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Forex

FX Evening Briefing — Tue 13 Oct 2026: USD/SEK Closes Lower 0.51% — Asian Session Preview

MarketsFN FX Desk

•10 min read
FX Evening Briefing — Tue 13 Oct 2026: USD/SEK Closes Lower 0.51% — Asian Session Preview

Evening wrap-up for Tuesday 13 October 2026: as European markets close and the US session enters its final hours, G10 and emerging FX markets are closing with 11 pairs higher and 8 lower on the day. The standout movers are USD/SEK (-0.51%), NZD/USD (+0.48%), USD/MXN (+0.43%). End-of-day flows — institutional rebalancing, month-end positioning and any late US data surprises — are the main drivers for tonight's Asian handoff.

This evening briefing includes the full day's economic calendar with all released actuals, final intraday pivot levels, and updated candlestick charts for all 19 pairs. Pivot levels will reset at tomorrow's EU open based on today's completed daily bars.

All pivot levels (R1 R2 R3 / S1 S2 S3) are computed from yesterday's full-session OHLC. Asian session key levels and carry trade dynamics are highlighted in each pair's analysis below.

Today's Economic Calendar — Full Day Results

Time (UTC)EventCCYPreviousForecastActual
00:30● RBA Meeting MinutesAUD———
00:30● NAB Business Confidence (Sep)AUD-9—-13
06:00● German CPI (MoM) (Sep)EUR0.2%0.6%0.6%
06:00● German CPI (YoY) (Sep)EUR2.9%3.3%3.3%
07:15● ECB's Elderson SpeaksEUR———
07:45● Fed Waller SpeaksUSD———
10:00● OPEC Monthly ReportUSD———
12:15● ADP Employment Change WeeklyUSD23.80K—24.80K
14:00● Existing Home Sales (Sep)USD3.93M3.95M3.99M
14:00● Existing Home Sales (MoM) (Sep)USD-3.2%-0.8%1.5%
17:30● ECB's Lane SpeaksEUR———
19:00● Federal Budget Balance (Sep)USD-167.0B-29.0B—

Major Pairs

EUR/USD

1.1198 ▲0.40% Day H 1.1204 / L 1.1149 52W 1.1149–1.2082

EUR/USD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
1.12611.12391.11961.11321.11101.1067

End-of-day snapshot for EUR/USD: closing at 1.1198 (+0.40% on the day), just 0.44% above its 52-week floor at 1.1149. Today's full-session range of 1.1149–1.1204 (0.0055 points). The daily close above the pivot (1.1174) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 1.1196 / R2 1.1239 / R3 1.1261 on the upside and S1 1.1132 / S2 1.1110 / S3 1.1067 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

EUR/USD finishes the day the annual support is under watch — a close below would reset the technical outlook bearish. The 52-week range of 1.1149–1.2082 places the pair at the 5th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

EUR/USDBullishAbove R1Near 52W Low

GBP/USD

1.3243 ▲0.28% Day H 1.3254 / L 1.3202 52W 1.3009–1.3868

GBP/USD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
1.33041.32821.32441.31841.31631.3124

End-of-day snapshot for GBP/USD: closing at 1.3243 (+0.28% on the day), at the 27th percentile of its 1.3009–1.3868 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 1.3202–1.3254 (0.0051 points). The daily close above the pivot (1.3222) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 1.3244 / R2 1.3282 / R3 1.3304 on the upside and S1 1.3184 / S2 1.3163 / S3 1.3124 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

GBP/USD finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 1.3009–1.3868 places the pair at the 27th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

GBP/USDRangebound

USD/JPY

158.38 ▼0.14% Day H 158.64 / L 157.82 52W 151.53–163.98

USD/JPY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
159.55159.15158.88158.20157.80157.52

