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Forex

FX Evening Briefing — Mon 14 Sep 2026: USD/ZAR Closes Higher 1.36% — Asian Session Preview

MarketsFN FX Desk

10 min read
FX Evening Briefing — Mon 14 Sep 2026: USD/ZAR Closes Higher 1.36% — Asian Session Preview

Evening wrap-up for Monday 14 September 2026: as European markets close and the US session enters its final hours, G10 and emerging FX markets are closing with 12 pairs higher and 7 lower on the day. The standout movers are USD/ZAR (+1.36%), USD/MXN (+1.22%), USD/PLN (+1.17%). End-of-day flows — institutional rebalancing, month-end positioning and any late US data surprises — are the main drivers for tonight's Asian handoff.

This evening briefing includes the full day's economic calendar with all released actuals, final intraday pivot levels, and updated candlestick charts for all 19 pairs. Pivot levels will reset at tomorrow's EU open based on today's completed daily bars.

All pivot levels (R1 R2 R3 / S1 S2 S3) are computed from yesterday's full-session OHLC. Asian session key levels and carry trade dynamics are highlighted in each pair's analysis below.

Today's Economic Calendar — Full Day Results

Time (UTC)EventCCYPreviousForecastActual
04:30 Industrial Production (MoM) (Jul)JPY1.9%0.1%-0.2%
06:30 PPI (MoM) (Aug)CHF-0.1%0.1%0.7%
06:30 WPI Inflation (YoY) (Aug)INR9.78%9.89%9.92%
08:00 New Loans (Aug)CNY-340.0B480.0B60.0B
09:15 ECB's Schnabel SpeaksEUR
10:30 CPI (YoY) (Aug)INR4.45%4.80%4.82%
12:30 Core CPI (MoM) (Aug)CAD0.2%0.2%0.1%
12:30 Core CPI (YoY) (Aug)CAD2.3%2.4%
12:30 CPI (MoM) (Aug)CAD0.5%-0.1%-0.1%
15:15 ECB President Lagarde SpeaksEUR
22:45 Electronic Card Retail Sales (MoM) (Aug)NZD1.3%

Major Pairs

EUR/USD

1.1556▼0.36% Day H 1.1597 / L 1.1523 52W 1.1324–1.2082

EUR/USD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
1.16681.16431.16201.15721.15461.1524

End-of-day snapshot for EUR/USD: closing at 1.1556 (-0.36% on the day), at the 31th percentile of its 1.1324–1.2082 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 1.1523–1.1597 (0.0074 points). The daily close below the pivot (1.1595) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 1.1620 / R2 1.1643 / R3 1.1668 on the upside and S1 1.1572 / S2 1.1546 / S3 1.1524 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

EUR/USD finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 1.1324–1.2082 places the pair at the 31th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

EUR/USDBearishBelow S1

GBP/USD

1.3509▼0.12% Day H 1.3528 / L 1.3463 52W 1.3009–1.3868

GBP/USD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
1.36001.35671.35461.34921.34591.3437

End-of-day snapshot for GBP/USD: closing at 1.3509 (-0.12% on the day), at the 58th percentile of its 1.3009–1.3868 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 1.3463–1.3528 (0.0064 points). The daily close below the pivot (1.3513) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 1.3546 / R2 1.3567 / R3 1.3600 on the upside and S1 1.3492 / S2 1.3459 / S3 1.3437 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

GBP/USD finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 1.3009–1.3868 places the pair at the 58th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

GBP/USDRangebound

USD/JPY

154.42▲0.61% Day H 155.00 / L 153.37 52W 146.58–163.98

USD/JPY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
155.70155.15154.32152.94152.40151.56

End-of-day snapshot for USD/JPY: closing at 154.42 (+0.61% on the day), at the 45th percentile of its 146.58–163.98 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 153.37–155.00 (1.63 points). The daily close above the pivot (153.78) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 154.32 / R2 155.15 / R3 155.70 on the upside and S1 152.94 / S2 152.40 / S3 151.56 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/JPY finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 146.58–163.98 places the pair at the 45th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/JPYBullishAbove R1

USD/CHF

0.8155▼0.08% Day H 0.8195 / L 0.8153 52W 0.7602–0.8206

USD/CHF candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
0.82300.82000.81810.81310.81010.8082

End-of-day snapshot for USD/CHF: closing at 0.8155 (-0.08% on the day), just 0.63% below its 52-week high of 0.8206. Today's full-session range of 0.8153–0.8195 (0.0042 points). The daily close above the pivot (0.8151) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 0.8181 / R2 0.8200 / R3 0.8230 on the upside and S1 0.8131 / S2 0.8101 / S3 0.8082 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/CHF finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 0.7602–0.8206 places the pair at the 92th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/CHFRangeboundNear 52W High

AUD/USD

0.7145▼0.35% Day H 0.7166 / L 0.7108 52W 0.6421–0.7277

AUD/USD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
0.72260.72060.71880.71500.71310.7113

