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Forex

FX Midday Briefing — Fri 09 Oct 2026: AUD/JPY Gains 0.58% as US Session Kicks Off

MarketsFN FX Desk

•10 min read
FX Midday Briefing — Fri 09 Oct 2026: AUD/JPY Gains 0.58% as US Session Kicks Off

Mid-session update on Friday 09 October 2026: with the US session underway, G10 and emerging FX markets are showing 14 pairs bid and 5 offered against the Dollar. The session's leading movers are AUD/JPY (+0.58%), USD/TRY (+0.54%), USD/ZAR (-0.36%). Cross-asset flows from US equity and bond markets are increasingly influencing FX positioning as European traders hand off to their New York counterparts.

This midday snapshot includes updated intraday pivot levels, the full day's economic calendar with actual releases for morning data, and fresh candlestick charts for all 19 pairs. Afternoon risk events — if any remain on the calendar — are flagged in the calendar section below.

All pivot levels (R1 R2 R3 / S1 S2 S3) are computed from yesterday's full-session OHLC via the standard floor-pivot formula. Charts cover 65 daily bars with SMA20, SMA50 and Bollinger Bands (20,2).

Today's Economic Calendar

Time (UTC)EventCCYPreviousForecastActual
07:00● SECO Consumer Climate (Sep)CHF-33-32-36
12:00● CPI (YoY) (Sep)BRL4.22%4.50%4.58%
12:30● Employment Change (Sep)CAD-41.7K6.1K-68.3K
12:30● Unemployment Rate (Sep)CAD6.4%6.5%6.5%
13:30● ECB's Schnabel SpeaksEUR———
14:00● Michigan 1-Year Inflation Expectations (Oct)USD4.6%——
14:00● Michigan 5-Year Inflation Expectations (Oct)USD3.4%——
14:00● Michigan Consumer Expectations (Oct)USD46.345.9—
14:00● Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Oct)USD48.147.5—
16:00● WASDE ReportUSD———
16:00● CPI (MoM) (Sep)RUB-0.1%——
16:00● CPI (YoY) (Sep)RUB6.3%——
17:00● U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig CountUSD456——
17:00● U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig CountUSD598——
19:30● CFTC GBP speculative net positionsGBP-91.1K——
19:30● CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positionsUSD109.5K——
19:30● CFTC Gold speculative net positionsUSD218.6K——
19:30● CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positionsUSD51.2K——
19:30● CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positionsUSD-142.5K——
19:30● CFTC AUD speculative net positionsAUD-63.2K——
19:30● CFTC BRL speculative net positionsBRL60.5K——
19:30● CFTC JPY speculative net positionsJPY55.4K——
19:30● CFTC EUR speculative net positionsEUR-63.3K——

Major Pairs

EUR/USD

1.1198 ▼0.10% Day H 1.1242 / L 1.1192 52W 1.1161–1.2082

EUR/USD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
1.12881.12571.12331.11781.11471.1123

With the US session now active, EUR/USD trades at 1.1198 (-0.10% vs. yesterday's close), just 0.33% above its 52-week floor at 1.1161. Today's intraday range of 1.1192–1.1242 (0.0050 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias is neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 1.1202.

Price is closest to S1 at 1.1178 — a decisive break below S1 (1.1178) exposes S2 (1.1147). The R1–S1 corridor (1.1233–1.1178) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For EUR/USD, the annual support remains the decisive level — bulls need a firm hold here to prevent a deeper pullback. The 52-week range of 1.1161–1.2082 places the pair at the 4th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

EUR/USDRangeboundNear 52W Low

GBP/USD

1.3229 ▲0.03% Day H 1.3249 / L 1.3221 52W 1.3009–1.3868

GBP/USD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
1.33181.32831.32541.31901.31551.3126

With the US session now active, GBP/USD trades at 1.3229 (+0.03% vs. yesterday's close), at the 26th percentile of its 1.3009–1.3868 52-week range. Today's intraday range of 1.3221–1.3249 (0.0028 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 1.3219.

Price is closest to R1 at 1.3254 — a decisive break above R1 (1.3254) opens R2 (1.3283). The R1–S1 corridor (1.3254–1.3190) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For GBP/USD, price is in the lower half of its annual range, keeping the path of least resistance lower. The 52-week range of 1.3009–1.3868 places the pair at the 26th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

GBP/USDRangebound

USD/JPY

158.25 ▲0.25% Day H 158.41 / L 157.75 52W 150.47–163.98

USD/JPY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
159.16158.76158.31157.45157.05156.60

With the US session now active, USD/JPY trades at 158.25 (+0.25% vs. yesterday's close), at the 58th percentile of its 150.47–163.98 52-week range. Today's intraday range of 157.75–158.41 (0.66 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 157.91.

