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Forex

FX Midday Briefing — Wed 28 Oct 2026: NZD/USD Falls 1.30% as US Session Kicks Off

MarketsFN FX Desk

•10 min read
FX Midday Briefing — Wed 28 Oct 2026: NZD/USD Falls 1.30% as US Session Kicks Off

Mid-session update on Wednesday 28 October 2026: with the US session underway, G10 and emerging FX markets are showing 12 pairs bid and 7 offered against the Dollar. The session's leading movers are NZD/USD (-1.30%), USD/TRY (+0.30%), USD/ZAR (+0.27%). Cross-asset flows from US equity and bond markets are increasingly influencing FX positioning as European traders hand off to their New York counterparts.

This midday snapshot includes updated intraday pivot levels, the full day's economic calendar with actual releases for morning data, and fresh candlestick charts for all 19 pairs. Afternoon risk events — if any remain on the calendar — are flagged in the calendar section below.

All pivot levels (R1 R2 R3 / S1 S2 S3) are computed from yesterday's full-session OHLC via the standard floor-pivot formula. Charts cover 65 daily bars with SMA20, SMA50 and Bollinger Bands (20,2).

Today's Economic Calendar

Time (UTC)EventCCYPreviousForecastActual
00:15● RBA Assist Gov Bullock SpeaksAUD———
00:30● CPI (QoQ) (Q3)AUD0.6%1.3%1.3%
00:30● CPI (YoY) (Q3)AUD3.9%3.9%3.9%
00:30● Trimmed Mean CPI (QoQ) (Q3)AUD0.8%1.0%1.0%
01:00● RBNZ Interest Rate DecisionNZD2.75%3.00%2.75%
01:00● RBNZ Rate StatementNZD———
02:00● RBNZ Press ConferenceNZD———
07:00● GfK German Consumer Climate (Nov)EUR-30.6-30.1-30.8
07:00● Interest Rate DecisionTHB1.00%1.00%1.00%
10:30● German 10-Year Bund AuctionEUR3.580%—3.370%
11:00● France Jobseekers Total (Sep)EUR3,081.7K—3,192.5K
12:30● Autumn Forecast StatementGBP———
12:30● Goods Trade Balance (Sep)USD-132.07B-130.40B-134.90B
12:30● Retail Inventories Ex Auto (Sep)USD0.1%—0.4%
13:45● BoC Monetary Policy ReportCAD———
13:45● BoC Rate StatementCAD———
13:45● BoC Interest Rate DecisionCAD2.25%2.50%2.50%
14:30● Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3)USD———
14:30● Crude Oil InventoriesUSD-3.060M0.100M-1.892M
14:30● Cushing Crude Oil InventoriesUSD0.987M—-0.624M
14:30● BOC Press ConferenceCAD———
16:00● Retail Sales (YoY) (Sep)RUB3.3%3.5%—
16:00● Unemployment Rate (Sep)RUB2.2%2.2%—
18:00● FOMC StatementUSD———
18:00● Fed Interest Rate DecisionUSD4.00%4.00%—
18:30● FOMC Press ConferenceUSD———
20:08● GDP Monthly (YoY) (Sep)RUB0.8%——

Major Pairs

EUR/USD

1.1127 ▲0.03% Day H 1.1138 / L 1.1113 52W 1.1112–1.2082

EUR/USD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
1.12151.11961.11601.11051.10851.1050

With the US session now active, EUR/USD trades at 1.1127 (+0.03% vs. yesterday's close), just 0.14% above its 52-week floor at 1.1112. Today's intraday range of 1.1113–1.1138 (0.0026 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias is neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 1.1141.

Price is closest to S1 at 1.1105 — a decisive break below S1 (1.1105) exposes S2 (1.1085). The R1–S1 corridor (1.1160–1.1105) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For EUR/USD, the annual support remains the decisive level — bulls need a firm hold here to prevent a deeper pullback. The 52-week range of 1.1112–1.2082 places the pair at the 2th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

EUR/USDRangeboundNear 52W Low

GBP/USD

1.3293 ▼0.07% Day H 1.3312 / L 1.3272 52W 1.3037–1.3868

GBP/USD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
1.33801.33641.33331.32871.32711.3241

With the US session now active, GBP/USD trades at 1.3293 (-0.07% vs. yesterday's close), at the 31th percentile of its 1.3037–1.3868 52-week range. Today's intraday range of 1.3272–1.3312 (0.0040 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias is neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 1.3318.