End-of-day snapshot for USD/JPY: closing at 158.38 (-0.14% on the day), at the 55th percentile of its 151.53–163.98 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 157.82–158.64 (0.82 points). The daily close below the pivot (158.47) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 158.88 / R2 159.15 / R3 159.55 on the upside and S1 158.20 / S2 157.80 / S3 157.52 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/JPY finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 151.53–163.98 places the pair at the 55th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/JPYRangebound

USD/CHF

0.8331 ▼0.16% Day H 0.8346 / L 0.8313 52W 0.7602–0.8382

USD/CHF candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
0.84240.83860.83660.83070.82680.8248

End-of-day snapshot for USD/CHF: closing at 0.8331 (-0.16% on the day), just 0.60% below its 52-week high of 0.8382. Today's full-session range of 0.8313–0.8346 (0.0033 points). The daily close above the pivot (0.8327) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 0.8366 / R2 0.8386 / R3 0.8424 on the upside and S1 0.8307 / S2 0.8268 / S3 0.8248 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/CHF finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 0.7602–0.8382 places the pair at the 94th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/CHFRangeboundNear 52W High

AUD/USD

0.6981 ▲0.34% Day H 0.6986 / L 0.6949 52W 0.6421–0.7277

AUD/USD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
0.70230.70090.69830.69430.69290.6903

End-of-day snapshot for AUD/USD: closing at 0.6981 (+0.34% on the day), at the 65th percentile of its 0.6421–0.7277 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 0.6949–0.6986 (0.0036 points). The daily close above the pivot (0.6969) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 0.6983 / R2 0.7009 / R3 0.7023 on the upside and S1 0.6943 / S2 0.6929 / S3 0.6903 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

AUD/USD finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 0.6421–0.7277 places the pair at the 65th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

AUD/USDBullish

NZD/USD

0.5612 ▲0.48% Day H 0.5616 / L 0.5578 52W 0.5576–0.6092

NZD/USD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
0.56440.56310.56080.55720.55590.5536

End-of-day snapshot for NZD/USD: closing at 0.5612 (+0.48% on the day), just 0.64% above its 52-week floor at 0.5576. Today's full-session range of 0.5578–0.5616 (0.0038 points). The daily close above the pivot (0.5595) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 0.5608 / R2 0.5631 / R3 0.5644 on the upside and S1 0.5572 / S2 0.5559 / S3 0.5536 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

NZD/USD finishes the day the annual support is under watch — a close below would reset the technical outlook bearish. The 52-week range of 0.5576–0.6092 places the pair at the 7th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

NZD/USDBullishAbove R1Near 52W Low

USD/CAD

1.4229 ▼0.35% Day H 1.4282 / L 1.4221 52W 1.3480–1.4297

USD/CAD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
1.43451.43161.42981.42501.42211.4202

End-of-day snapshot for USD/CAD: closing at 1.4229 (-0.35% on the day), just 0.48% below its 52-week high of 1.4297. Today's full-session range of 1.4221–1.4282 (0.0061 points). The daily close below the pivot (1.4268) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 1.4298 / R2 1.4316 / R3 1.4345 on the upside and S1 1.4250 / S2 1.4221 / S3 1.4202 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/CAD finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 1.3480–1.4297 places the pair at the 92th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/CADBearishBelow S1Near 52W High

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Cross Pairs

EUR/GBP

0.8449 ▲0.06% Day H 0.8457 / L 0.8437 52W 0.8437–0.8865

EUR/GBP candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
0.84800.84720.84580.84360.84290.8415

End-of-day snapshot for EUR/GBP: closing at 0.8449 (+0.06% on the day), just 0.14% above its 52-week floor at 0.8437. Today's full-session range of 0.8437–0.8457 (0.0020 points). The daily close below the pivot (0.8451) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 0.8458 / R2 0.8472 / R3 0.8480 on the upside and S1 0.8436 / S2 0.8429 / S3 0.8415 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

EUR/GBP finishes the day the annual support is under watch — a close below would reset the technical outlook bearish. The 52-week range of 0.8437–0.8865 places the pair at the 3th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

