FX Midday Briefing — Mon 28 Sep 2026: USD/ZAR Gains 0.52% as US Session Kicks Off

Mid-session update on Monday 28 September 2026: with the US session underway, G10 and emerging FX markets are showing 13 pairs bid and 6 offered against the Dollar. The session's leading movers are USD/ZAR (+0.52%), USD/MXN (+0.51%), USD/TRY (+0.45%). Cross-asset flows from US equity and bond markets are increasingly influencing FX positioning as European traders hand off to their New York counterparts.

This midday snapshot includes updated intraday pivot levels, the full day's economic calendar with actual releases for morning data, and fresh candlestick charts for all 19 pairs. Afternoon risk events — if any remain on the calendar — are flagged in the calendar section below.

All pivot levels (R1 R2 R3 / S1 S2 S3) are computed from yesterday's full-session OHLC via the standard floor-pivot formula. Charts cover 65 daily bars with SMA20, SMA50 and Bollinger Bands (20,2).

Today's Economic Calendar

Time (UTC)	Event	CCY	Previous	Forecast	Actual
09:30	● ECB's Elderson Speaks	EUR	—	—	—
10:00	● MPC Member Ramsden Speaks	GBP	—	—	—
12:15	● FOMC Member Bowman Speaks	USD	—	—	—
13:30	● ECB President Lagarde Speaks	EUR	—	—	—

Major Pairs

EUR/USD

1.1365 ▼0.22% Day H 1.1391 / L 1.1361 52W 1.1324–1.2082

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
1.1454	1.1432	1.1411	1.1368	1.1347	1.1326

With the US session now active, EUR/USD trades at 1.1365 (-0.22% vs. yesterday's close), just 0.37% above its 52-week floor at 1.1324. Today's intraday range of 1.1361–1.1391 (0.0030 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias is neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 1.1390.

Price is closest to S1 at 1.1368 — a decisive break below S1 (1.1368) exposes S2 (1.1347). The R1–S1 corridor (1.1411–1.1368) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For EUR/USD, the annual support remains the decisive level — bulls need a firm hold here to prevent a deeper pullback. The 52-week range of 1.1324–1.2082 places the pair at the 5th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

EUR/USDRangeboundBelow S1Near 52W Low

GBP/USD

1.3252 ▲0.06% Day H 1.3274 / L 1.3223 52W 1.3009–1.3868

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
1.3323	1.3293	1.3268	1.3214	1.3184	1.3159

With the US session now active, GBP/USD trades at 1.3252 (+0.06% vs. yesterday's close), at the 28th percentile of its 1.3009–1.3868 52-week range. Today's intraday range of 1.3223–1.3274 (0.0051 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 1.3238.

Price is closest to R1 at 1.3268 — a decisive break above R1 (1.3268) opens R2 (1.3293). The R1–S1 corridor (1.3268–1.3214) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For GBP/USD, price is in the lower half of its annual range, keeping the path of least resistance lower. The 52-week range of 1.3009–1.3868 places the pair at the 28th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

GBP/USDRangebound

USD/JPY

156.66 ▼0.39% Day H 157.85 / L 156.60 52W 149.37–163.98

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
160.46	159.68	158.48	156.50	155.73	154.52

With the US session now active, USD/JPY trades at 156.66 (-0.39% vs. yesterday's close), at the 50th percentile of its 149.37–163.98 52-week range. Today's intraday range of 156.60–157.85 (1.25 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias is neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 157.71.

Price is closest to S1 at 156.50 — a decisive break below S1 (156.50) exposes S2 (155.73). The R1–S1 corridor (158.48–156.50) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For USD/JPY, price is in the lower half of its annual range, keeping the path of least resistance lower. The 52-week range of 149.37–163.98 places the pair at the 50th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

USD/JPYBearish

USD/CHF

0.8301 ▲0.25% Day H 0.8314 / L 0.8277 52W 0.7602–0.8314

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
0.8324	0.8311	0.8295	0.8267	0.8254	0.8239

With the US session now active, USD/CHF trades at 0.8301 (+0.25% vs. yesterday's close), just 0.16% below its 52-week high of 0.8314. Today's intraday range of 0.8277–0.8314 (0.0037 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 0.8282.

