FX Morning Briefing — Tue 22 Sep 2026: NZD/USD Rallies 0.35% as European Session Opens

European markets open on Tuesday 22 September 2026 with G10 FX showing mixed signals as the Asian session wraps up and traders position for Friday's US afternoon data. The top movers overnight are NZD/USD (+0.35%), USD/ZAR (+0.26%), GBP/JPY (+0.24%). The US Dollar Index (DXY) reflects accumulated Fed rate-cut expectations, with risk-sensitive currencies responding to equity futures and commodity prices in early London trade.

The European morning calendar is light — German and Spanish CPI finals confirm the disinflationary trend — before the key risk event arrives in the US session: University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September) at 16:00 UTC. A beat would support USD broadly; a miss would renew pressure on USD/JPY near its 2026 floor and push EUR/USD back toward its 52-week high. Norges Bank's hawkish hold continues to anchor NOK outperformance, while exotic pairs trade in tight ranges ahead of the weekly close.

All 19 pairs below include live MT5 pivot levels (R1 R2 R3 / S1 S2 S3) computed from Thursday's full-session OHLC, 65-day candlestick charts with SMA20, SMA50 and Bollinger Bands (20,2), and forward-looking analysis for the EU and US sessions on Tue 22 Sep 2026.

Today's Economic Calendar

Time (UTC)	Event	CCY	Previous	Forecast	Actual
08:30	● German Buba Balz Speaks	EUR	—	—	—
08:30	● German Buba President Nagel Speaks	EUR	—	—	—
11:00	● ECB President Lagarde Speaks	EUR	—	—	—
12:15	● ADP Employment Change Weekly	USD	16.30K	—	—
14:05	● FOMC Member Williams Speaks	USD	—	—	—
14:10	● German Buba Vice President Buch Speaks	EUR	—	—	—
17:00	● 2-Year Note Auction	USD	4.315%	—	—
19:30	● German Buba President Nagel Speaks	EUR	—	—	—
20:30	● API Weekly Crude Oil Stock	USD	7.140M	—	—

Major Pairs

EUR/USD

1.1456 ▼0.06% Session H 1.1478 / L 1.1451 52W 1.1324–1.2082

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
1.1519	1.1507	1.1485	1.1451	1.1440	1.1418

EUR/USD opens the European session at 1.1456 (-0.06% vs. Thursday's close), just 1.17% above its 52-week floor at 1.1324. The intraday bias remains neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 1.1473. The 52-week range of 1.1324–1.2082 places EUR/USD at the 17th percentile — the annual support is the key line in the sand — hold or break determines the next directional leg.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 1.1485 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (1.1507) and R3 (1.1519). On the downside, S1 at 1.1451 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (1.1440) then S3 (1.1418). The R1–S1 corridor (1.1485–1.1451) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For EUR/USD, a weekly close below S1 would reinforce the corrective bias into next week.

EUR/USDRangeboundNear 52W Low

GBP/USD

1.3363 ▼0.01% Session H 1.3386 / L 1.3356 52W 1.3009–1.3868

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
1.3423	1.3411	1.3388	1.3352	1.3341	1.3317

GBP/USD opens the European session at 1.3363 (-0.01% vs. Thursday's close), at the 41th percentile of its 1.3009–1.3868 52-week range. The intraday bias remains neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 1.3376. The 52-week range of 1.3009–1.3868 places GBP/USD at the 41th percentile — price remains in the lower half of its annual range, reflecting structural headwinds.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 1.3388 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (1.3411) and R3 (1.3423). On the downside, S1 at 1.3352 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (1.3341) then S3 (1.3317). The R1–S1 corridor (1.3388–1.3352) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For GBP/USD, a weekly close below S1 would reinforce the corrective bias into next week.

