FX Evening Briefing — Mon 28 Sep 2026: USD/MXN Closes Higher 0.76% — Asian Session Preview
MarketsFN FX Desk
Evening wrap-up for Monday 28 September 2026: as European markets close and the US session enters its final hours, G10 and emerging FX markets are closing with 13 pairs higher and 6 lower on the day. The standout movers are USD/MXN (+0.76%), USD/ZAR (+0.65%), USD/CHF (+0.45%). End-of-day flows — institutional rebalancing, month-end positioning and any late US data surprises — are the main drivers for tonight's Asian handoff.
This evening briefing includes the full day's economic calendar with all released actuals, final intraday pivot levels, and updated candlestick charts for all 19 pairs. Pivot levels will reset at tomorrow's EU open based on today's completed daily bars.
All pivot levels (R1 R2 R3 / S1 S2 S3) are computed from yesterday's full-session OHLC. Asian session key levels and carry trade dynamics are highlighted in each pair's analysis below.
Today's Economic Calendar — Full Day Results
| Time (UTC) | Event | CCY | Previous | Forecast | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:30 | ● ECB's Elderson Speaks | EUR | — | — | — |
| 10:00 | ● MPC Member Ramsden Speaks | GBP | — | — | — |
| 12:15 | ● FOMC Member Bowman Speaks | USD | — | — | — |
| 13:30 | ● ECB President Lagarde Speaks | EUR | — | — | — |
Major Pairs
EUR/USD
1.1373 ▼0.15% Day H 1.1391 / L 1.1353 52W 1.1324–1.2082
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1454 | 1.1432 | 1.1411 | 1.1368 | 1.1347 | 1.1326 |
End-of-day snapshot for EUR/USD: closing at 1.1373 (-0.15% on the day), just 0.43% above its 52-week floor at 1.1324. Today's full-session range of 1.1353–1.1391 (0.0038 points). The daily close below the pivot (1.1390) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 1.1411 / R2 1.1432 / R3 1.1454 on the upside and S1 1.1368 / S2 1.1347 / S3 1.1326 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
EUR/USD finishes the day the annual support is under watch — a close below would reset the technical outlook bearish. The 52-week range of 1.1324–1.2082 places the pair at the 6th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
EUR/USDRangeboundNear 52W Low
GBP/USD
1.3261 ▲0.13% Day H 1.3279 / L 1.3223 52W 1.3009–1.3868
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3323 | 1.3293 | 1.3268 | 1.3214 | 1.3184 | 1.3159 |
End-of-day snapshot for GBP/USD: closing at 1.3261 (+0.13% on the day), at the 29th percentile of its 1.3009–1.3868 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 1.3223–1.3279 (0.0056 points). The daily close above the pivot (1.3238) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 1.3268 / R2 1.3293 / R3 1.3323 on the upside and S1 1.3214 / S2 1.3184 / S3 1.3159 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
GBP/USD finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 1.3009–1.3868 places the pair at the 29th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
GBP/USDRangebound
USD/JPY
157.20 ▼0.05% Day H 157.85 / L 156.50 52W 149.37–163.98
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160.46 | 159.68 | 158.48 | 156.50 | 155.73 | 154.52 |
End-of-day snapshot for USD/JPY: closing at 157.20 (-0.05% on the day), at the 54th percentile of its 149.37–163.98 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 156.50–157.85 (1.35 points). The daily close below the pivot (157.71) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 158.48 / R2 159.68 / R3 160.46 on the upside and S1 156.50 / S2 155.73 / S3 154.52 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
USD/JPY finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 149.37–163.98 places the pair at the 54th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
USD/JPYRangebound
USD/CHF
0.8318 ▲0.45% Day H 0.8327 / L 0.8277 52W 0.7602–0.8327
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8324 | 0.8311 | 0.8295 | 0.8267 | 0.8254 | 0.8239 |
End-of-day snapshot for USD/CHF: closing at 0.8318 (+0.45% on the day), just 0.11% below its 52-week high of 0.8327. Today's full-session range of 0.8277–0.8327 (0.0050 points). The daily close above the pivot (0.8282) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 0.8295 / R2 0.8311 / R3 0.8324 on the upside and S1 0.8267 / S2 0.8254 / S3 0.8239 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
USD/CHF finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 0.7602–0.8327 places the pair at the 99th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
USD/CHFBullishAbove R1Near 52W High
AUD/USD
0.7025 ▲0.05% Day H 0.7039 / L 0.7005 52W 0.6421–0.7277
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7080 | 0.7061 | 0.7041 | 0.7002 | 0.6984 | 0.6964 |
End-of-day snapshot for AUD/USD: closing at 0.7025 (+0.05% on the day), at the 70th percentile of its 0.6421–0.7277 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 0.7005–0.7039 (0.0034 points). The daily close above the pivot (0.7022) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 0.7041 / R2 0.7061 / R3 0.7080 on the upside and S1 0.7002 / S2 0.6984 / S3 0.6964 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
AUD/USD finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 0.6421–0.7277 places the pair at the 70th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
AUD/USDRangebound
NZD/USD
0.5673 ▲0.23% Day H 0.5686 / L 0.5648 52W 0.5576–0.6092
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5702 | 0.5689 | 0.5675 | 0.5648 | 0.5635 | 0.5621 |
