FX Morning Briefing — Mon 28 Sep 2026: USD/PLN Rallies 0.46% as European Session Opens

European markets open on Monday 28 September 2026 with G10 FX showing mixed signals as the Asian session wraps up and traders position for Friday's US afternoon data. The top movers overnight are USD/PLN (+0.46%), USD/ZAR (+0.41%), USD/CHF (+0.29%). The US Dollar Index (DXY) reflects accumulated Fed rate-cut expectations, with risk-sensitive currencies responding to equity futures and commodity prices in early London trade.

The European morning calendar is light — German and Spanish CPI finals confirm the disinflationary trend — before the key risk event arrives in the US session: University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September) at 16:00 UTC. A beat would support USD broadly; a miss would renew pressure on USD/JPY near its 2026 floor and push EUR/USD back toward its 52-week high. Norges Bank's hawkish hold continues to anchor NOK outperformance, while exotic pairs trade in tight ranges ahead of the weekly close.

All 19 pairs below include live MT5 pivot levels (R1 R2 R3 / S1 S2 S3) computed from Thursday's full-session OHLC, 65-day candlestick charts with SMA20, SMA50 and Bollinger Bands (20,2), and forward-looking analysis for the EU and US sessions on Mon 28 Sep 2026.

Today's Economic Calendar

Time (UTC)	Event	CCY	Previous	Forecast	Actual
09:30	● ECB's Elderson Speaks	EUR	—	—	—
10:00	● MPC Member Ramsden Speaks	GBP	—	—	—
12:15	● FOMC Member Bowman Speaks	USD	—	—	—
13:30	● ECB President Lagarde Speaks	EUR	—	—	—

Major Pairs

EUR/USD

1.1380 ▼0.09% Session H 1.1391 / L 1.1371 52W 1.1324–1.2082

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
1.1454	1.1432	1.1411	1.1368	1.1347	1.1326

EUR/USD opens the European session at 1.1380 (-0.09% vs. Thursday's close), just 0.49% above its 52-week floor at 1.1324. The intraday bias remains neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 1.1390. The 52-week range of 1.1324–1.2082 places EUR/USD at the 7th percentile — the annual support is the key line in the sand — hold or break determines the next directional leg.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 1.1411 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (1.1432) and R3 (1.1454). On the downside, S1 at 1.1368 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (1.1347) then S3 (1.1326). The R1–S1 corridor (1.1411–1.1368) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For EUR/USD, a weekly close below S1 would reinforce the corrective bias into next week.

EUR/USDRangeboundNear 52W Low

GBP/USD

1.3261 ▲0.13% Session H 1.3261 / L 1.3223 52W 1.3009–1.3868

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
1.3323	1.3293	1.3268	1.3214	1.3184	1.3159

GBP/USD opens the European session at 1.3261 (+0.13% vs. Thursday's close), at the 29th percentile of its 1.3009–1.3868 52-week range. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 1.3238. The 52-week range of 1.3009–1.3868 places GBP/USD at the 29th percentile — price remains in the lower half of its annual range, reflecting structural headwinds.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 1.3268 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (1.3293) and R3 (1.3323). On the downside, S1 at 1.3214 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (1.3184) then S3 (1.3159). The R1–S1 corridor (1.3268–1.3214) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For GBP/USD, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

GBP/USDRangebound

USD/JPY

157.54 ▲0.17% Session H 157.85 / L 157.18 52W 149.37–163.98

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
160.46	159.68	158.48	156.50	155.73	154.52

USD/JPY opens the European session at 157.54 (+0.17% vs. Thursday's close), at the 56th percentile of its 149.37–163.98 52-week range. The intraday bias remains neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 157.71. The 52-week range of 149.37–163.98 places USD/JPY at the 56th percentile — momentum is broadly constructive within the annual range.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 158.48 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (159.68) and R3 (160.46). On the downside, S1 at 156.50 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (155.73) then S3 (154.52). The R1–S1 corridor (158.48–156.50) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/JPY, a weekly close below S1 would reinforce the corrective bias into next week.

