FX Morning Briefing — Fri 09 Oct 2026: USD/MXN Rallies 1.33% as European Session Opens

European markets open on Friday 09 October 2026 with G10 FX showing mixed signals as the Asian session wraps up and traders position for Friday's US afternoon data. The top movers overnight are USD/MXN (+1.33%), USD/ZAR (-0.58%), USD/SEK (-0.29%). The US Dollar Index (DXY) reflects accumulated Fed rate-cut expectations, with risk-sensitive currencies responding to equity futures and commodity prices in early London trade.

The European morning calendar is light — German and Spanish CPI finals confirm the disinflationary trend — before the key risk event arrives in the US session: University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September) at 16:00 UTC. A beat would support USD broadly; a miss would renew pressure on USD/JPY near its 2026 floor and push EUR/USD back toward its 52-week high. Norges Bank's hawkish hold continues to anchor NOK outperformance, while exotic pairs trade in tight ranges ahead of the weekly close.

All 19 pairs below include live MT5 pivot levels (R1 R2 R3 / S1 S2 S3) computed from Thursday's full-session OHLC, 65-day candlestick charts with SMA20, SMA50 and Bollinger Bands (20,2), and forward-looking analysis for the EU and US sessions on Fri 09 Oct 2026.

Today's Economic Calendar

Time (UTC)	Event	CCY	Previous	Forecast	Actual
07:00	● SECO Consumer Climate (Sep)	CHF	-33	-32	—
12:00	● CPI (YoY) (Sep)	BRL	4.22%	4.50%	—
12:30	● Employment Change (Sep)	CAD	-41.7K	6.1K	—
12:30	● Unemployment Rate (Sep)	CAD	6.4%	6.5%	—
13:30	● ECB's Schnabel Speaks	EUR	—	—	—
14:00	● Michigan 1-Year Inflation Expectations (Oct)	USD	4.6%	—	—
14:00	● Michigan 5-Year Inflation Expectations (Oct)	USD	3.4%	—	—
14:00	● Michigan Consumer Expectations (Oct)	USD	46.3	45.9	—
14:00	● Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Oct)	USD	48.1	47.5	—
16:00	● WASDE Report	USD	—	—	—
16:00	● CPI (MoM) (Sep)	RUB	-0.1%	—	—
16:00	● CPI (YoY) (Sep)	RUB	6.3%	—	—
17:00	● U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count	USD	456	—	—
17:00	● U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count	USD	598	—	—
19:30	● CFTC GBP speculative net positions	GBP	-91.1K	—	—
19:30	● CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions	USD	109.5K	—	—
19:30	● CFTC Gold speculative net positions	USD	218.6K	—	—
19:30	● CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions	USD	51.2K	—	—
19:30	● CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions	USD	-142.5K	—	—
19:30	● CFTC AUD speculative net positions	AUD	-63.2K	—	—
19:30	● CFTC BRL speculative net positions	BRL	60.5K	—	—
19:30	● CFTC JPY speculative net positions	JPY	55.4K	—	—
19:30	● CFTC EUR speculative net positions	EUR	-63.3K	—	—

Major Pairs

EUR/USD

1.1209 ▲0.13% Session H 1.1226 / L 1.1171 52W 1.1161–1.2082

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
1.1348	1.1306	1.1250	1.1152	1.1109	1.1054

EUR/USD opens the European session at 1.1209 (+0.13% vs. Thursday's close), just 0.43% above its 52-week floor at 1.1161. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 1.1207. The 52-week range of 1.1161–1.2082 places EUR/USD at the 5th percentile — the annual support is the key line in the sand — hold or break determines the next directional leg.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 1.1250 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (1.1306) and R3 (1.1348). On the downside, S1 at 1.1152 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (1.1109) then S3 (1.1054). The R1–S1 corridor (1.1250–1.1152) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For EUR/USD, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

EUR/USDRangeboundNear 52W Low

GBP/USD

1.3225 ▲0.10% Session H 1.3248 / L 1.3184 52W 1.3009–1.3868

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
1.3342	1.3308	1.3260	1.3178	1.3145	1.3096

GBP/USD opens the European session at 1.3225 (+0.10% vs. Thursday's close), at the 25th percentile of its 1.3009–1.3868 52-week range. The intraday bias remains neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 1.3226. The 52-week range of 1.3009–1.3868 places GBP/USD at the 25th percentile — price remains in the lower half of its annual range, reflecting structural headwinds.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 1.3260 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (1.3308) and R3 (1.3342). On the downside, S1 at 1.3178 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (1.3145) then S3 (1.3096). The R1–S1 corridor (1.3260–1.3178) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For GBP/USD, a weekly close below S1 would reinforce the corrective bias into next week.