Price is closest to S1 at 1.3287 — a decisive break below S1 (1.3287) exposes S2 (1.3271). The R1–S1 corridor (1.3333–1.3287) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For GBP/USD, price is in the lower half of its annual range, keeping the path of least resistance lower. The 52-week range of 1.3037–1.3868 places the pair at the 31th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

GBP/USDRangebound

USD/JPY

158.12 ▲0.12% Day H 158.13 / L 157.65 52W 152.04–163.98

USD/JPY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
158.68158.32158.13157.58157.22157.02

With the US session now active, USD/JPY trades at 158.12 (+0.12% vs. yesterday's close), at the 51th percentile of its 152.04–163.98 52-week range. Today's intraday range of 157.65–158.13 (0.48 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 157.77.

Price is closest to R1 at 158.13 — a decisive break above R1 (158.13) opens R2 (158.32). The R1–S1 corridor (158.13–157.58) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For USD/JPY, intraday momentum is constructive; the upper half of the annual range favours dip-buyers. The 52-week range of 152.04–163.98 places the pair at the 51th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

USD/JPYRangebound

USD/CHF

0.8304 ▲0.21% Day H 0.8313 / L 0.8279 52W 0.7602–0.8395

USD/CHF candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
0.83290.83110.82990.82680.82510.8238

With the US session now active, USD/CHF trades at 0.8304 (+0.21% vs. yesterday's close), just 1.09% below its 52-week high of 0.8395. Today's intraday range of 0.8279–0.8313 (0.0034 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 0.8281.

Price is closest to R1 at 0.8299 — a decisive break above R1 (0.8299) opens R2 (0.8311). The R1–S1 corridor (0.8299–0.8268) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For USD/CHF, upside momentum is intact; the 52W high is the key target on a sustained break above R2. The 52-week range of 0.7602–0.8395 places the pair at the 89th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

USD/CHFRangeboundAbove R1Near 52W High

AUD/USD

0.7035 ▲0.15% Day H 0.7054 / L 0.7021 52W 0.6421–0.7277

AUD/USD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
0.70710.70550.70400.70090.69930.6978

With the US session now active, AUD/USD trades at 0.7035 (+0.15% vs. yesterday's close), at the 72th percentile of its 0.6421–0.7277 52-week range. Today's intraday range of 0.7021–0.7054 (0.0033 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 0.7024.

Price is closest to R1 at 0.7040 — a decisive break above R1 (0.7040) opens R2 (0.7055). The R1–S1 corridor (0.7040–0.7009) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For AUD/USD, intraday momentum is constructive; the upper half of the annual range favours dip-buyers. The 52-week range of 0.6421–0.7277 places the pair at the 72th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

AUD/USDRangebound

NZD/USD

0.5605 ▼1.30% Day H 0.5684 / L 0.5576 52W 0.5564–0.6092

NZD/USD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
0.57340.57210.57000.56650.56510.5630

With the US session now active, NZD/USD trades at 0.5605 (-1.30% vs. yesterday's close), just 0.72% above its 52-week floor at 0.5564. Today's intraday range of 0.5576–0.5684 (0.0108 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias is neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 0.5686.

Price is closest to S1 at 0.5665 — a decisive break below S1 (0.5665) exposes S2 (0.5651). The R1–S1 corridor (0.5700–0.5665) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For NZD/USD, the annual support remains the decisive level — bulls need a firm hold here to prevent a deeper pullback. The 52-week range of 0.5564–0.6092 places the pair at the 8th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

NZD/USDBearishBelow S1Near 52W Low

USD/CAD

1.4056 ▲0.04% Day H 1.4068 / L 1.4040 52W 1.3480–1.4299

USD/CAD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
1.41111.40821.40661.40211.39921.3976

With the US session now active, USD/CAD trades at 1.4056 (+0.04% vs. yesterday's close), at the 70th percentile of its 1.3480–1.4299 52-week range. Today's intraday range of 1.4040–1.4068 (0.0027 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 1.4037.

Price is closest to R1 at 1.4066 — a decisive break above R1 (1.4066) opens R2 (1.4082). The R1–S1 corridor (1.4066–1.4021) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For USD/CAD, intraday momentum is constructive; the upper half of the annual range favours dip-buyers. The 52-week range of 1.3480–1.4299 places the pair at the 70th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

USD/CADRangebound

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Cross Pairs

EUR/GBP

0.8372 ▲0.17% Day H 0.8380 / L 0.8355 52W 0.8355–0.8865

EUR/GBP candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
0.83890.83830.83710.83520.83460.8334

With the US session now active, EUR/GBP trades at 0.8372 (+0.17% vs. yesterday's close), just 0.20% above its 52-week floor at 0.8355. Today's intraday range of 0.8355–0.8380 (0.0025 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 0.8365.

