FX Morning Briefing — Fri 11 Sep 2026: NZD/USD Rallies 0.46% as European Session Opens

European markets open on Friday 11 September 2026 with G10 FX showing mixed signals as the Asian session wraps up and traders position for Friday's US afternoon data. The top movers overnight are NZD/USD (+0.46%), USD/NOK (+0.40%), USD/TRY (+0.36%). The US Dollar Index (DXY) reflects accumulated Fed rate-cut expectations, with risk-sensitive currencies responding to equity futures and commodity prices in early London trade.

The European morning calendar is light — German and Spanish CPI finals confirm the disinflationary trend — before the key risk event arrives in the US session: University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September) at 16:00 UTC. A beat would support USD broadly; a miss would renew pressure on USD/JPY near its 2026 floor and push EUR/USD back toward its 52-week high. Norges Bank's hawkish hold continues to anchor NOK outperformance, while exotic pairs trade in tight ranges ahead of the weekly close.

All 19 pairs below include live MT5 pivot levels (R1 R2 R3 / S1 S2 S3) computed from Thursday's full-session OHLC, 65-day candlestick charts with SMA20, SMA50 and Bollinger Bands (20,2), and forward-looking analysis for the EU and US sessions on Fri 11 Sep 2026.

Today's Economic Calendar

Time (UTC)	Event	CCY	Previous	Forecast	Actual
06:00	● GDP (MoM) (Jul)	GBP	0.3%	0.0%	0.4%
06:00	● Industrial Production (MoM) (Jul)	GBP	-0.2%	-0.2%	0.2%
06:00	● Manufacturing Production (MoM) (Jul)	GBP	-0.5%	0.2%	0.9%
06:00	● Monthly GDP 3M/3M Change (Jul)	GBP	0.4%	0.3%	0.4%
06:00	● Trade Balance (Jul)	GBP	-23.01B	-22.60B	-20.97B
06:00	● Trade Balance Non-EU (Jul)	GBP	-10.45B	—	-9.66B
07:00	● SECO Consumer Climate	CHF	-33	-33	-33
07:00	● Turkish Retail Sales (YoY) (Jul)	TRY	11.5%	—	10.4%
07:00	● Turkish Retail Sales (MoM) (Jul)	TRY	0.5%	—	0.2%
09:00	● IEA Monthly Report	USD	—	—	—
10:30	● Interest Rate Decision (Sep)	RUB	14.00%	14.00%	—
11:00	● NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker (Aug)	GBP	0.4%	—	—
12:00	● CPI (YoY) (Aug)	BRL	4.44%	4.27%	—
12:00	● CBR Press Conference	RUB	—	—	—
12:30	● Core CPI (MoM) (Aug)	USD	0.2%	0.2%	—
12:30	● Core CPI (YoY) (Aug)	USD	2.5%	2.4%	—
12:30	● CPI (MoM) (Aug)	USD	0.1%	0.4%	—
12:30	● CPI (YoY) (Aug)	USD	3.4%	3.4%	—
14:00	● Michigan 1-Year Inflation Expectations (Sep)	USD	4.0%	—	—
14:00	● Michigan 5-Year Inflation Expectations (Sep)	USD	3.3%	—	—
14:00	● Michigan Consumer Expectations (Sep)	USD	51.5	50.5	—
14:00	● Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Sep)	USD	51.7	51.0	—
14:00	● ECB President Lagarde Speaks	EUR	—	—	—
16:00	● WASDE Report	USD	—	—	—
16:00	● CPI (MoM) (Aug)	RUB	0.5%	-0.1%	—
16:00	● CPI (YoY) (Aug)	RUB	6.0%	6.3%	—
16:00	● GDP Quarterly (YoY) (Q2)	RUB	-0.2%	1.3%	—
17:00	● U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count	USD	449	—	—
17:00	● U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count	USD	588	—	—
17:00	● ECB's Lane Speaks	EUR	—	—	—
18:00	● Federal Budget Balance (Aug)	USD	-432.0B	-221.1B	—
19:30	● CFTC GBP speculative net positions	GBP	-49.6K	—	—
19:30	● CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions	USD	129.9K	—	—
19:30	● CFTC Gold speculative net positions	USD	228.1K	—	—
19:30	● CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions	USD	25.9K	—	—
19:30	● CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions	USD	-75.9K	—	—
19:30	● CFTC AUD speculative net positions	AUD	-39.4K	—	—
19:30	● CFTC BRL speculative net positions	BRL	72.8K	—	—
19:30	● CFTC JPY speculative net positions	JPY	-92.2K	—	—
19:30	● CFTC EUR speculative net positions	EUR	-24.9K	—	—