Price is closest to R1 at 0.8295 — a decisive break above R1 (0.8295) opens R2 (0.8311). The R1–S1 corridor (0.8295–0.8267) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For USD/CHF, upside momentum is intact; the 52W high is the key target on a sustained break above R2. The 52-week range of 0.7602–0.8314 places the pair at the 98th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

USD/CHFRangeboundAbove R1Near 52W High

AUD/USD

0.7022 ▲0.01% Day H 0.7029 / L 0.7005 52W 0.6421–0.7277

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
0.7080	0.7061	0.7041	0.7002	0.6984	0.6964

With the US session now active, AUD/USD trades at 0.7022 (+0.01% vs. yesterday's close), at the 70th percentile of its 0.6421–0.7277 52-week range. Today's intraday range of 0.7005–0.7029 (0.0024 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias is neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 0.7022.

Price is closest to R1 at 0.7041 — a decisive break above R1 (0.7041) opens R2 (0.7061). The R1–S1 corridor (0.7041–0.7002) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For AUD/USD, intraday momentum is constructive; the upper half of the annual range favours dip-buyers. The 52-week range of 0.6421–0.7277 places the pair at the 70th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

AUD/USDRangebound

NZD/USD

0.5665 ▲0.08% Day H 0.5673 / L 0.5648 52W 0.5576–0.6092

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
0.5702	0.5689	0.5675	0.5648	0.5635	0.5621

With the US session now active, NZD/USD trades at 0.5665 (+0.08% vs. yesterday's close), at the 17th percentile of its 0.5576–0.6092 52-week range. Today's intraday range of 0.5648–0.5673 (0.0025 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 0.5662.

Price is closest to R1 at 0.5675 — a decisive break above R1 (0.5675) opens R2 (0.5689). The R1–S1 corridor (0.5675–0.5648) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For NZD/USD, price is in the lower half of its annual range, keeping the path of least resistance lower. The 52-week range of 0.5576–0.6092 places the pair at the 17th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

NZD/USDRangebound

USD/CAD

1.4156 ▲0.12% Day H 1.4163 / L 1.4138 52W 1.3480–1.4247

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
1.4176	1.4165	1.4152	1.4128	1.4117	1.4104

With the US session now active, USD/CAD trades at 1.4156 (+0.12% vs. yesterday's close), just 0.65% below its 52-week high of 1.4247. Today's intraday range of 1.4138–1.4163 (0.0026 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 1.4141.

Price is closest to R1 at 1.4152 — a decisive break above R1 (1.4152) opens R2 (1.4165). The R1–S1 corridor (1.4152–1.4128) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For USD/CAD, upside momentum is intact; the 52W high is the key target on a sustained break above R2. The 52-week range of 1.3480–1.4247 places the pair at the 88th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

USD/CADRangeboundAbove R1Near 52W High

Cross Pairs

EUR/GBP

0.8579 ▼0.22% Day H 0.8602 / L 0.8577 52W 0.8454–0.8865

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
0.8621	0.8616	0.8607	0.8593	0.8588	0.8578

With the US session now active, EUR/GBP trades at 0.8579 (-0.22% vs. yesterday's close), just 1.47% above its 52-week floor at 0.8454. Today's intraday range of 0.8577–0.8602 (0.0025 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias is neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 0.8602.

Price is closest to S1 at 0.8593 — a decisive break below S1 (0.8593) exposes S2 (0.8588). The R1–S1 corridor (0.8607–0.8593) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For EUR/GBP, the annual support remains the decisive level — bulls need a firm hold here to prevent a deeper pullback. The 52-week range of 0.8454–0.8865 places the pair at the 30th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

EUR/GBPRangeboundBelow S1Near 52W Low

EUR/JPY

178.33 ▼0.42% Day H 179.72 / L 178.25 52W 174.81–187.94

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
182.10	181.43	180.26	178.41	177.74	176.56

With the US session now active, EUR/JPY trades at 178.33 (-0.42% vs. yesterday's close), at the 27th percentile of its 174.81–187.94 52-week range. Today's intraday range of 178.25–179.72 (1.46 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias is neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 179.58.