GBP/USDRangebound

USD/JPY

157.83 ▼0.13% Session H 158.36 / L 157.51 52W 150.27–163.98

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
159.08	158.79	158.42	157.76	157.48	157.10

USD/JPY opens the European session at 157.83 (-0.13% vs. Thursday's close), at the 55th percentile of its 150.27–163.98 52-week range. The intraday bias remains neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 158.13. The 52-week range of 150.27–163.98 places USD/JPY at the 55th percentile — momentum is broadly constructive within the annual range.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 158.42 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (158.79) and R3 (159.08). On the downside, S1 at 157.76 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (157.48) then S3 (157.10). The R1–S1 corridor (158.42–157.76) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/JPY, a weekly close below S1 would reinforce the corrective bias into next week.

USD/JPYRangebound

USD/CHF

0.8314 ▼0.21% Session H 0.8346 / L 0.8306 52W 0.7602–0.8382

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
0.8378	0.8360	0.8346	0.8313	0.8294	0.8280

USD/CHF opens the European session at 0.8314 (-0.21% vs. Thursday's close), just 0.81% below its 52-week high of 0.8382. The intraday bias remains neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 0.8327. The 52-week range of 0.7602–0.8382 places USD/CHF at the 91th percentile — upside momentum is intact; a break above the 52W high would signal trend extension.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 0.8346 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (0.8360) and R3 (0.8378). On the downside, S1 at 0.8313 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (0.8294) then S3 (0.8280). The R1–S1 corridor (0.8346–0.8313) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/CHF, a weekly close below S1 would reinforce the corrective bias into next week.

USD/CHFRangeboundNear 52W High

AUD/USD

0.6956 ▼0.07% Session H 0.6973 / L 0.6932 52W 0.6421–0.7277

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
0.7024	0.7004	0.6982	0.6940	0.6920	0.6899

AUD/USD opens the European session at 0.6956 (-0.07% vs. Thursday's close), at the 62th percentile of its 0.6421–0.7277 52-week range. The intraday bias remains neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 0.6962. The 52-week range of 0.6421–0.7277 places AUD/USD at the 62th percentile — momentum is broadly constructive within the annual range.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 0.6982 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (0.7004) and R3 (0.7024). On the downside, S1 at 0.6940 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (0.6920) then S3 (0.6899). The R1–S1 corridor (0.6982–0.6940) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For AUD/USD, a weekly close below S1 would reinforce the corrective bias into next week.

AUD/USDRangebound

NZD/USD

0.5602 ▲0.09% Session H 0.5612 / L 0.5581 52W 0.5576–0.6092

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
0.5661	0.5643	0.5620	0.5579	0.5562	0.5539

NZD/USD opens the European session at 0.5602 (+0.09% vs. Thursday's close), just 0.47% above its 52-week floor at 0.5576. The intraday bias remains neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 0.5602. The 52-week range of 0.5576–0.6092 places NZD/USD at the 5th percentile — the annual support is the key line in the sand — hold or break determines the next directional leg.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 0.5620 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (0.5643) and R3 (0.5661). On the downside, S1 at 0.5579 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (0.5562) then S3 (0.5539). The R1–S1 corridor (0.5620–0.5579) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For NZD/USD, a weekly close below S1 would reinforce the corrective bias into next week.

NZD/USDRangeboundNear 52W Low

USD/CAD

1.4223 ▼0.22% Session H 1.4277 / L 1.4219 52W 1.3480–1.4293

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
1.4365	1.4323	1.4288	1.4211	1.4168	1.4134

USD/CAD opens the European session at 1.4223 (-0.22% vs. Thursday's close), just 0.49% below its 52-week high of 1.4293. The intraday bias remains neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 1.4245. The 52-week range of 1.3480–1.4293 places USD/CAD at the 91th percentile — upside momentum is intact; a break above the 52W high would signal trend extension.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 1.4288 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (1.4323) and R3 (1.4365). On the downside, S1 at 1.4211 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (1.4168) then S3 (1.4134). The R1–S1 corridor (1.4288–1.4211) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/CAD, a weekly close below S1 would reinforce the corrective bias into next week.