Major Pairs

EUR/USD

1.1600 ▼0.09% Session H 1.1617 / L 1.1595 52W 1.1324–1.2082

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
1.1688	1.1665	1.1638	1.1588	1.1565	1.1538

EUR/USD opens the European session at 1.1600 (-0.09% vs. Thursday's close), at the 36th percentile of its 1.1324–1.2082 52-week range. The intraday bias remains neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 1.1615. The 52-week range of 1.1324–1.2082 places EUR/USD at the 36th percentile — price remains in the lower half of its annual range, reflecting structural headwinds.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 1.1638 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (1.1665) and R3 (1.1688). On the downside, S1 at 1.1588 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (1.1565) then S3 (1.1538). The R1–S1 corridor (1.1638–1.1588) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For EUR/USD, a weekly close below S1 would reinforce the corrective bias into next week.

EUR/USDRangebound

GBP/USD

1.3509 -0.00% Session H 1.3526 / L 1.3495 52W 1.3009–1.3868

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
1.3618	1.3589	1.3549	1.3480	1.3451	1.3411

GBP/USD opens the European session at 1.3509 (-0.00% vs. Thursday's close), at the 58th percentile of its 1.3009–1.3868 52-week range. The intraday bias remains neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 1.3520. The 52-week range of 1.3009–1.3868 places GBP/USD at the 58th percentile — momentum is broadly constructive within the annual range.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 1.3549 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (1.3589) and R3 (1.3618). On the downside, S1 at 1.3480 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (1.3451) then S3 (1.3411). The R1–S1 corridor (1.3549–1.3480) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For GBP/USD, a weekly close below S1 would reinforce the corrective bias into next week.

GBP/USDRangebound

USD/JPY

154.13 ▼0.18% Session H 154.61 / L 153.96 52W 146.58–163.98

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
156.34	155.50	154.96	153.57	152.73	152.19

USD/JPY opens the European session at 154.13 (-0.18% vs. Thursday's close), at the 43th percentile of its 146.58–163.98 52-week range. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 154.12. The 52-week range of 146.58–163.98 places USD/JPY at the 43th percentile — price remains in the lower half of its annual range, reflecting structural headwinds.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 154.96 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (155.50) and R3 (156.34). On the downside, S1 at 153.57 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (152.73) then S3 (152.19). The R1–S1 corridor (154.96–153.57) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/JPY, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

USD/JPYRangebound

USD/CHF

0.8141 ▲0.19% Session H 0.8149 / L 0.8121 52W 0.7602–0.8206

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
0.8217	0.8182	0.8154	0.8091	0.8056	0.8028

USD/CHF opens the European session at 0.8141 (+0.19% vs. Thursday's close), just 0.80% below its 52-week high of 0.8206. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 0.8119. The 52-week range of 0.7602–0.8206 places USD/CHF at the 89th percentile — upside momentum is intact; a break above the 52W high would signal trend extension.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 0.8154 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (0.8182) and R3 (0.8217). On the downside, S1 at 0.8091 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (0.8056) then S3 (0.8028). The R1–S1 corridor (0.8154–0.8091) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/CHF, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

USD/CHFRangeboundNear 52W High

AUD/USD

0.7167 ▲0.16% Session H 0.7176 / L 0.7150 52W 0.6421–0.7277

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
0.7269	0.7246	0.7201	0.7133	0.7110	0.7065

AUD/USD opens the European session at 0.7167 (+0.16% vs. Thursday's close), at the 87th percentile of its 0.6421–0.7277 52-week range. The intraday bias remains neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 0.7178. The 52-week range of 0.6421–0.7277 places AUD/USD at the 87th percentile — momentum is broadly constructive within the annual range.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 0.7201 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (0.7246) and R3 (0.7269). On the downside, S1 at 0.7133 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (0.7110) then S3 (0.7065). The R1–S1 corridor (0.7201–0.7133) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For AUD/USD, a weekly close below S1 would reinforce the corrective bias into next week.