Price is closest to S1 at 178.41 — a decisive break below S1 (178.41) exposes S2 (177.74). The R1–S1 corridor (180.26–178.41) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For EUR/JPY, price is in the lower half of its annual range, keeping the path of least resistance lower. The 52-week range of 174.81–187.94 places the pair at the 27th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

EUR/JPYBearishBelow S1

GBP/JPY

207.85 ▼0.19% Day H 208.98 / L 207.78 52W 199.06–219.60

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
211.47	210.73	209.49	207.50	206.76	205.52

With the US session now active, GBP/JPY trades at 207.85 (-0.19% vs. yesterday's close), at the 43th percentile of its 199.06–219.60 52-week range. Today's intraday range of 207.78–208.98 (1.20 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias is neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 208.74.

Price is closest to S1 at 207.50 — a decisive break below S1 (207.50) exposes S2 (206.76). The R1–S1 corridor (209.49–207.50) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For GBP/JPY, price is in the lower half of its annual range, keeping the path of least resistance lower. The 52-week range of 199.06–219.60 places the pair at the 43th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

GBP/JPYRangebound

AUD/JPY

110.01 ▼0.38% Day H 110.88 / L 109.95 52W 96.25–114.95

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
112.48	112.00	111.21	109.94	109.46	108.67

With the US session now active, AUD/JPY trades at 110.01 (-0.38% vs. yesterday's close), at the 74th percentile of its 96.25–114.95 52-week range. Today's intraday range of 109.95–110.88 (0.93 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias is neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 110.73.

Price is closest to S1 at 109.94 — a decisive break below S1 (109.94) exposes S2 (109.46). The R1–S1 corridor (111.21–109.94) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For AUD/JPY, intraday momentum is constructive; the upper half of the annual range favours dip-buyers. The 52-week range of 96.25–114.95 places the pair at the 74th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

AUD/JPYBearish

Nordic Pairs

USD/NOK

9.512 ▲0.09% Day H 9.525 / L 9.489 52W 9.144–10.297

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
9.587	9.557	9.530	9.473	9.443	9.416

With the US session now active, USD/NOK trades at 9.512 (+0.09% vs. yesterday's close), at the 32th percentile of its 9.144–10.297 52-week range. Today's intraday range of 9.489–9.525 (0.036 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 9.500.

Price is closest to R1 at 9.530 — a decisive break above R1 (9.530) opens R2 (9.557). The R1–S1 corridor (9.530–9.473) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For USD/NOK, price is in the lower half of its annual range, keeping the path of least resistance lower. The 52-week range of 9.144–10.297 places the pair at the 32th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

USD/NOKRangebound

USD/SEK

9.939 ▲0.25% Day H 9.947 / L 9.893 52W 8.737–9.956

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
9.979	9.955	9.935	9.891	9.867	9.847

With the US session now active, USD/SEK trades at 9.939 (+0.25% vs. yesterday's close), just 0.16% below its 52-week high of 9.956. Today's intraday range of 9.893–9.947 (0.054 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 9.911.

Price is closest to R1 at 9.935 — a decisive break above R1 (9.935) opens R2 (9.955). The R1–S1 corridor (9.935–9.891) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For USD/SEK, upside momentum is intact; the 52W high is the key target on a sustained break above R2. The 52-week range of 8.737–9.956 places the pair at the 99th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

USD/SEKRangeboundAbove R1Near 52W High

EUR/NOK

10.827 ▲0.01% Day H 10.842 / L 10.802 52W 10.673–12.012

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
10.944	10.899	10.863	10.782	10.737	10.701

With the US session now active, EUR/NOK trades at 10.827 (+0.01% vs. yesterday's close), just 1.45% above its 52-week floor at 10.673. Today's intraday range of 10.802–10.842 (0.040 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 10.818.

Price is closest to R1 at 10.863 — a decisive break above R1 (10.863) opens R2 (10.899). The R1–S1 corridor (10.863–10.782) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For EUR/NOK, the annual support remains the decisive level — bulls need a firm hold here to prevent a deeper pullback. The 52-week range of 10.673–12.012 places the pair at the 12th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

EUR/NOKRangeboundNear 52W Low

NOK/SEK

1.0444 ▲0.23% Day H 1.0445 / L 1.0295 52W 0.9064–1.0491

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
1.0538	1.0491	1.0456	1.0374	1.0328	1.0292

With the US session now active, NOK/SEK trades at 1.0444 (+0.23% vs. yesterday's close), just 0.45% below its 52-week high of 1.0491. Today's intraday range of 1.0295–1.0445 (0.0150 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 1.0409.