EUR/GBPRangeboundNear 52W Low

EUR/JPY

177.19 ▲0.17% Day H 177.37 / L 176.47 52W 175.70–187.94

EUR/JPY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
178.00177.78177.33176.67176.44176.00

End-of-day snapshot for EUR/JPY: closing at 177.19 (+0.17% on the day), just 0.85% above its 52-week floor at 175.70. Today's full-session range of 176.47–177.37 (0.90 points). The daily close above the pivot (177.11) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 177.33 / R2 177.78 / R3 178.00 on the upside and S1 176.67 / S2 176.44 / S3 176.00 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

EUR/JPY finishes the day the annual support is under watch — a close below would reset the technical outlook bearish. The 52-week range of 175.70–187.94 places the pair at the 12th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

EUR/JPYRangeboundNear 52W Low

GBP/JPY

209.70 ▲0.14% Day H 209.82 / L 208.88 52W 199.06–219.60

GBP/JPY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
210.70210.33209.88209.06208.70208.24

End-of-day snapshot for GBP/JPY: closing at 209.70 (+0.14% on the day), at the 52th percentile of its 199.06–219.60 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 208.88–209.82 (0.95 points). The daily close above the pivot (209.52) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 209.88 / R2 210.33 / R3 210.70 on the upside and S1 209.06 / S2 208.70 / S3 208.24 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

GBP/JPY finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 199.06–219.60 places the pair at the 52th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

GBP/JPYRangebound

AUD/JPY

110.49 ▲0.13% Day H 110.56 / L 110.02 52W 98.48–114.95

AUD/JPY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
111.01110.82110.58110.15109.96109.72

End-of-day snapshot for AUD/JPY: closing at 110.49 (+0.13% on the day), at the 73th percentile of its 98.48–114.95 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 110.02–110.56 (0.53 points). The daily close above the pivot (110.39) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 110.58 / R2 110.82 / R3 111.01 on the upside and S1 110.15 / S2 109.96 / S3 109.72 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

AUD/JPY finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 98.48–114.95 places the pair at the 73th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

AUD/JPYRangebound

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Nordic Pairs

USD/NOK

9.530 ▼0.42% Day H 9.592 / L 9.518 52W 9.144–10.297

USD/NOK candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
9.6199.6009.5859.5519.5329.517

End-of-day snapshot for USD/NOK: closing at 9.530 (-0.42% on the day), at the 33th percentile of its 9.144–10.297 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 9.518–9.592 (0.074 points). The daily close below the pivot (9.566) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 9.585 / R2 9.600 / R3 9.619 on the upside and S1 9.551 / S2 9.532 / S3 9.517 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/NOK finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 9.144–10.297 places the pair at the 33th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/NOKBearishBelow S1

USD/SEK

9.983 ▼0.51% Day H 10.044 / L 9.957 52W 8.737–10.105

USD/SEK candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
10.14010.09410.0649.9889.9429.913

End-of-day snapshot for USD/SEK: closing at 9.983 (-0.51% on the day), just 1.22% below its 52-week high of 10.105. Today's full-session range of 9.957–10.044 (0.086 points). The daily close below the pivot (10.018) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 10.064 / R2 10.094 / R3 10.140 on the upside and S1 9.988 / S2 9.942 / S3 9.913 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/SEK finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 8.737–10.105 places the pair at the 91th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/SEKBearishBelow S1Near 52W High

EUR/NOK

10.661 ▼0.17% Day H 10.702 / L 10.660 52W 10.660–12.012

EUR/NOK candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
10.81010.78110.73110.65110.62310.572

End-of-day snapshot for EUR/NOK: closing at 10.661 (-0.17% on the day), just 0.02% above its 52-week floor at 10.660. Today's full-session range of 10.660–10.702 (0.042 points). The daily close below the pivot (10.702) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 10.731 / R2 10.781 / R3 10.810 on the upside and S1 10.651 / S2 10.623 / S3 10.572 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