Price is closest to R1 at 158.31 — a decisive break above R1 (158.31) opens R2 (158.76). The R1–S1 corridor (158.31–157.45) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For USD/JPY, intraday momentum is constructive; the upper half of the annual range favours dip-buyers. The 52-week range of 150.47–163.98 places the pair at the 58th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

USD/JPYRangebound

USD/CHF

0.8309 ▼0.07% Day H 0.8317 / L 0.8297 52W 0.7602–0.8382

USD/CHF candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
0.83790.83620.83390.82990.82820.8259

With the US session now active, USD/CHF trades at 0.8309 (-0.07% vs. yesterday's close), just 0.88% below its 52-week high of 0.8382. Today's intraday range of 0.8297–0.8317 (0.0020 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias is neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 0.8322.

Price is closest to S1 at 0.8299 — a decisive break below S1 (0.8299) exposes S2 (0.8282). The R1–S1 corridor (0.8339–0.8299) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For USD/CHF, upside momentum is intact; the 52W high is the key target on a sustained break above R2. The 52-week range of 0.7602–0.8382 places the pair at the 91th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

USD/CHFRangeboundNear 52W High

AUD/USD

0.6977 ▲0.31% Day H 0.6988 / L 0.6950 52W 0.6421–0.7277

AUD/USD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
0.70150.69940.69740.69340.69130.6894

With the US session now active, AUD/USD trades at 0.6977 (+0.31% vs. yesterday's close), at the 65th percentile of its 0.6421–0.7277 52-week range. Today's intraday range of 0.6950–0.6988 (0.0038 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 0.6953.

Price is closest to R1 at 0.6974 — a decisive break above R1 (0.6974) opens R2 (0.6994). The R1–S1 corridor (0.6974–0.6934) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For AUD/USD, intraday momentum is constructive; the upper half of the annual range favours dip-buyers. The 52-week range of 0.6421–0.7277 places the pair at the 65th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

AUD/USDBullishAbove R1

NZD/USD

0.5609 ▲0.12% Day H 0.5626 / L 0.5597 52W 0.5576–0.6092

NZD/USD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
0.56470.56300.56160.55840.55670.5553

With the US session now active, NZD/USD trades at 0.5609 (+0.12% vs. yesterday's close), just 0.59% above its 52-week floor at 0.5576. Today's intraday range of 0.5597–0.5626 (0.0029 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 0.5598.

Price is closest to R1 at 0.5616 — a decisive break above R1 (0.5616) opens R2 (0.5630). The R1–S1 corridor (0.5616–0.5584) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For NZD/USD, the annual support remains the decisive level — bulls need a firm hold here to prevent a deeper pullback. The 52-week range of 0.5576–0.6092 places the pair at the 6th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

NZD/USDRangeboundNear 52W Low

USD/CAD

1.4235 ▲0.09% Day H 1.4236 / L 1.4206 52W 1.3480–1.4293

USD/CAD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
1.43211.42991.42611.42011.41781.4140

With the US session now active, USD/CAD trades at 1.4235 (+0.09% vs. yesterday's close), just 0.41% below its 52-week high of 1.4293. Today's intraday range of 1.4206–1.4236 (0.0030 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias is neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 1.4239.

Price is closest to R1 at 1.4261 — a decisive break above R1 (1.4261) opens R2 (1.4299). The R1–S1 corridor (1.4261–1.4201) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For USD/CAD, upside momentum is intact; the 52W high is the key target on a sustained break above R2. The 52-week range of 1.3480–1.4293 places the pair at the 93th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

USD/CADRangeboundNear 52W High

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Cross Pairs

EUR/GBP

0.8471 ▼0.04% Day H 0.8485 / L 0.8468 52W 0.8447–0.8865

EUR/GBP candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
0.85070.84970.84850.84630.84530.8442

With the US session now active, EUR/GBP trades at 0.8471 (-0.04% vs. yesterday's close), just 0.28% above its 52-week floor at 0.8447. Today's intraday range of 0.8468–0.8485 (0.0016 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias is neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 0.8475.