Price is closest to R1 at 1.0456 — a decisive break above R1 (1.0456) opens R2 (1.0491). The R1–S1 corridor (1.0456–1.0374) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For NOK/SEK, upside momentum is intact; the 52W high is the key target on a sustained break above R2. The 52-week range of 0.9064–1.0491 places the pair at the 97th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

NOK/SEKRangeboundNear 52W High

Exotic Pairs

USD/TRY

48.980 ▲0.45% Day H 49.010 / L 48.826 52W 41.415–49.010

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
49.251	49.109	48.935	48.619	48.477	48.303

With the US session now active, USD/TRY trades at 48.980 (+0.45% vs. yesterday's close), just 0.06% below its 52-week high of 49.010. Today's intraday range of 48.826–49.010 (0.185 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 48.793.

Price is closest to R1 at 48.935 — a decisive break above R1 (48.935) opens R2 (49.109). The R1–S1 corridor (48.935–48.619) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For USD/TRY, upside momentum is intact; the 52W high is the key target on a sustained break above R2. The 52-week range of 41.415–49.010 places the pair at the 100th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

USD/TRYBullishAbove R1Near 52W High

USD/MXN

17.772 ▲0.51% Day H 17.787 / L 17.660 52W 16.855–18.768

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
17.890	17.834	17.757	17.624	17.567	17.491

With the US session now active, USD/MXN trades at 17.772 (+0.51% vs. yesterday's close), at the 48th percentile of its 16.855–18.768 52-week range. Today's intraday range of 17.660–17.787 (0.127 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 17.700.

Price is closest to R1 at 17.757 — a decisive break above R1 (17.757) opens R2 (17.834). The R1–S1 corridor (17.757–17.624) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For USD/MXN, price is in the lower half of its annual range, keeping the path of least resistance lower. The 52-week range of 16.855–18.768 places the pair at the 48th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

USD/MXNBullishAbove R1

USD/ZAR

16.38 ▲0.52% Day H 16.41 / L 16.28 52W 15.64–17.57

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
16.58	16.51	16.40	16.22	16.16	16.05

With the US session now active, USD/ZAR trades at 16.38 (+0.52% vs. yesterday's close), at the 38th percentile of its 15.64–17.57 52-week range. Today's intraday range of 16.28–16.41 (0.13 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 16.33.

Price is closest to R1 at 16.40 — a decisive break above R1 (16.40) opens R2 (16.51). The R1–S1 corridor (16.40–16.22) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For USD/ZAR, price is in the lower half of its annual range, keeping the path of least resistance lower. The 52-week range of 15.64–17.57 places the pair at the 38th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

USD/ZARBullish

USD/PLN

3.8455 ▲0.25% Day H 3.8491 / L 3.8353 52W 3.4750–3.8624

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
3.8767	3.8661	3.8510	3.8253	3.8147	3.7995

With the US session now active, USD/PLN trades at 3.8455 (+0.25% vs. yesterday's close), just 0.44% below its 52-week high of 3.8624. Today's intraday range of 3.8353–3.8491 (0.0138 pips) is above the average daily range. The intraday bias tilts bullish with price above the daily pivot at 3.8404.

Price is closest to R1 at 3.8510 — a decisive break above R1 (3.8510) opens R2 (3.8661). The R1–S1 corridor (3.8510–3.8253) defines the equilibrium zone for the afternoon session; a sustained directional break will likely set the tone into tomorrow's Asian open.

For USD/PLN, upside momentum is intact; the 52W high is the key target on a sustained break above R2. The 52-week range of 3.4750–3.8624 places the pair at the 96th percentile annually. Key risk: any USD-moving headline into the NY close could extend the intraday range well beyond current pivot boundaries.

USD/PLNRangeboundNear 52W High

Informational purposes only — not investment advice. Pivot levels computed from yesterday's session OHLC via standard floor-pivot formula. Prices sourced from MetaTrader 5 as of Monday 28 September 2026 midday (15:30 CET). Past performance is not indicative of future results.