GBP/USDRangebound

USD/JPY

157.73 ▲0.24% Session H 157.75 / L 157.21 52W 146.59–163.98

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
158.68	158.10	157.73	156.78	156.19	155.82

USD/JPY opens the European session at 157.73 (+0.24% vs. Thursday's close), at the 64th percentile of its 146.59–163.98 52-week range. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 157.15. The 52-week range of 146.59–163.98 places USD/JPY at the 64th percentile — momentum is broadly constructive within the annual range.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 157.73 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (158.10) and R3 (158.68). On the downside, S1 at 156.78 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (156.19) then S3 (155.82). The R1–S1 corridor (157.73–156.78) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/JPY, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

USD/JPYRangebound

USD/CHF

0.8209 ▼0.01% Session H 0.8217 / L 0.8199 52W 0.7602–0.8263

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
0.8263	0.8250	0.8230	0.8197	0.8185	0.8165

USD/CHF opens the European session at 0.8209 (-0.01% vs. Thursday's close), just 0.66% below its 52-week high of 0.8263. The intraday bias remains neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 0.8218. The 52-week range of 0.7602–0.8263 places USD/CHF at the 92th percentile — upside momentum is intact; a break above the 52W high would signal trend extension.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 0.8230 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (0.8250) and R3 (0.8263). On the downside, S1 at 0.8197 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (0.8185) then S3 (0.8165). The R1–S1 corridor (0.8230–0.8197) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/CHF, a weekly close below S1 would reinforce the corrective bias into next week.

USD/CHFRangeboundNear 52W High

AUD/USD

0.7109 ▼0.10% Session H 0.7125 / L 0.7097 52W 0.6421–0.7277

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
0.7165	0.7152	0.7134	0.7103	0.7091	0.7073

AUD/USD opens the European session at 0.7109 (-0.10% vs. Thursday's close), at the 80th percentile of its 0.6421–0.7277 52-week range. The intraday bias remains neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 0.7122. The 52-week range of 0.6421–0.7277 places AUD/USD at the 80th percentile — momentum is broadly constructive within the annual range.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 0.7134 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (0.7152) and R3 (0.7165). On the downside, S1 at 0.7103 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (0.7091) then S3 (0.7073). The R1–S1 corridor (0.7134–0.7103) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For AUD/USD, a weekly close below S1 would reinforce the corrective bias into next week.

AUD/USDRangebound

NZD/USD

0.5732 ▲0.35% Session H 0.5744 / L 0.5693 52W 0.5576–0.6091

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
0.5754	0.5746	0.5729	0.5704	0.5695	0.5678

NZD/USD opens the European session at 0.5732 (+0.35% vs. Thursday's close), at the 30th percentile of its 0.5576–0.6091 52-week range. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 0.5720. The 52-week range of 0.5576–0.6091 places NZD/USD at the 30th percentile — price remains in the lower half of its annual range, reflecting structural headwinds.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 0.5729 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (0.5746) and R3 (0.5754). On the downside, S1 at 0.5704 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (0.5695) then S3 (0.5678). The R1–S1 corridor (0.5729–0.5704) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For NZD/USD, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

NZD/USDBullishAbove R1

USD/CAD

1.4033 ▲0.01% Session H 1.4042 / L 1.4024 52W 1.3481–1.4247

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
1.4113	1.4076	1.4054	1.3995	1.3957	1.3935

USD/CAD opens the European session at 1.4033 (+0.01% vs. Thursday's close), at the 72th percentile of its 1.3481–1.4247 52-week range. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 1.4016. The 52-week range of 1.3481–1.4247 places USD/CAD at the 72th percentile — momentum is broadly constructive within the annual range.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 1.4054 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (1.4076) and R3 (1.4113). On the downside, S1 at 1.3995 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (1.3957) then S3 (1.3935). The R1–S1 corridor (1.4054–1.3995) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/CAD, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

USD/CADRangebound

Cross Pairs

EUR/GBP

0.8572 ▼0.02% Session H 0.8578 / L 0.8570 52W 0.8454–0.8864

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
0.8592	0.8586	0.8580	0.8568	0.8562	0.8556

EUR/GBP opens the European session at 0.8572 (-0.02% vs. Thursday's close), just 1.40% above its 52-week floor at 0.8454. The intraday bias remains neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 0.8574. The 52-week range of 0.8454–0.8864 places EUR/GBP at the 29th percentile — the annual support is the key line in the sand — hold or break determines the next directional leg.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 0.8580 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (0.8586) and R3 (0.8592). On the downside, S1 at 0.8568 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (0.8562) then S3 (0.8556). The R1–S1 corridor (0.8580–0.8568) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For EUR/GBP, a weekly close below S1 would reinforce the corrective bias into next week.