AUD/USDRangebound

NZD/USD

0.5821 ▲0.46% Session H 0.5834 / L 0.5791 52W 0.5576–0.6092

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
0.5900	0.5878	0.5836	0.5773	0.5751	0.5709

NZD/USD opens the European session at 0.5821 (+0.46% vs. Thursday's close), at the 48th percentile of its 0.5576–0.6092 52-week range. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 0.5814. The 52-week range of 0.5576–0.6092 places NZD/USD at the 48th percentile — price remains in the lower half of its annual range, reflecting structural headwinds.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 0.5836 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (0.5878) and R3 (0.5900). On the downside, S1 at 0.5773 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (0.5751) then S3 (0.5709). The R1–S1 corridor (0.5836–0.5773) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For NZD/USD, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

NZD/USDBullish

USD/CAD

1.3844 ▲0.10% Session H 1.3847 / L 1.3822 52W 1.3480–1.4247

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
1.3889	1.3864	1.3847	1.3805	1.3780	1.3764

USD/CAD opens the European session at 1.3844 (+0.10% vs. Thursday's close), at the 47th percentile of its 1.3480–1.4247 52-week range. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 1.3822. The 52-week range of 1.3480–1.4247 places USD/CAD at the 47th percentile — price remains in the lower half of its annual range, reflecting structural headwinds.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 1.3847 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (1.3864) and R3 (1.3889). On the downside, S1 at 1.3805 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (1.3780) then S3 (1.3764). The R1–S1 corridor (1.3847–1.3805) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/CAD, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

USD/CADRangebound

Cross Pairs

EUR/GBP

0.8586 ▼0.06% Session H 0.8596 / L 0.8583 52W 0.8454–0.8865

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
0.8620	0.8610	0.8601	0.8581	0.8571	0.8561

EUR/GBP opens the European session at 0.8586 (-0.06% vs. Thursday's close), at the 32th percentile of its 0.8454–0.8865 52-week range. The intraday bias remains neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 0.8590. The 52-week range of 0.8454–0.8865 places EUR/GBP at the 32th percentile — price remains in the lower half of its annual range, reflecting structural headwinds.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 0.8601 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (0.8610) and R3 (0.8620). On the downside, S1 at 0.8581 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (0.8571) then S3 (0.8561). The R1–S1 corridor (0.8601–0.8581) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For EUR/GBP, a weekly close below S1 would reinforce the corrective bias into next week.

EUR/GBPRangebound

EUR/JPY

178.80 ▼0.28% Session H 179.53 / L 178.69 52W 172.26–187.94

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
180.78	180.12	179.71	178.65	178.00	177.59

EUR/JPY opens the European session at 178.80 (-0.28% vs. Thursday's close), at the 42th percentile of its 172.26–187.94 52-week range. The intraday bias remains neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 179.06. The 52-week range of 172.26–187.94 places EUR/JPY at the 42th percentile — price remains in the lower half of its annual range, reflecting structural headwinds.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 179.71 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (180.12) and R3 (180.78). On the downside, S1 at 178.65 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (178.00) then S3 (177.59). The R1–S1 corridor (179.71–178.65) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For EUR/JPY, a weekly close below S1 would reinforce the corrective bias into next week.

EUR/JPYRangebound

GBP/JPY

208.22 ▼0.17% Session H 208.90 / L 208.07 52W 197.48–219.60

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
210.16	209.51	209.04	207.93	207.28	206.81

GBP/JPY opens the European session at 208.22 (-0.17% vs. Thursday's close), at the 49th percentile of its 197.48–219.60 52-week range. The intraday bias remains neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 208.40. The 52-week range of 197.48–219.60 places GBP/JPY at the 49th percentile — price remains in the lower half of its annual range, reflecting structural headwinds.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 209.04 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (209.51) and R3 (210.16). On the downside, S1 at 207.93 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (207.28) then S3 (206.81). The R1–S1 corridor (209.04–207.93) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For GBP/JPY, a weekly close below S1 would reinforce the corrective bias into next week.