End-of-day snapshot for NZD/USD: closing at 0.5673 (+0.23% on the day), at the 19th percentile of its 0.5576–0.6092 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 0.5648–0.5686 (0.0038 points). The daily close above the pivot (0.5662) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 0.5675 / R2 0.5689 / R3 0.5702 on the upside and S1 0.5648 / S2 0.5635 / S3 0.5621 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
NZD/USD finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 0.5576–0.6092 places the pair at the 19th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
NZD/USDRangebound
USD/CAD
1.4167 ▲0.20% Day H 1.4173 / L 1.4138 52W 1.3480–1.4247
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4176 | 1.4165 | 1.4152 | 1.4128 | 1.4117 | 1.4104 |
End-of-day snapshot for USD/CAD: closing at 1.4167 (+0.20% on the day), just 0.57% below its 52-week high of 1.4247. Today's full-session range of 1.4138–1.4173 (0.0035 points). The daily close above the pivot (1.4141) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 1.4152 / R2 1.4165 / R3 1.4176 on the upside and S1 1.4128 / S2 1.4117 / S3 1.4104 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
USD/CAD finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 1.3480–1.4247 places the pair at the 90th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
USD/CADRangeboundAbove R1Near 52W High
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EUR/GBP
0.8566 ▼0.37% Day H 0.8602 / L 0.8565 52W 0.8454–0.8865
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8621 | 0.8616 | 0.8607 | 0.8593 | 0.8588 | 0.8578 |
End-of-day snapshot for EUR/GBP: closing at 0.8566 (-0.37% on the day), just 1.32% above its 52-week floor at 0.8454. Today's full-session range of 0.8565–0.8602 (0.0037 points). The daily close below the pivot (0.8602) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 0.8607 / R2 0.8616 / R3 0.8621 on the upside and S1 0.8593 / S2 0.8588 / S3 0.8578 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
EUR/GBP finishes the day the annual support is under watch — a close below would reset the technical outlook bearish. The 52-week range of 0.8454–0.8865 places the pair at the 27th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
EUR/GBPBearishBelow S1Near 52W Low
EUR/JPY
178.59 ▼0.28% Day H 179.72 / L 178.19 52W 174.81–187.94
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 182.10 | 181.43 | 180.26 | 178.41 | 177.74 | 176.56 |
End-of-day snapshot for EUR/JPY: closing at 178.59 (-0.28% on the day), at the 29th percentile of its 174.81–187.94 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 178.19–179.72 (1.53 points). The daily close below the pivot (179.58) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 180.26 / R2 181.43 / R3 182.10 on the upside and S1 178.41 / S2 177.74 / S3 176.56 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
EUR/JPY finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 174.81–187.94 places the pair at the 29th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
EUR/JPYRangebound
GBP/JPY
208.46 ▲0.10% Day H 208.98 / L 207.67 52W 199.06–219.60
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211.47 | 210.73 | 209.49 | 207.50 | 206.76 | 205.52 |
End-of-day snapshot for GBP/JPY: closing at 208.46 (+0.10% on the day), at the 46th percentile of its 199.06–219.60 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 207.67–208.98 (1.31 points). The daily close below the pivot (208.74) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 209.49 / R2 210.73 / R3 211.47 on the upside and S1 207.50 / S2 206.76 / S3 205.52 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
GBP/JPY finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 199.06–219.60 places the pair at the 46th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
GBP/JPYRangebound
AUD/JPY
110.41 ▼0.02% Day H 110.88 / L 109.90 52W 96.25–114.95
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112.48 | 112.00 | 111.21 | 109.94 | 109.46 | 108.67 |
End-of-day snapshot for AUD/JPY: closing at 110.41 (-0.02% on the day), at the 76th percentile of its 96.25–114.95 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 109.90–110.88 (0.99 points). The daily close below the pivot (110.73) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 111.21 / R2 112.00 / R3 112.48 on the upside and S1 109.94 / S2 109.46 / S3 108.67 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
AUD/JPY finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 96.25–114.95 places the pair at the 76th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
AUD/JPYRangebound
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USD/NOK
9.517 ▲0.15% Day H 9.528 / L 9.488 52W 9.144–10.297
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.587 | 9.557 | 9.530 | 9.473 | 9.443 | 9.416 |
End-of-day snapshot for USD/NOK: closing at 9.517 (+0.15% on the day), at the 32th percentile of its 9.144–10.297 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 9.488–9.528 (0.039 points). The daily close above the pivot (9.500) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 9.530 / R2 9.557 / R3 9.587 on the upside and S1 9.473 / S2 9.443 / S3 9.416 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
USD/NOK finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 9.144–10.297 places the pair at the 32th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
USD/NOKRangebound
USD/SEK
9.952 ▲0.37% Day H 9.971 / L 9.893 52W 8.737–9.971
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.979 | 9.955 | 9.935 | 9.891 | 9.867 | 9.847 |