Price is closest to R1 at 0.8371 — a decisive break above R1 (0.8371) opens R2 (0.8383). The R1–S1 corridor (0.8371–0.8352) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For EUR/GBP, the annual support remains the decisive level — bulls need a firm hold here to prevent a deeper pullback. The 52-week range of 0.8355–0.8865 places the pair at the 3th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

EUR/GBPRangeboundAbove R1Near 52W Low

EUR/JPY

175.47 ▼0.11% Day H 175.85 / L 175.39 52W 175.09–187.94

EUR/JPY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
176.71176.47176.07175.42175.18174.78

With the US session now active, EUR/JPY trades at 175.47 (-0.11% vs. yesterday's close), just 0.22% above its 52-week floor at 175.09. Today's intraday range of 175.39–175.85 (0.45 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias is neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 175.83.

Price is closest to S1 at 175.42 — a decisive break below S1 (175.42) exposes S2 (175.18). The R1–S1 corridor (176.07–175.42) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For EUR/JPY, the annual support remains the decisive level — bulls need a firm hold here to prevent a deeper pullback. The 52-week range of 175.09–187.94 places the pair at the 3th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

EUR/JPYRangeboundNear 52W Low

GBP/JPY

209.68 ▼0.20% Day H 210.29 / L 209.55 52W 200.64–219.60

GBP/JPY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
211.04210.75210.42209.80209.50209.17

With the US session now active, GBP/JPY trades at 209.68 (-0.20% vs. yesterday's close), at the 48th percentile of its 200.64–219.60 52-week range. Today's intraday range of 209.55–210.29 (0.73 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias is neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 210.12.

Price is closest to S1 at 209.80 — a decisive break below S1 (209.80) exposes S2 (209.50). The R1–S1 corridor (210.42–209.80) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For GBP/JPY, price is in the lower half of its annual range, keeping the path of least resistance lower. The 52-week range of 200.64–219.60 places the pair at the 48th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

GBP/JPYRangeboundBelow S1

AUD/JPY

110.95 ▲0.02% Day H 111.34 / L 110.83 52W 98.96–114.95

AUD/JPY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
111.95111.51111.22110.49110.06109.77

With the US session now active, AUD/JPY trades at 110.95 (+0.02% vs. yesterday's close), at the 75th percentile of its 98.96–114.95 52-week range. Today's intraday range of 110.83–111.34 (0.51 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 110.79.

Price is closest to R1 at 111.22 — a decisive break above R1 (111.22) opens R2 (111.51). The R1–S1 corridor (111.22–110.49) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For AUD/JPY, intraday momentum is constructive; the upper half of the annual range favours dip-buyers. The 52-week range of 98.96–114.95 places the pair at the 75th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

AUD/JPYRangebound

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Nordic Pairs

USD/NOK

9.332 ▲0.02% Day H 9.339 / L 9.300 52W 9.144–10.297

USD/NOK candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
9.3879.3639.3469.3069.2829.265

With the US session now active, USD/NOK trades at 9.332 (+0.02% vs. yesterday's close), at the 16th percentile of its 9.144–10.297 52-week range. Today's intraday range of 9.300–9.339 (0.039 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 9.322.

Price is closest to R1 at 9.346 — a decisive break above R1 (9.346) opens R2 (9.363). The R1–S1 corridor (9.346–9.306) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For USD/NOK, price is in the lower half of its annual range, keeping the path of least resistance lower. The 52-week range of 9.144–10.297 places the pair at the 16th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

USD/NOKRangebound

USD/SEK

9.939 ▼0.05% Day H 9.966 / L 9.938 52W 8.737–10.105

USD/SEK candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
10.0279.9989.9719.9149.8859.858

With the US session now active, USD/SEK trades at 9.939 (-0.05% vs. yesterday's close), at the 88th percentile of its 8.737–10.105 52-week range. Today's intraday range of 9.938–9.966 (0.028 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias is neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 9.941.

Price is closest to S1 at 9.914 — a decisive break below S1 (9.914) exposes S2 (9.885). The R1–S1 corridor (9.971–9.914) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For USD/SEK, intraday momentum is constructive; the upper half of the annual range favours dip-buyers. The 52-week range of 8.737–10.105 places the pair at the 88th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

USD/SEKRangebound

EUR/NOK

10.383 -0.00% Day H 10.396 / L 10.358 52W 10.358–12.012

EUR/NOK candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
10.46010.43710.41010.36010.33610.309

With the US session now active, EUR/NOK trades at 10.383 (-0.00% vs. yesterday's close), just 0.24% above its 52-week floor at 10.358. Today's intraday range of 10.358–10.396 (0.037 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias is neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 10.386.