USD/JPYRangebound

USD/CHF

0.8305 ▲0.29% Session H 0.8314 / L 0.8277 52W 0.7602–0.8314

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
0.8324	0.8311	0.8295	0.8267	0.8254	0.8239

USD/CHF opens the European session at 0.8305 (+0.29% vs. Thursday's close), just 0.12% below its 52-week high of 0.8314. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 0.8282. The 52-week range of 0.7602–0.8314 places USD/CHF at the 99th percentile — upside momentum is intact; a break above the 52W high would signal trend extension.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 0.8295 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (0.8311) and R3 (0.8324). On the downside, S1 at 0.8267 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (0.8254) then S3 (0.8239). The R1–S1 corridor (0.8295–0.8267) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/CHF, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

USD/CHFRangeboundAbove R1Near 52W High

AUD/USD

0.7017 ▼0.06% Session H 0.7029 / L 0.7005 52W 0.6421–0.7277

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
0.7080	0.7061	0.7041	0.7002	0.6984	0.6964

AUD/USD opens the European session at 0.7017 (-0.06% vs. Thursday's close), at the 70th percentile of its 0.6421–0.7277 52-week range. The intraday bias remains neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 0.7022. The 52-week range of 0.6421–0.7277 places AUD/USD at the 70th percentile — momentum is broadly constructive within the annual range.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 0.7041 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (0.7061) and R3 (0.7080). On the downside, S1 at 0.7002 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (0.6984) then S3 (0.6964). The R1–S1 corridor (0.7041–0.7002) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For AUD/USD, a weekly close below S1 would reinforce the corrective bias into next week.

AUD/USDRangebound

NZD/USD

0.5663 ▲0.05% Session H 0.5673 / L 0.5648 52W 0.5576–0.6092

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
0.5702	0.5689	0.5675	0.5648	0.5635	0.5621

NZD/USD opens the European session at 0.5663 (+0.05% vs. Thursday's close), at the 17th percentile of its 0.5576–0.6092 52-week range. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 0.5662. The 52-week range of 0.5576–0.6092 places NZD/USD at the 17th percentile — price remains in the lower half of its annual range, reflecting structural headwinds.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 0.5675 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (0.5689) and R3 (0.5702). On the downside, S1 at 0.5648 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (0.5635) then S3 (0.5621). The R1–S1 corridor (0.5675–0.5648) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For NZD/USD, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

NZD/USDRangebound

USD/CAD

1.4158 ▲0.13% Session H 1.4163 / L 1.4138 52W 1.3480–1.4247

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
1.4176	1.4165	1.4152	1.4128	1.4117	1.4104

USD/CAD opens the European session at 1.4158 (+0.13% vs. Thursday's close), just 0.63% below its 52-week high of 1.4247. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 1.4141. The 52-week range of 1.3480–1.4247 places USD/CAD at the 88th percentile — upside momentum is intact; a break above the 52W high would signal trend extension.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 1.4152 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (1.4165) and R3 (1.4176). On the downside, S1 at 1.4128 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (1.4117) then S3 (1.4104). The R1–S1 corridor (1.4152–1.4128) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/CAD, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

USD/CADRangeboundAbove R1Near 52W High

Cross Pairs

EUR/GBP

0.8574 ▲0.14% Session H 0.8575 / L 0.8558 52W 0.8454–0.8865

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
0.8586	0.8576	0.8569	0.8552	0.8543	0.8536

EUR/GBP opens the European session at 0.8574 (+0.14% vs. Thursday's close), just 1.42% above its 52-week floor at 0.8454. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 0.8559. The 52-week range of 0.8454–0.8865 places EUR/GBP at the 29th percentile — the annual support is the key line in the sand — hold or break determines the next directional leg.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 0.8569 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (0.8576) and R3 (0.8586). On the downside, S1 at 0.8552 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (0.8543) then S3 (0.8536). The R1–S1 corridor (0.8569–0.8552) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For EUR/GBP, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

EUR/GBPRangeboundAbove R1Near 52W Low

EUR/JPY

179.08 ▲0.05% Session H 179.34 / L 178.75 52W 172.26–187.94

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
180.34	179.73	179.36	178.37	177.76	177.39