USD/CADRangeboundNear 52W High

Cross Pairs

EUR/GBP

0.8481 ▲0.12% Session H 0.8481 / L 0.8481 52W 0.8447–0.8865

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
0.8480	0.8476	0.8473	0.8466	0.8462	0.8459

EUR/GBP opens the European session at 0.8481 (+0.12% vs. Thursday's close), just 0.40% above its 52-week floor at 0.8447. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 0.8469. The 52-week range of 0.8447–0.8865 places EUR/GBP at the 8th percentile — the annual support is the key line in the sand — hold or break determines the next directional leg.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 0.8473 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (0.8476) and R3 (0.8480). On the downside, S1 at 0.8466 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (0.8462) then S3 (0.8459). The R1–S1 corridor (0.8473–0.8466) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For EUR/GBP, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

EUR/GBPRangeboundAbove R1Near 52W Low

EUR/JPY

176.93 ▼0.01% Session H 177.43 / L 176.52 52W 175.24–187.94

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
179.74	179.02	177.98	176.22	175.50	174.46

EUR/JPY opens the European session at 176.93 (-0.01% vs. Thursday's close), just 0.97% above its 52-week floor at 175.24. The intraday bias remains neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 177.26. The 52-week range of 175.24–187.94 places EUR/JPY at the 13th percentile — the annual support is the key line in the sand — hold or break determines the next directional leg.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 177.98 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (179.02) and R3 (179.74). On the downside, S1 at 176.22 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (175.50) then S3 (174.46). The R1–S1 corridor (177.98–176.22) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For EUR/JPY, a weekly close below S1 would reinforce the corrective bias into next week.

EUR/JPYRangeboundNear 52W Low

GBP/JPY

208.74 ▼0.04% Session H 209.38 / L 208.19 52W 199.06–219.60

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
211.32	210.75	209.79	208.26	207.70	206.74

GBP/JPY opens the European session at 208.74 (-0.04% vs. Thursday's close), at the 47th percentile of its 199.06–219.60 52-week range. The intraday bias remains neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 209.23. The 52-week range of 199.06–219.60 places GBP/JPY at the 47th percentile — price remains in the lower half of its annual range, reflecting structural headwinds.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 209.79 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (210.75) and R3 (211.32). On the downside, S1 at 208.26 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (207.70) then S3 (206.74). The R1–S1 corridor (209.79–208.26) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For GBP/JPY, a weekly close below S1 would reinforce the corrective bias into next week.

GBP/JPYRangebound

AUD/JPY

109.79 ▼0.22% Session H 110.22 / L 109.62 52W 97.58–114.95

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
111.27	110.95	110.49	109.71	109.40	108.94

AUD/JPY opens the European session at 109.79 (-0.22% vs. Thursday's close), at the 70th percentile of its 97.58–114.95 52-week range. The intraday bias remains neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 110.18. The 52-week range of 97.58–114.95 places AUD/JPY at the 70th percentile — momentum is broadly constructive within the annual range.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 110.49 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (110.95) and R3 (111.27). On the downside, S1 at 109.71 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (109.40) then S3 (108.94). The R1–S1 corridor (110.49–109.71) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For AUD/JPY, a weekly close below S1 would reinforce the corrective bias into next week.

AUD/JPYRangebound

Nordic Pairs

USD/NOK

9.563 ▼0.02% Session H 9.594 / L 9.544 52W 9.144–10.297

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
9.676	9.639	9.602	9.527	9.490	9.453

USD/NOK opens the European session at 9.563 (-0.02% vs. Thursday's close), at the 36th percentile of its 9.144–10.297 52-week range. The intraday bias remains neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 9.564. The 52-week range of 9.144–10.297 places USD/NOK at the 36th percentile — price remains in the lower half of its annual range, reflecting structural headwinds.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 9.602 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (9.639) and R3 (9.676). On the downside, S1 at 9.527 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (9.490) then S3 (9.453). The R1–S1 corridor (9.602–9.527) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/NOK, a weekly close below S1 would reinforce the corrective bias into next week.

USD/NOKRangebound

USD/SEK

9.973 ▼0.29% Session H 10.030 / L 9.955 52W 8.737–10.105

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
10.137	10.095	10.049	9.961	9.919	9.873

USD/SEK opens the European session at 9.973 (-0.29% vs. Thursday's close), just 1.32% below its 52-week high of 10.105. The intraday bias remains neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 10.007. The 52-week range of 8.737–10.105 places USD/SEK at the 90th percentile — upside momentum is intact; a break above the 52W high would signal trend extension.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 10.049 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (10.095) and R3 (10.137). On the downside, S1 at 9.961 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (9.919) then S3 (9.873). The R1–S1 corridor (10.049–9.961) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/SEK, a weekly close below S1 would reinforce the corrective bias into next week.

