manufacturing resilience. Energy stocks are rallying as Big Oil capitalizes on a $56 billion refining windfall, with Exxon expanding its Mozambique gas stake.
Political uncertainty lingers ahead of next week’s midterms, with Wall Street pricing potential Democratic gains. AI remains a focal point after Musk and Zuckerberg aligned with Trump’s “super intelligence” rebranding push, though bank earnings show Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan dominating the sector’s financialization. Copper markets face fresh scrutiny as Codelco dismisses more staff over inventory discrepancies.
Today’s session hinges on Fed messaging, with FOMC’s Daly speaking midday, while ECB’s Lane may address Europe’s stagflation risks. With no major earnings, tech wreckage and election jitters could dominate flows unless macro data surprises.
US Index Futures
| Future | Price | Change (%) |
|---|
| S&P 500 Futures | 7,668.50 | -0.12% |
| Nasdaq 100 Futures | 28,793.25 | -0.48% |
| Dow Jones Futures | 52,480.00 | +0.13% |
| Russell 2000 Futures | 2,849.40 | -0.25% |
Economic Data Released Today
| Time | Cur | Imp | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|
| 02:30 | EU | Med | French Consumer Spending (MoM) (Sep) | -0.5% | 0.1% | -0.5% |
| 02:30 | EU | Med | French GDP (QoQ) (Q3) | -0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 02:30 | EU | Med | French GDP (YoY) (Q3) | -0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| 03:00 | GB | Med | Nationwide HPI (MoM) (Oct) | 0.0% | -0.2% | -0.3% |
| 03:00 | GB | Med | Nationwide HPI (YoY) (Oct) | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% |
| 03:45 | EU | Med | French CPI (MoM) (Oct) | 0.4% | 0.2% | -0.3% |
| 03:45 | EU | Med | French HICP (MoM) (Oct) | 0.4% | 0.3% | -0.3% |
| 04:55 | EU | Med | German Unemployment Change (Oct) | 4K | 5K | 12K |
| 04:55 | EU | Med | German Unemployment Rate (Oct) | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% |
| 05:00 | EU | Med | German GDP (YoY) (Q3) | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| 05:00 | EU | High | German GDP (QoQ) (Q3) | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 06:00 | EU | Med | GDP (YoY) (Q3) | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% |
| 06:00 | EU | Med | GDP (QoQ) (Q3) | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% |
| 06:00 | EU | Med | Unemployment Rate (Sep) | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% |
| 08:00 | BRL | Med | Unemployment Rate (Sep) | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% |
| 08:30 | US | Med | Employment Cost Index (QoQ) (Q3) | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% |
| 08:30 | CA | Med | GDP (MoM) (Aug) | 0.0% | | 0.0% |
Upcoming Economic Releases
| Time | Cur | Imp | Event | Forecast | Previous |
|---|
| 02:30 | JP | Med | BoJ Press Conference | | |
| 08:30 | CA | Med | GDP (MoM) (Aug) | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 09:00 | EU | Med | German CPI (YoY) (Oct) | 3.0% | 3.3% |
| 09:00 | EU | High | German CPI (MoM) (Oct) | 0.1% | 0.6% |
| 09:45 | US | High | Chicago PMI (Oct) | 55.8 | 58.8 |
| 12:00 | US | Med | FOMC Member Daly Speaks | | |
| 12:10 | EU | Med | ECB's Lane Speaks | | |
| 13:00 | US | Med | U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count | | 460 |
| 13:00 | US | Med | U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count | | 603 |
| 15:30 | GB | Med | CFTC GBP speculative net positions | | -80.4K |
| 15:30 | US | Med | CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions | | 89.3K |
| 15:30 | US | Med | CFTC Gold speculative net positions | | 199.9K |
| 15:30 | US | Med | CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions | | 50.7K |
| 15:30 | US | Med | CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions | | -142.7K |
| 15:30 | AU | Med | CFTC AUD speculative net positions | | -127.3K |
| 15:30 | BRL | Med | CFTC BRL speculative net positions | | 32.5K |
| 15:30 | JP | Med | CFTC JPY speculative net positions | | 69.9K |
| 15:30 | EU | Med | CFTC EUR speculative net positions | | -134.5K |
| 21:30 | CN | Med | Chinese Composite PMI (Oct) | | 50.7 |
| 21:30 | CN | High | Manufacturing PMI (Oct) | 50.1 | 50.1 |
| 21:30 | CN | Med | Non-Manufacturing PMI (Oct) | 50.5 | 50.2 |
Earnings Today
No earnings reported today.
FX Snapshot
| Pair | Price | Change (%) |
|---|
| EUR/USD | 1.12 | +0.04% |
| GBP/USD | 1.34 | +0.34% |
| USD/JPY | 157.09 | -0.45% |
| USD/CHF | 0.82 | -0.26% |
| AUD/USD | 0.70 | +0.11% |
| USD/CAD | 1.40 | -0.21% |
Gold, Oil and Gas
| Commodity | Price | Change (%) |
|---|
| Gold | 3,977.20 | -0.66% |
| Silver | 50.22 | -2.19% |
| WTI Crude | 104.11 | +0.87% |
| Brent Oil | 113.27 | +1.03% |
| Natural Gas | 2.89 | -0.14% |
Crypto
| Crypto | Price | Change (%) |
|---|
| Bitcoin | $77,350.99 | -0.58% |
| Ethereum | $2,231.45 | -0.81% |
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