EUR/JPY opens the European session at 179.08 (+0.05% vs. Thursday's close), at the 44th percentile of its 172.26–187.94 52-week range. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 178.74. The 52-week range of 172.26–187.94 places EUR/JPY at the 44th percentile — price remains in the lower half of its annual range, reflecting structural headwinds.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 179.36 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (179.73) and R3 (180.34). On the downside, S1 at 178.37 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (177.76) then S3 (177.39). The R1–S1 corridor (179.36–178.37) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For EUR/JPY, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

EUR/JPYRangebound

GBP/JPY

208.85 ▼0.06% Session H 209.46 / L 208.56 52W 197.48–219.60

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
210.37	209.79	209.39	208.41	207.83	207.42

GBP/JPY opens the European session at 208.85 (-0.06% vs. Thursday's close), at the 51th percentile of its 197.48–219.60 52-week range. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 208.81. The 52-week range of 197.48–219.60 places GBP/JPY at the 51th percentile — momentum is broadly constructive within the annual range.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 209.39 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (209.79) and R3 (210.37). On the downside, S1 at 208.41 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (207.83) then S3 (207.42). The R1–S1 corridor (209.39–208.41) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For GBP/JPY, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

GBP/JPYRangebound

AUD/JPY

110.67 ▲0.08% Session H 110.79 / L 110.46 52W 96.25–114.95

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
111.43	111.04	110.81	110.20	109.81	109.58

AUD/JPY opens the European session at 110.67 (+0.08% vs. Thursday's close), at the 77th percentile of its 96.25–114.95 52-week range. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 110.42. The 52-week range of 96.25–114.95 places AUD/JPY at the 77th percentile — momentum is broadly constructive within the annual range.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 110.81 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (111.04) and R3 (111.43). On the downside, S1 at 110.20 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (109.81) then S3 (109.58). The R1–S1 corridor (110.81–110.20) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For AUD/JPY, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

AUD/JPYRangebound

Nordic Pairs

USD/NOK

9.350 ▲0.21% Session H 9.358 / L 9.284 52W 9.144–10.297

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
9.409	9.380	9.355	9.301	9.271	9.246

USD/NOK opens the European session at 9.350 (+0.21% vs. Thursday's close), at the 18th percentile of its 9.144–10.297 52-week range. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 9.325. The 52-week range of 9.144–10.297 places USD/NOK at the 18th percentile — price remains in the lower half of its annual range, reflecting structural headwinds.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 9.355 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (9.380) and R3 (9.409). On the downside, S1 at 9.301 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (9.271) then S3 (9.246). The R1–S1 corridor (9.355–9.301) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/NOK, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

USD/NOKRangebound

USD/SEK

9.790 ▲0.28% Session H 9.799 / L 9.740 52W 8.737–9.801

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
9.883	9.836	9.799	9.716	9.669	9.632

USD/SEK opens the European session at 9.790 (+0.28% vs. Thursday's close), just 0.11% below its 52-week high of 9.801. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 9.752. The 52-week range of 8.737–9.801 places USD/SEK at the 99th percentile — upside momentum is intact; a break above the 52W high would signal trend extension.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 9.799 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (9.836) and R3 (9.883). On the downside, S1 at 9.716 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (9.669) then S3 (9.632). The R1–S1 corridor (9.799–9.716) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/SEK, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

USD/SEKRangeboundNear 52W High

EUR/NOK

10.784 ▲0.06% Session H 10.798 / L 10.727 52W 10.673–12.012

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
10.860	10.827	10.802	10.745	10.712	10.687

EUR/NOK opens the European session at 10.784 (+0.06% vs. Thursday's close), just 1.05% above its 52-week floor at 10.673. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 10.770. The 52-week range of 10.673–12.012 places EUR/NOK at the 8th percentile — the annual support is the key line in the sand — hold or break determines the next directional leg.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 10.802 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (10.827) and R3 (10.860). On the downside, S1 at 10.745 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (10.712) then S3 (10.687). The R1–S1 corridor (10.802–10.745) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For EUR/NOK, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