Price is closest to S1 at 0.8463 — a decisive break below S1 (0.8463) exposes S2 (0.8453). The R1–S1 corridor (0.8485–0.8463) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For EUR/GBP, the annual support remains the decisive level — bulls need a firm hold here to prevent a deeper pullback. The 52-week range of 0.8447–0.8865 places the pair at the 6th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

EUR/GBPRangeboundNear 52W Low

EUR/JPY

177.49 ▲0.30% Day H 177.86 / L 176.89 52W 175.28–187.94

EUR/JPY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
178.34177.88177.42176.51176.06175.60

With the US session now active, EUR/JPY trades at 177.49 (+0.30% vs. yesterday's close), just 1.26% above its 52-week floor at 175.28. Today's intraday range of 176.89–177.86 (0.97 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 176.97.

Price is closest to R1 at 177.42 — a decisive break above R1 (177.42) opens R2 (177.88). The R1–S1 corridor (177.42–176.51) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For EUR/JPY, the annual support remains the decisive level — bulls need a firm hold here to prevent a deeper pullback. The 52-week range of 175.28–187.94 places the pair at the 17th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

EUR/JPYRangeboundAbove R1Near 52W Low

GBP/JPY

209.51 ▲0.34% Day H 209.73 / L 208.63 52W 199.06–219.60

GBP/JPY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
210.59209.99209.39208.20207.59207.00

With the US session now active, GBP/JPY trades at 209.51 (+0.34% vs. yesterday's close), at the 51th percentile of its 199.06–219.60 52-week range. Today's intraday range of 208.63–209.73 (1.10 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 208.79.

Price is closest to R1 at 209.39 — a decisive break above R1 (209.39) opens R2 (209.99). The R1–S1 corridor (209.39–208.20) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For GBP/JPY, intraday momentum is constructive; the upper half of the annual range favours dip-buyers. The 52-week range of 199.06–219.60 places the pair at the 51th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

GBP/JPYBullishAbove R1

AUD/JPY

110.45 ▲0.58% Day H 110.55 / L 109.72 52W 97.91–114.95

AUD/JPY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
110.75110.49110.15109.55109.28108.94

With the US session now active, AUD/JPY trades at 110.45 (+0.58% vs. yesterday's close), at the 74th percentile of its 97.91–114.95 52-week range. Today's intraday range of 109.72–110.55 (0.83 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 109.88.

Price is closest to R1 at 110.15 — a decisive break above R1 (110.15) opens R2 (110.49). The R1–S1 corridor (110.15–109.55) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For AUD/JPY, intraday momentum is constructive; the upper half of the annual range favours dip-buyers. The 52-week range of 97.91–114.95 places the pair at the 74th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

AUD/JPYBullishAbove R1

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Nordic Pairs

USD/NOK

9.576 ▲0.26% Day H 9.578 / L 9.535 52W 9.144–10.297

USD/NOK candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
9.6319.6129.5819.5329.5149.483

With the US session now active, USD/NOK trades at 9.576 (+0.26% vs. yesterday's close), at the 37th percentile of its 9.144–10.297 52-week range. Today's intraday range of 9.535–9.578 (0.043 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 9.563.

Price is closest to R1 at 9.581 — a decisive break above R1 (9.581) opens R2 (9.612). The R1–S1 corridor (9.581–9.532) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For USD/NOK, price is in the lower half of its annual range, keeping the path of least resistance lower. The 52-week range of 9.144–10.297 places the pair at the 37th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

USD/NOKRangebound

USD/SEK

9.968 ▲0.05% Day H 9.976 / L 9.939 52W 8.737–10.105

USD/SEK candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
10.08610.05810.0119.9369.9089.861

With the US session now active, USD/SEK trades at 9.968 (+0.05% vs. yesterday's close), just 1.37% below its 52-week high of 10.105. Today's intraday range of 9.939–9.976 (0.037 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias is neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 9.983.

Price is closest to S1 at 9.936 — a decisive break below S1 (9.936) exposes S2 (9.908). The R1–S1 corridor (10.011–9.936) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For USD/SEK, upside momentum is intact; the 52W high is the key target on a sustained break above R2. The 52-week range of 8.737–10.105 places the pair at the 90th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

USD/SEKRangeboundNear 52W High

EUR/NOK

10.735 ▲0.19% Day H 10.752 / L 10.691 52W 10.673–12.012

EUR/NOK candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
10.76910.75010.73210.69610.67710.660

With the US session now active, EUR/NOK trades at 10.735 (+0.19% vs. yesterday's close), just 0.58% above its 52-week floor at 10.673. Today's intraday range of 10.691–10.752 (0.061 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 10.713.