EUR/NOK finishes the day the annual support is under watch — a close below would reset the technical outlook bearish. The 52-week range of 10.660–12.012 places the pair at the 0th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

EUR/NOKRangeboundNear 52W Low

NOK/SEK

1.0471 +0.00% Day H 1.0482 / L 1.0329 52W 0.9064–1.0497

NOK/SEK candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
1.07191.06031.05371.03551.02391.0173

End-of-day snapshot for NOK/SEK: closing at 1.0471 (+0.00% on the day), just 0.26% below its 52-week high of 1.0497. Today's full-session range of 1.0329–1.0482 (0.0153 points). The daily close above the pivot (1.0421) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 1.0537 / R2 1.0603 / R3 1.0719 on the upside and S1 1.0355 / S2 1.0239 / S3 1.0173 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

NOK/SEK finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 0.9064–1.0497 places the pair at the 98th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

NOK/SEKRangeboundNear 52W High

Exotic Pairs

USD/TRY

49.365 ▲0.32% Day H 49.366 / L 49.191 52W 41.638–49.366

USD/TRY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
49.43049.38549.29649.16149.11649.026

End-of-day snapshot for USD/TRY: closing at 49.365 (+0.32% on the day), just 0.00% below its 52-week high of 49.366. Today's full-session range of 49.191–49.366 (0.175 points). The daily close above the pivot (49.251) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 49.296 / R2 49.385 / R3 49.430 on the upside and S1 49.161 / S2 49.116 / S3 49.026 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/TRY finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 41.638–49.366 places the pair at the 100th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/TRYBullishAbove R1Near 52W High

USD/MXN

18.333 ▲0.43% Day H 18.396 / L 18.212 52W 16.855–18.768

USD/MXN candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
18.60918.52118.38818.16818.08017.947

End-of-day snapshot for USD/MXN: closing at 18.333 (+0.43% on the day), at the 77th percentile of its 16.855–18.768 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 18.212–18.396 (0.184 points). The daily close above the pivot (18.301) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 18.388 / R2 18.521 / R3 18.609 on the upside and S1 18.168 / S2 18.080 / S3 17.947 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/MXN finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 16.855–18.768 places the pair at the 77th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/MXNBullish

USD/ZAR

16.51 ▼0.08% Day H 16.56 / L 16.45 52W 15.64–17.57

USD/ZAR candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
16.6716.6116.5716.4716.4216.37

End-of-day snapshot for USD/ZAR: closing at 16.51 (-0.08% on the day), at the 45th percentile of its 15.64–17.57 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 16.45–16.56 (0.11 points). The daily close below the pivot (16.52) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 16.57 / R2 16.61 / R3 16.67 on the upside and S1 16.47 / S2 16.42 / S3 16.37 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/ZAR finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 15.64–17.57 places the pair at the 45th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/ZARRangebound

USD/PLN

3.9098 ▼0.42% Day H 3.9319 / L 3.9024 52W 3.4750–3.9319

USD/PLN candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
3.97473.95293.93953.90443.88263.8693

End-of-day snapshot for USD/PLN: closing at 3.9098 (-0.42% on the day), just 0.57% below its 52-week high of 3.9319. Today's full-session range of 3.9024–3.9319 (0.0296 points). The daily close below the pivot (3.9178) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 3.9395 / R2 3.9529 / R3 3.9747 on the upside and S1 3.9044 / S2 3.8826 / S3 3.8693 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/PLN finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 3.4750–3.9319 places the pair at the 95th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/PLNBearishNear 52W High

Informational purposes only — not investment advice. Pivot levels computed from yesterday's session OHLC via standard floor-pivot formula. Prices sourced from MetaTrader 5 as of Tuesday 13 October 2026 evening (20:30 CET). Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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