Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) Q4 2026: Calm Open (+0.2%) — Post-Earnings Analysis
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Quarterly Earnings — Revenue vs. Estimate
| Quarter Label | Quarter End | Rev Actual ($M) | Rev Est ($M) | Rev Var ($M) | EPS Actual | EPS Est | EPS Beat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 2026 | 2026-10 | 9,140 | 9,220 | -80 | 0.80 | 0.72 | +0.08 |
| Q3 2026 | 2026-06-30 | 9,320 | 9,170 | +150 | 0.85 | 0.66 | +0.19 |
| Q2 2026 | 2026-03-31 | 9,530 | 9,170 | +360 | 0.50 | 0.44 | +0.06 |
| Q1 2026 | 2025-12-31 | 9,920 | 9,620 | +300 | 0.56 | 0.59 | -0.03 |
| Q4 2025 | 2025-09-30 | 9,570 | 9,410 | +160 | 0.52 | 0.55 | -0.03 |
Revenue vs. Estimate — 5 Quarters
EPS vs. Estimate — 5 Quarters
Technical Analysis — 90-Day Price Chart
Starbucks Corp. (SBUX) trades at $102.34, sustaining bullish alignment above key moving averages—SMA20 ($97.79) and SMA50 ($99.23)—reinforcing an uptrend, though the SMA200 ($93.50, implied) remains untested since Q4'23. The RSI(14) at 75.4 signals overbought conditions, suggesting potential near-term consolidation. Volume at 4.66M shares lags the 20-day average (9.59M), weakening conviction behind the rally. Positioned 78% toward its 52-week high ($109.88) from the low ($87.35), SBUX faces tightening resistance near the upper range, while the SMA50 and SMA20 provide dynamic support. A crossover of SMA20 above SMA50 in late May confirmed medium-term momentum, but overextended RSI and thinning volume warrant caution against a pullback toward $99–$97 before retesting YTD highs. Watch for volume resurgence to validate breakout attempts.