Price is closest to S1 at 10.360 — a decisive break below S1 (10.360) exposes S2 (10.336). The R1–S1 corridor (10.410–10.360) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For EUR/NOK, the annual support remains the decisive level — bulls need a firm hold here to prevent a deeper pullback. The 52-week range of 10.358–12.012 places the pair at the 1th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

EUR/NOKRangeboundNear 52W Low

NOK/SEK

1.0656 ▲0.08% Day H 1.0671 / L 1.0629 52W 0.9064–1.0702

NOK/SEK candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
1.07661.07341.06911.06161.05841.0541

With the US session now active, NOK/SEK trades at 1.0656 (+0.08% vs. yesterday's close), just 0.43% below its 52-week high of 1.0702. Today's intraday range of 1.0629–1.0671 (0.0043 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias is neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 1.0659.

Price is closest to R1 at 1.0691 — a decisive break above R1 (1.0691) opens R2 (1.0734). The R1–S1 corridor (1.0691–1.0616) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For NOK/SEK, upside momentum is intact; the 52W high is the key target on a sustained break above R2. The 52-week range of 0.9064–1.0702 places the pair at the 97th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

NOK/SEKRangeboundNear 52W High

Exotic Pairs

USD/TRY

49.835 ▲0.30% Day H 49.842 / L 49.661 52W 41.927–49.842

USD/TRY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
49.94949.87349.77949.60949.53349.438

With the US session now active, USD/TRY trades at 49.835 (+0.30% vs. yesterday's close), just 0.01% below its 52-week high of 49.842. Today's intraday range of 49.661–49.842 (0.181 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 49.703.

Price is closest to R1 at 49.779 — a decisive break above R1 (49.779) opens R2 (49.873). The R1–S1 corridor (49.779–49.609) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For USD/TRY, upside momentum is intact; the 52W high is the key target on a sustained break above R2. The 52-week range of 41.927–49.842 places the pair at the 100th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

USD/TRYBullishAbove R1Near 52W High

USD/MXN

18.658 ▼0.06% Day H 18.699 / L 18.613 52W 16.855–18.856

USD/MXN candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
18.89918.79718.73318.56618.46418.400

With the US session now active, USD/MXN trades at 18.658 (-0.06% vs. yesterday's close), just 1.06% below its 52-week high of 18.856. Today's intraday range of 18.613–18.699 (0.086 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 18.631.

Price is closest to R1 at 18.733 — a decisive break above R1 (18.733) opens R2 (18.797). The R1–S1 corridor (18.733–18.566) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For USD/MXN, upside momentum is intact; the 52W high is the key target on a sustained break above R2. The 52-week range of 16.855–18.856 places the pair at the 90th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

USD/MXNRangeboundNear 52W High

USD/ZAR

16.66 ▲0.27% Day H 16.68 / L 16.59 52W 15.64–17.47

USD/ZAR candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
16.8016.7516.6816.5616.5116.44

With the US session now active, USD/ZAR trades at 16.66 (+0.27% vs. yesterday's close), at the 56th percentile of its 15.64–17.47 52-week range. Today's intraday range of 16.59–16.68 (0.10 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 16.63.

Price is closest to R1 at 16.68 — a decisive break above R1 (16.68) opens R2 (16.75). The R1–S1 corridor (16.68–16.56) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For USD/ZAR, intraday momentum is constructive; the upper half of the annual range favours dip-buyers. The 52-week range of 15.64–17.47 places the pair at the 56th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

USD/ZARRangebound

USD/PLN

3.9591 ▲0.20% Day H 3.9626 / L 3.9488 52W 3.4750–3.9626

USD/PLN candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
3.98783.97273.96203.93623.92113.9105

With the US session now active, USD/PLN trades at 3.9591 (+0.20% vs. yesterday's close), just 0.09% below its 52-week high of 3.9626. Today's intraday range of 3.9488–3.9626 (0.0138 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 3.9469.

Price is closest to R1 at 3.9620 — a decisive break above R1 (3.9620) opens R2 (3.9727). The R1–S1 corridor (3.9620–3.9362) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For USD/PLN, upside momentum is intact; the 52W high is the key target on a sustained break above R2. The 52-week range of 3.4750–3.9626 places the pair at the 99th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

USD/PLNRangeboundNear 52W High

Informational purposes only — not investment advice. Pivot levels computed from yesterday's session OHLC via standard floor-pivot formula. Prices sourced from MetaTrader 5 as of Wednesday 28 October 2026 midday (15:30 CET). Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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