USD/SEKRangeboundNear 52W High

EUR/NOK

10.736 ▲0.14% Session H 10.736 / L 10.736 52W 10.673–12.012

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
10.773	10.752	10.736	10.700	10.679	10.664

EUR/NOK opens the European session at 10.736 (+0.14% vs. Thursday's close), just 0.60% above its 52-week floor at 10.673. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 10.715. The 52-week range of 10.673–12.012 places EUR/NOK at the 5th percentile — the annual support is the key line in the sand — hold or break determines the next directional leg.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 10.736 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (10.752) and R3 (10.773). On the downside, S1 at 10.700 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (10.679) then S3 (10.664). The R1–S1 corridor (10.736–10.700) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For EUR/NOK, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

EUR/NOKRangeboundNear 52W Low

NOK/SEK

1.0407 ▼0.16% Session H 1.0407 / L 1.0407 52W 0.9064–1.0497

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
1.0511	1.0488	1.0456	1.0401	1.0378	1.0346

NOK/SEK opens the European session at 1.0407 (-0.16% vs. Thursday's close), just 0.87% below its 52-week high of 1.0497. The intraday bias remains neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 1.0433. The 52-week range of 0.9064–1.0497 places NOK/SEK at the 94th percentile — upside momentum is intact; a break above the 52W high would signal trend extension.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 1.0456 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (1.0488) and R3 (1.0511). On the downside, S1 at 1.0401 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (1.0378) then S3 (1.0346). The R1–S1 corridor (1.0456–1.0401) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For NOK/SEK, a weekly close below S1 would reinforce the corrective bias into next week.

NOK/SEKRangeboundNear 52W High

Exotic Pairs

USD/TRY

49.209 ▲0.12% Session H 49.216 / L 49.133 52W 41.618–49.216

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
49.359	49.278	49.214	49.070	48.989	48.925

USD/TRY opens the European session at 49.209 (+0.12% vs. Thursday's close), just 0.01% below its 52-week high of 49.216. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 49.134. The 52-week range of 41.618–49.216 places USD/TRY at the 100th percentile — upside momentum is intact; a break above the 52W high would signal trend extension.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 49.214 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (49.278) and R3 (49.359). On the downside, S1 at 49.070 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (48.989) then S3 (48.925). The R1–S1 corridor (49.214–49.070) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/TRY, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

USD/TRYRangeboundNear 52W High

USD/MXN

18.214 ▲1.33% Session H 18.227 / L 17.932 52W 16.855–18.768

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
18.277	18.199	18.087	17.898	17.820	17.709

USD/MXN opens the European session at 18.214 (+1.33% vs. Thursday's close), at the 71th percentile of its 16.855–18.768 52-week range. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 18.009. The 52-week range of 16.855–18.768 places USD/MXN at the 71th percentile — momentum is broadly constructive within the annual range.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 18.087 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (18.199) and R3 (18.277). On the downside, S1 at 17.898 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (17.820) then S3 (17.709). The R1–S1 corridor (18.087–17.898) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/MXN, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

USD/MXNBullishAbove R1

USD/ZAR

16.51 ▼0.58% Session H 16.51 / L 16.51 52W 15.64–17.57

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
16.86	16.79	16.70	16.54	16.47	16.38

USD/ZAR opens the European session at 16.51 (-0.58% vs. Thursday's close), at the 45th percentile of its 15.64–17.57 52-week range. The intraday bias remains neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 16.63. The 52-week range of 15.64–17.57 places USD/ZAR at the 45th percentile — price remains in the lower half of its annual range, reflecting structural headwinds.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 16.70 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (16.79) and R3 (16.86). On the downside, S1 at 16.54 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (16.47) then S3 (16.38). The R1–S1 corridor (16.70–16.54) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/ZAR, a weekly close below S1 would reinforce the corrective bias into next week.

USD/ZARBearishBelow S1

USD/PLN

3.9053 ▲0.05% Session H 3.9201 / L 3.8983 52W 3.4750–3.9298

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
3.9826	3.9539	3.9286	3.8747	3.8460	3.8207

USD/PLN opens the European session at 3.9053 (+0.05% vs. Thursday's close), just 0.63% below its 52-week high of 3.9298. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 3.9000. The 52-week range of 3.4750–3.9298 places USD/PLN at the 95th percentile — upside momentum is intact; a break above the 52W high would signal trend extension.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 3.9286 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (3.9539) and R3 (3.9826). On the downside, S1 at 3.8747 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (3.8460) then S3 (3.8207). The R1–S1 corridor (3.9286–3.8747) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/PLN, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

USD/PLNRangeboundNear 52W High

Informational purposes only — not investment advice. Pivot levels computed from Thursday's session OHLC via standard floor-pivot formula. Data sourced from MetaTrader 5 as of Friday 09 October 2026 EU open. Past performance is not indicative of future results.