EUR/GBPRangeboundNear 52W Low

EUR/JPY

180.72 ▲0.21% Session H 180.82 / L 180.20 52W 172.26–187.94

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
181.77	181.28	180.81	179.86	179.37	178.90

EUR/JPY opens the European session at 180.72 (+0.21% vs. Thursday's close), at the 54th percentile of its 172.26–187.94 52-week range. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 180.33. The 52-week range of 172.26–187.94 places EUR/JPY at the 54th percentile — momentum is broadly constructive within the annual range.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 180.81 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (181.28) and R3 (181.77). On the downside, S1 at 179.86 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (179.37) then S3 (178.90). The R1–S1 corridor (180.81–179.86) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For EUR/JPY, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

EUR/JPYRangebound

GBP/JPY

210.77 ▲0.24% Session H 210.81 / L 210.07 52W 197.47–219.59

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
211.87	211.31	210.78	209.70	209.14	208.61

GBP/JPY opens the European session at 210.77 (+0.24% vs. Thursday's close), at the 60th percentile of its 197.47–219.59 52-week range. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 210.22. The 52-week range of 197.47–219.59 places GBP/JPY at the 60th percentile — momentum is broadly constructive within the annual range.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 210.78 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (211.31) and R3 (211.87). On the downside, S1 at 209.70 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (209.14) then S3 (208.61). The R1–S1 corridor (210.78–209.70) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For GBP/JPY, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

GBP/JPYRangebound

AUD/JPY

112.19 ▲0.18% Session H 112.21 / L 111.80 52W 96.24–114.95

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
113.10	112.70	112.35	111.59	111.20	110.84

AUD/JPY opens the European session at 112.19 (+0.18% vs. Thursday's close), at the 85th percentile of its 96.24–114.95 52-week range. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 111.95. The 52-week range of 96.24–114.95 places AUD/JPY at the 85th percentile — momentum is broadly constructive within the annual range.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 112.35 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (112.70) and R3 (113.10). On the downside, S1 at 111.59 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (111.20) then S3 (110.84). The R1–S1 corridor (112.35–111.59) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For AUD/JPY, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

AUD/JPYRangebound

Nordic Pairs

USD/NOK

9.427 ▼0.06% Session H 9.446 / L 9.413 52W 9.144–10.297

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
9.517	9.481	9.457	9.397	9.362	9.337

USD/NOK opens the European session at 9.427 (-0.06% vs. Thursday's close), at the 25th percentile of its 9.144–10.297 52-week range. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 9.422. The 52-week range of 9.144–10.297 places USD/NOK at the 25th percentile — price remains in the lower half of its annual range, reflecting structural headwinds.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 9.457 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (9.481) and R3 (9.517). On the downside, S1 at 9.397 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (9.362) then S3 (9.337). The R1–S1 corridor (9.457–9.397) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/NOK, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

USD/NOKRangebound

USD/SEK

9.838 ▲0.05% Session H 9.847 / L 9.793 52W 8.736–9.873

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
9.907	9.876	9.854	9.801	9.769	9.748

USD/SEK opens the European session at 9.838 (+0.05% vs. Thursday's close), just 0.35% below its 52-week high of 9.873. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 9.823. The 52-week range of 8.736–9.873 places USD/SEK at the 97th percentile — upside momentum is intact; a break above the 52W high would signal trend extension.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 9.854 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (9.876) and R3 (9.907). On the downside, S1 at 9.801 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (9.769) then S3 (9.748). The R1–S1 corridor (9.854–9.801) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/SEK, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

USD/SEKRangeboundNear 52W High

EUR/NOK

10.808 ▼0.13% Session H 10.829 / L 10.797 52W 10.672–12.011

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
10.892	10.861	10.842	10.792	10.761	10.741

EUR/NOK opens the European session at 10.808 (-0.13% vs. Thursday's close), just 1.27% above its 52-week floor at 10.672. The intraday bias remains neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 10.811. The 52-week range of 10.672–12.011 places EUR/NOK at the 10th percentile — the annual support is the key line in the sand — hold or break determines the next directional leg.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 10.842 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (10.861) and R3 (10.892). On the downside, S1 at 10.792 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (10.761) then S3 (10.741). The R1–S1 corridor (10.842–10.792) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For EUR/NOK, a weekly close below S1 would reinforce the corrective bias into next week.