End-of-day snapshot for AUD/USD: closing at 0.7145 (-0.35% on the day), at the 85th percentile of its 0.6421–0.7277 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 0.7108–0.7166 (0.0058 points). The daily close below the pivot (0.7169) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 0.7188 / R2 0.7206 / R3 0.7226 on the upside and S1 0.7150 / S2 0.7131 / S3 0.7113 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

AUD/USD finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 0.6421–0.7277 places the pair at the 85th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

AUD/USDBearishBelow S1

NZD/USD

0.5787▼0.41% Day H 0.5818 / L 0.5756 52W 0.5576–0.6092

NZD/USD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
0.58760.58550.58330.57900.57690.5747

End-of-day snapshot for NZD/USD: closing at 0.5787 (-0.41% on the day), at the 41th percentile of its 0.5576–0.6092 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 0.5756–0.5818 (0.0061 points). The daily close below the pivot (0.5812) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 0.5833 / R2 0.5855 / R3 0.5876 on the upside and S1 0.5790 / S2 0.5769 / S3 0.5747 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

NZD/USD finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 0.5576–0.6092 places the pair at the 41th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

NZD/USDBearishBelow S1

USD/CAD

1.3925▲0.40% Day H 1.3927 / L 1.3864 52W 1.3480–1.4247

USD/CAD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
1.39551.39191.38941.38341.37981.3773

End-of-day snapshot for USD/CAD: closing at 1.3925 (+0.40% on the day), at the 58th percentile of its 1.3480–1.4247 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 1.3864–1.3927 (0.0063 points). The daily close above the pivot (1.3858) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 1.3894 / R2 1.3919 / R3 1.3955 on the upside and S1 1.3834 / S2 1.3798 / S3 1.3773 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/CAD finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 1.3480–1.4247 places the pair at the 58th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/CADBullishAbove R1

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Cross Pairs

EUR/GBP

0.8557▼0.18% Day H 0.8574 / L 0.8554 52W 0.8454–0.8865

EUR/GBP candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
0.86160.86060.85890.85630.85530.8537

End-of-day snapshot for EUR/GBP: closing at 0.8557 (-0.18% on the day), just 1.21% above its 52-week floor at 0.8454. Today's full-session range of 0.8554–0.8574 (0.0020 points). The daily close below the pivot (0.8580) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 0.8589 / R2 0.8606 / R3 0.8616 on the upside and S1 0.8563 / S2 0.8553 / S3 0.8537 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

EUR/GBP finishes the day the annual support is under watch — a close below would reset the technical outlook bearish. The 52-week range of 0.8454–0.8865 places the pair at the 25th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

EUR/GBPRangeboundBelow S1Near 52W Low

EUR/JPY

178.56▲0.28% Day H 178.66 / L 177.83 52W 172.26–187.94

EUR/JPY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
180.77180.15179.11177.46176.84175.80

End-of-day snapshot for EUR/JPY: closing at 178.56 (+0.28% on the day), at the 40th percentile of its 172.26–187.94 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 177.83–178.66 (0.83 points). The daily close above the pivot (178.49) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 179.11 / R2 180.15 / R3 180.77 on the upside and S1 177.46 / S2 176.84 / S3 175.80 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

EUR/JPY finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 172.26–187.94 places the pair at the 40th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

EUR/JPYRangebound

GBP/JPY

208.66▲0.49% Day H 208.76 / L 207.32 52W 197.48–219.60

GBP/JPY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
210.21209.55208.60206.99206.33205.38

End-of-day snapshot for GBP/JPY: closing at 208.66 (+0.49% on the day), at the 51th percentile of its 197.48–219.60 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 207.32–208.76 (1.43 points). The daily close above the pivot (207.94) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 208.60 / R2 209.55 / R3 210.21 on the upside and S1 206.99 / S2 206.33 / S3 205.38 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

GBP/JPY finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 197.48–219.60 places the pair at the 51th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

GBP/JPYBullishAbove R1

AUD/JPY

110.20▲0.10% Day H 110.27 / L 109.67 52W 96.25–114.95

AUD/JPY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
111.29111.02110.56109.83109.57109.10

End-of-day snapshot for AUD/JPY: closing at 110.20 (+0.10% on the day), at the 75th percentile of its 96.25–114.95 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 109.67–110.27 (0.60 points). The daily close below the pivot (110.30) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 110.56 / R2 111.02 / R3 111.29 on the upside and S1 109.83 / S2 109.57 / S3 109.10 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

AUD/JPY finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 96.25–114.95 places the pair at the 75th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

AUD/JPYRangebound

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Nordic Pairs

USD/NOK

9.342▲0.62% Day H 9.349 / L 9.230 52W 9.144–10.297

USD/NOK candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
9.3909.3559.3209.2509.2159.180

End-of-day snapshot for USD/NOK: closing at 9.342 (+0.62% on the day), at the 17th percentile of its 9.144–10.297 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 9.230–9.349 (0.119 points). The daily close above the pivot (9.285) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 9.320 / R2 9.355 / R3 9.390 on the upside and S1 9.250 / S2 9.215 / S3 9.180 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/NOK finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 9.144–10.297 places the pair at the 17th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/NOKBullishAbove R1