Price is closest to R1 at 10.732 — a decisive break above R1 (10.732) opens R2 (10.750). The R1–S1 corridor (10.732–10.696) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For EUR/NOK, the annual support remains the decisive level — bulls need a firm hold here to prevent a deeper pullback. The 52-week range of 10.673–12.012 places the pair at the 5th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

EUR/NOKRangeboundAbove R1Near 52W Low

NOK/SEK

1.0405 ▼0.05% Day H 1.0425 / L 1.0356 52W 0.9064–1.0497

NOK/SEK candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
1.05061.04861.04481.03901.03701.0332

With the US session now active, NOK/SEK trades at 1.0405 (-0.05% vs. yesterday's close), just 0.89% below its 52-week high of 1.0497. Today's intraday range of 1.0356–1.0425 (0.0069 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias is neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 1.0428.

Price is closest to S1 at 1.0390 — a decisive break below S1 (1.0390) exposes S2 (1.0370). The R1–S1 corridor (1.0448–1.0390) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For NOK/SEK, upside momentum is intact; the 52W high is the key target on a sustained break above R2. The 52-week range of 0.9064–1.0497 places the pair at the 94th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

NOK/SEKRangeboundNear 52W High

Exotic Pairs

USD/TRY

49.340 ▲0.54% Day H 49.342 / L 49.039 52W 41.638–49.342

USD/TRY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
49.34549.28049.17749.00948.94448.841

With the US session now active, USD/TRY trades at 49.340 (+0.54% vs. yesterday's close), just 0.00% below its 52-week high of 49.342. Today's intraday range of 49.039–49.342 (0.303 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 49.112.

Price is closest to R1 at 49.177 — a decisive break above R1 (49.177) opens R2 (49.280). The R1–S1 corridor (49.177–49.009) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For USD/TRY, upside momentum is intact; the 52W high is the key target on a sustained break above R2. The 52-week range of 41.638–49.342 places the pair at the 100th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

USD/TRYBullishAbove R1Near 52W High

USD/MXN

18.205 ▲0.15% Day H 18.207 / L 18.140 52W 16.855–18.768

USD/MXN candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
18.58618.40618.29217.99717.81717.702

With the US session now active, USD/MXN trades at 18.205 (+0.15% vs. yesterday's close), at the 71th percentile of its 16.855–18.768 52-week range. Today's intraday range of 18.140–18.207 (0.067 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 18.112.

Price is closest to R1 at 18.292 — a decisive break above R1 (18.292) opens R2 (18.406). The R1–S1 corridor (18.292–17.997) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For USD/MXN, intraday momentum is constructive; the upper half of the annual range favours dip-buyers. The 52-week range of 16.855–18.768 places the pair at the 71th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

USD/MXNRangebound

USD/ZAR

16.53 ▼0.36% Day H 16.59 / L 16.50 52W 15.64–17.57

USD/ZAR candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
16.8416.7816.6916.5316.4716.37

With the US session now active, USD/ZAR trades at 16.53 (-0.36% vs. yesterday's close), at the 46th percentile of its 15.64–17.57 52-week range. Today's intraday range of 16.50–16.59 (0.09 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias is neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 16.62.

Price is closest to S1 at 16.53 — a decisive break below S1 (16.53) exposes S2 (16.47). The R1–S1 corridor (16.69–16.53) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For USD/ZAR, price is in the lower half of its annual range, keeping the path of least resistance lower. The 52-week range of 15.64–17.57 places the pair at the 46th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

USD/ZARBearish

USD/PLN

3.9070 ▲0.20% Day H 3.9071 / L 3.8903 52W 3.4750–3.9298

USD/PLN candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
3.93523.92773.91343.89173.88413.8699

With the US session now active, USD/PLN trades at 3.9070 (+0.20% vs. yesterday's close), just 0.58% below its 52-week high of 3.9298. Today's intraday range of 3.8903–3.9071 (0.0168 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 3.9059.

Price is closest to R1 at 3.9134 — a decisive break above R1 (3.9134) opens R2 (3.9277). The R1–S1 corridor (3.9134–3.8917) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For USD/PLN, upside momentum is intact; the 52W high is the key target on a sustained break above R2. The 52-week range of 3.4750–3.9298 places the pair at the 95th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

USD/PLNRangeboundNear 52W High

Informational purposes only — not investment advice. Pivot levels computed from yesterday's session OHLC via standard floor-pivot formula. Prices sourced from MetaTrader 5 as of Friday 09 October 2026 midday (15:30 CET). Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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