EUR/NOKRangeboundNear 52W Low

NOK/SEK

1.0425 ▲0.20% Session H 1.0428 / L 1.0320 52W 0.9060–1.0487

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
1.0552	1.0499	1.0452	1.0352	1.0299	1.0252

NOK/SEK opens the European session at 1.0425 (+0.20% vs. Thursday's close), just 0.60% below its 52-week high of 1.0487. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 1.0399. The 52-week range of 0.9060–1.0487 places NOK/SEK at the 96th percentile — upside momentum is intact; a break above the 52W high would signal trend extension.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 1.0452 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (1.0499) and R3 (1.0552). On the downside, S1 at 1.0352 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (1.0299) then S3 (1.0252). The R1–S1 corridor (1.0452–1.0352) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For NOK/SEK, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

NOK/SEKRangeboundNear 52W High

Exotic Pairs

USD/TRY

48.816 ▲0.22% Session H 48.817 / L 48.659 52W 41.151–48.817

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
48.924	48.862	48.786	48.647	48.584	48.508

USD/TRY opens the European session at 48.816 (+0.22% vs. Thursday's close), just 0.00% below its 52-week high of 48.817. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 48.723. The 52-week range of 41.151–48.817 places USD/TRY at the 100th percentile — upside momentum is intact; a break above the 52W high would signal trend extension.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 48.786 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (48.862) and R3 (48.924). On the downside, S1 at 48.647 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (48.584) then S3 (48.508). The R1–S1 corridor (48.786–48.647) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/TRY, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

USD/TRYRangeboundAbove R1Near 52W High

USD/MXN

17.231 ▲0.10% Session H 17.235 / L 17.191 52W 16.855–18.769

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
17.294	17.265	17.240	17.185	17.155	17.130

USD/MXN opens the European session at 17.231 (+0.10% vs. Thursday's close), at the 20th percentile of its 16.855–18.769 52-week range. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 17.210. The 52-week range of 16.855–18.769 places USD/MXN at the 20th percentile — price remains in the lower half of its annual range, reflecting structural headwinds.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 17.240 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (17.265) and R3 (17.294). On the downside, S1 at 17.185 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (17.155) then S3 (17.130). The R1–S1 corridor (17.240–17.185) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/MXN, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

USD/MXNRangebound

USD/ZAR

16.27 ▲0.26% Session H 16.28 / L 16.22 52W 15.64–17.57

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
16.35	16.31	16.27	16.19	16.16	16.12

USD/ZAR opens the European session at 16.27 (+0.26% vs. Thursday's close), at the 33th percentile of its 15.64–17.57 52-week range. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 16.24. The 52-week range of 15.64–17.57 places USD/ZAR at the 33th percentile — price remains in the lower half of its annual range, reflecting structural headwinds.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 16.27 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (16.31) and R3 (16.35). On the downside, S1 at 16.19 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (16.16) then S3 (16.12). The R1–S1 corridor (16.27–16.19) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/ZAR, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

USD/ZARRangeboundAbove R1

USD/PLN

3.7942 ▲0.18% Session H 3.7943 / L 3.7834 52W 3.4750–3.8127

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
3.8208	3.8122	3.7999	3.7790	3.7703	3.7580

USD/PLN opens the European session at 3.7942 (+0.18% vs. Thursday's close), just 0.49% below its 52-week high of 3.8127. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 3.7913. The 52-week range of 3.4750–3.8127 places USD/PLN at the 95th percentile — upside momentum is intact; a break above the 52W high would signal trend extension.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 3.7999 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (3.8122) and R3 (3.8208). On the downside, S1 at 3.7790 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (3.7703) then S3 (3.7580). The R1–S1 corridor (3.7999–3.7790) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/PLN, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

USD/PLNRangeboundNear 52W High

Informational purposes only — not investment advice. Pivot levels computed from Thursday's session OHLC via standard floor-pivot formula. Data sourced from MetaTrader 5 as of Tuesday 22 September 2026 EU open. Past performance is not indicative of future results.