USD/SEK

9.795▲1.08% Day H 9.801 / L 9.641 52W 8.737–9.801

USD/SEK candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
9.8099.7659.7289.6469.6039.565

End-of-day snapshot for USD/SEK: closing at 9.795 (+1.08% on the day), just 0.06% below its 52-week high of 9.801. Today's full-session range of 9.641–9.801 (0.160 points). The daily close above the pivot (9.684) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 9.728 / R2 9.765 / R3 9.809 on the upside and S1 9.646 / S2 9.603 / S3 9.565 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/SEK finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 8.737–9.801 places the pair at the 99th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/SEKBullishAbove R1Near 52W High

EUR/NOK

10.768▼0.02% Day H 10.782 / L 10.723 52W 10.673–12.012

EUR/NOK candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
10.85410.82710.79910.74310.71610.687

End-of-day snapshot for EUR/NOK: closing at 10.768 (-0.02% on the day), just 0.89% above its 52-week floor at 10.673. Today's full-session range of 10.723–10.782 (0.059 points). The daily close below the pivot (10.771) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 10.799 / R2 10.827 / R3 10.854 on the upside and S1 10.743 / S2 10.716 / S3 10.687 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

EUR/NOK finishes the day the annual support is under watch — a close below would reset the technical outlook bearish. The 52-week range of 10.673–12.012 places the pair at the 7th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

EUR/NOKRangeboundNear 52W Low

NOK/SEK

1.0479▲0.47% Day H 1.0491 / L 1.0347 52W 0.9064–1.0491

NOK/SEK candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
1.05521.04981.04641.03761.03221.0288

End-of-day snapshot for NOK/SEK: closing at 1.0479 (+0.47% on the day), just 0.11% below its 52-week high of 1.0491. Today's full-session range of 1.0347–1.0491 (0.0144 points). The daily close above the pivot (1.0410) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 1.0464 / R2 1.0498 / R3 1.0552 on the upside and S1 1.0376 / S2 1.0322 / S3 1.0288 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

NOK/SEK finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 0.9064–1.0491 places the pair at the 99th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

NOK/SEKBullishAbove R1Near 52W High

Exotic Pairs

USD/TRY

48.620▲0.56% Day H 48.621 / L 48.537 52W 41.151–48.621

USD/TRY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
48.91848.76348.55748.19648.04147.835

End-of-day snapshot for USD/TRY: closing at 48.620 (+0.56% on the day), just 0.00% below its 52-week high of 48.621. Today's full-session range of 48.537–48.621 (0.083 points). The daily close above the pivot (48.402) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 48.557 / R2 48.763 / R3 48.918 on the upside and S1 48.196 / S2 48.041 / S3 47.835 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/TRY finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 41.151–48.621 places the pair at the 100th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/TRYBullishAbove R1Near 52W High

USD/MXN

17.175▲1.22% Day H 17.188 / L 16.950 52W 16.855–18.768

USD/MXN candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
17.09217.05017.00916.92616.88416.843

End-of-day snapshot for USD/MXN: closing at 17.175 (+1.22% on the day), at the 17th percentile of its 16.855–18.768 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 16.950–17.188 (0.237 points). The daily close above the pivot (16.967) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 17.009 / R2 17.050 / R3 17.092 on the upside and S1 16.926 / S2 16.884 / S3 16.843 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/MXN finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 16.855–18.768 places the pair at the 17th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/MXNBullishAbove R1

USD/ZAR

16.33▲1.36% Day H 16.34 / L 16.13 52W 15.64–17.57

USD/ZAR candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
16.3316.2716.1916.0516.0015.92

End-of-day snapshot for USD/ZAR: closing at 16.33 (+1.36% on the day), at the 36th percentile of its 15.64–17.57 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 16.13–16.34 (0.21 points). The daily close above the pivot (16.14) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 16.19 / R2 16.27 / R3 16.33 on the upside and S1 16.05 / S2 16.00 / S3 15.92 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/ZAR finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 15.64–17.57 places the pair at the 36th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/ZARBullishAbove R1

USD/PLN

3.7696▲1.17% Day H 3.7711 / L 3.7224 52W 3.4750–3.8127

USD/PLN candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
3.76523.75143.73873.71223.69843.6857

End-of-day snapshot for USD/PLN: closing at 3.7696 (+1.17% on the day), just 1.14% below its 52-week high of 3.8127. Today's full-session range of 3.7224–3.7711 (0.0487 points). The daily close above the pivot (3.7249) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 3.7387 / R2 3.7514 / R3 3.7652 on the upside and S1 3.7122 / S2 3.6984 / S3 3.6857 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/PLN finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 3.4750–3.8127 places the pair at the 87th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/PLNBullishAbove R1Near 52W High

Informational purposes only — not investment advice. Pivot levels computed from yesterday's session OHLC via standard floor-pivot formula. Prices sourced from MetaTrader 5 as of Monday 14 September 2026 evening (20:30 CET). Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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