EUR/NOKRangeboundNear 52W Low

NOK/SEK

1.0465 ▲0.09% Session H 1.0475 / L 1.0403 52W 0.9064–1.0491

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
1.0583	1.0528	1.0492	1.0401	1.0346	1.0310

NOK/SEK opens the European session at 1.0465 (+0.09% vs. Thursday's close), just 0.25% below its 52-week high of 1.0491. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 1.0437. The 52-week range of 0.9064–1.0491 places NOK/SEK at the 98th percentile — upside momentum is intact; a break above the 52W high would signal trend extension.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 1.0492 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (1.0528) and R3 (1.0583). On the downside, S1 at 1.0401 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (1.0346) then S3 (1.0310). The R1–S1 corridor (1.0492–1.0401) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For NOK/SEK, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

NOK/SEKRangeboundNear 52W High

Exotic Pairs

USD/TRY

48.656 ▲0.17% Session H 48.658 / L 48.556 52W 41.151–48.658

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
48.776	48.707	48.641	48.506	48.437	48.371

USD/TRY opens the European session at 48.656 (+0.17% vs. Thursday's close), just 0.00% below its 52-week high of 48.658. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 48.572. The 52-week range of 41.151–48.658 places USD/TRY at the 100th percentile — upside momentum is intact; a break above the 52W high would signal trend extension.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 48.641 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (48.707) and R3 (48.776). On the downside, S1 at 48.506 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (48.437) then S3 (48.371). The R1–S1 corridor (48.641–48.506) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/TRY, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

USD/TRYRangeboundAbove R1Near 52W High

USD/MXN

17.157 ▲0.08% Session H 17.157 / L 17.106 52W 16.855–18.768

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
17.269	17.229	17.186	17.103	17.063	17.020

USD/MXN opens the European session at 17.157 (+0.08% vs. Thursday's close), at the 16th percentile of its 16.855–18.768 52-week range. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 17.146. The 52-week range of 16.855–18.768 places USD/MXN at the 16th percentile — price remains in the lower half of its annual range, reflecting structural headwinds.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 17.186 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (17.229) and R3 (17.269). On the downside, S1 at 17.103 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (17.063) then S3 (17.020). The R1–S1 corridor (17.186–17.103) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/MXN, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

USD/MXNRangebound

USD/ZAR

16.30 ▲0.41% Session H 16.30 / L 16.21 52W 15.64–17.57

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
16.45	16.40	16.31	16.18	16.13	16.05

USD/ZAR opens the European session at 16.30 (+0.41% vs. Thursday's close), at the 34th percentile of its 15.64–17.57 52-week range. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 16.26. The 52-week range of 15.64–17.57 places USD/ZAR at the 34th percentile — price remains in the lower half of its annual range, reflecting structural headwinds.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 16.31 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (16.40) and R3 (16.45). On the downside, S1 at 16.18 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (16.13) then S3 (16.05). The R1–S1 corridor (16.31–16.18) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/ZAR, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

USD/ZARBullish

USD/PLN

3.7758 ▲0.46% Session H 3.7760 / L 3.7559 52W 3.4750–3.8127

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
3.7891	3.7793	3.7688	3.7485	3.7388	3.7283

USD/PLN opens the European session at 3.7758 (+0.46% vs. Thursday's close), just 0.98% below its 52-week high of 3.8127. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 3.7590. The 52-week range of 3.4750–3.8127 places USD/PLN at the 89th percentile — upside momentum is intact; a break above the 52W high would signal trend extension.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 3.7688 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (3.7793) and R3 (3.7891). On the downside, S1 at 3.7485 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (3.7388) then S3 (3.7283). The R1–S1 corridor (3.7688–3.7485) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/PLN, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

USD/PLNBullishAbove R1Near 52W High

Informational purposes only — not investment advice. Pivot levels computed from Thursday's session OHLC via standard floor-pivot formula. Data sourced from MetaTrader 5 as of Monday 28 September 2026 EU open. Past performance is not indicative of future results.