End-of-day snapshot for USD/SEK: closing at 9.952 (+0.37% on the day), just 0.19% below its 52-week high of 9.971. Today's full-session range of 9.893–9.971 (0.078 points). The daily close above the pivot (9.911) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 9.935 / R2 9.955 / R3 9.979 on the upside and S1 9.891 / S2 9.867 / S3 9.847 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
USD/SEK finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 8.737–9.971 places the pair at the 98th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
USD/SEKBullishAbove R1Near 52W High
EUR/NOK
10.815 ▼0.11% Day H 10.842 / L 10.791 52W 10.673–12.012
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.944 | 10.899 | 10.863 | 10.782 | 10.737 | 10.701 |
End-of-day snapshot for EUR/NOK: closing at 10.815 (-0.11% on the day), just 1.33% above its 52-week floor at 10.673. Today's full-session range of 10.791–10.842 (0.051 points). The daily close below the pivot (10.818) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 10.863 / R2 10.899 / R3 10.944 on the upside and S1 10.782 / S2 10.737 / S3 10.701 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
EUR/NOK finishes the day the annual support is under watch — a close below would reset the technical outlook bearish. The 52-week range of 10.673–12.012 places the pair at the 11th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
EUR/NOKRangeboundNear 52W Low
NOK/SEK
1.0452 ▲0.30% Day H 1.0491 / L 1.0295 52W 0.9064–1.0491
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0538 | 1.0491 | 1.0456 | 1.0374 | 1.0328 | 1.0292 |
End-of-day snapshot for NOK/SEK: closing at 1.0452 (+0.30% on the day), just 0.38% below its 52-week high of 1.0491. Today's full-session range of 1.0295–1.0491 (0.0196 points). The daily close above the pivot (1.0409) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 1.0456 / R2 1.0491 / R3 1.0538 on the upside and S1 1.0374 / S2 1.0328 / S3 1.0292 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
NOK/SEK finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 0.9064–1.0491 places the pair at the 97th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
NOK/SEKRangeboundNear 52W High
Exotic Pairs
USD/TRY
48.980 ▲0.45% Day H 49.010 / L 48.826 52W 41.415–49.010
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.251 | 49.109 | 48.935 | 48.619 | 48.477 | 48.303 |
End-of-day snapshot for USD/TRY: closing at 48.980 (+0.45% on the day), just 0.06% below its 52-week high of 49.010. Today's full-session range of 48.826–49.010 (0.185 points). The daily close above the pivot (48.793) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 48.935 / R2 49.109 / R3 49.251 on the upside and S1 48.619 / S2 48.477 / S3 48.303 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
USD/TRY finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 41.415–49.010 places the pair at the 100th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
USD/TRYBullishAbove R1Near 52W High
USD/MXN
17.816 ▲0.76% Day H 17.862 / L 17.660 52W 16.855–18.768
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.890 | 17.834 | 17.757 | 17.624 | 17.567 | 17.491 |
End-of-day snapshot for USD/MXN: closing at 17.816 (+0.76% on the day), at the 50th percentile of its 16.855–18.768 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 17.660–17.862 (0.202 points). The daily close above the pivot (17.700) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 17.757 / R2 17.834 / R3 17.890 on the upside and S1 17.624 / S2 17.567 / S3 17.491 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
USD/MXN finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 16.855–18.768 places the pair at the 50th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
USD/MXNBullishAbove R1
USD/ZAR
16.40 ▲0.65% Day H 16.46 / L 16.28 52W 15.64–17.57
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.58 | 16.51 | 16.40 | 16.22 | 16.16 | 16.05 |
End-of-day snapshot for USD/ZAR: closing at 16.40 (+0.65% on the day), at the 39th percentile of its 15.64–17.57 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 16.28–16.46 (0.18 points). The daily close above the pivot (16.33) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 16.40 / R2 16.51 / R3 16.58 on the upside and S1 16.22 / S2 16.16 / S3 16.05 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
USD/ZAR finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 15.64–17.57 places the pair at the 39th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
USD/ZARBullish
USD/PLN
3.8426 ▲0.17% Day H 3.8520 / L 3.8353 52W 3.4750–3.8624
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.8767 | 3.8661 | 3.8510 | 3.8253 | 3.8147 | 3.7995 |
End-of-day snapshot for USD/PLN: closing at 3.8426 (+0.17% on the day), just 0.52% below its 52-week high of 3.8624. Today's full-session range of 3.8353–3.8520 (0.0167 points). The daily close above the pivot (3.8404) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 3.8510 / R2 3.8661 / R3 3.8767 on the upside and S1 3.8253 / S2 3.8147 / S3 3.7995 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
USD/PLN finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 3.4750–3.8624 places the pair at the 95th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
USD/PLNRangeboundNear 52W High
Informational purposes only — not investment advice. Pivot levels computed from yesterday's session OHLC via standard floor-pivot formula. Prices sourced from MetaTrader 5 as of Monday 28 September 2026 evening (20:30 CET). Past performance is not indicative of future results.