GBP/JPYRangebound

AUD/JPY

110.47 ▼0.02% Session H 110.76 / L 110.39 52W 96.25–114.95

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
111.71	111.36	110.93	110.15	109.80	109.37

AUD/JPY opens the European session at 110.47 (-0.02% vs. Thursday's close), at the 76th percentile of its 96.25–114.95 52-week range. The intraday bias remains neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 110.58. The 52-week range of 96.25–114.95 places AUD/JPY at the 76th percentile — momentum is broadly constructive within the annual range.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 110.93 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (111.36) and R3 (111.71). On the downside, S1 at 110.15 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (109.80) then S3 (109.37). The R1–S1 corridor (110.93–110.15) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For AUD/JPY, a weekly close below S1 would reinforce the corrective bias into next week.

AUD/JPYRangebound

Nordic Pairs

USD/NOK

9.298 ▲0.40% Session H 9.307 / L 9.250 52W 9.144–10.297

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
9.431	9.360	9.310	9.189	9.118	9.068

USD/NOK opens the European session at 9.298 (+0.40% vs. Thursday's close), at the 13th percentile of its 9.144–10.297 52-week range. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 9.239. The 52-week range of 9.144–10.297 places USD/NOK at the 13th percentile — price remains in the lower half of its annual range, reflecting structural headwinds.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 9.310 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (9.360) and R3 (9.431). On the downside, S1 at 9.189 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (9.118) then S3 (9.068). The R1–S1 corridor (9.310–9.189) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/NOK, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

USD/NOKBullish

USD/SEK

9.683 ▲0.06% Session H 9.708 / L 9.640 52W 8.737–9.795

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
9.849	9.770	9.724	9.598	9.520	9.473

USD/SEK opens the European session at 9.683 (+0.06% vs. Thursday's close), just 1.15% below its 52-week high of 9.795. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 9.645. The 52-week range of 8.737–9.795 places USD/SEK at the 89th percentile — upside momentum is intact; a break above the 52W high would signal trend extension.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 9.724 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (9.770) and R3 (9.849). On the downside, S1 at 9.598 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (9.520) then S3 (9.473). The R1–S1 corridor (9.724–9.598) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/SEK, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

USD/SEKRangeboundNear 52W High

EUR/NOK

10.786 ▲0.25% Session H 10.793 / L 10.744 52W 10.673–12.012

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
10.936	10.866	10.813	10.690	10.620	10.566

EUR/NOK opens the European session at 10.786 (+0.25% vs. Thursday's close), just 1.07% above its 52-week floor at 10.673. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 10.743. The 52-week range of 10.673–12.012 places EUR/NOK at the 9th percentile — the annual support is the key line in the sand — hold or break determines the next directional leg.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 10.813 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (10.866) and R3 (10.936). On the downside, S1 at 10.690 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (10.620) then S3 (10.566). The R1–S1 corridor (10.813–10.690) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For EUR/NOK, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

EUR/NOKRangeboundNear 52W Low

NOK/SEK

1.0410 ▼0.10% Session H 1.0444 / L 1.0356 52W 0.9064–1.0444

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
1.0578	1.0510	1.0465	1.0352	1.0283	1.0238

NOK/SEK opens the European session at 1.0410 (-0.10% vs. Thursday's close), just 0.33% below its 52-week high of 1.0444. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 1.0396. The 52-week range of 0.9064–1.0444 places NOK/SEK at the 98th percentile — upside momentum is intact; a break above the 52W high would signal trend extension.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 1.0465 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (1.0510) and R3 (1.0578). On the downside, S1 at 1.0352 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (1.0283) then S3 (1.0238). The R1–S1 corridor (1.0465–1.0352) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For NOK/SEK, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

NOK/SEKRangeboundNear 52W High

Exotic Pairs

USD/TRY

48.602 ▲0.36% Session H 48.603 / L 48.386 52W 41.151–48.603

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
48.574	48.536	48.482	48.391	48.353	48.300

USD/TRY opens the European session at 48.602 (+0.36% vs. Thursday's close), just 0.00% below its 52-week high of 48.603. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 48.445. The 52-week range of 41.151–48.603 places USD/TRY at the 100th percentile — upside momentum is intact; a break above the 52W high would signal trend extension.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 48.482 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (48.536) and R3 (48.574). On the downside, S1 at 48.391 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (48.353) then S3 (48.300). The R1–S1 corridor (48.482–48.391) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/TRY, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

USD/TRYBullishAbove R1Near 52W High

USD/MXN

16.955 ▼0.17% Session H 17.001 / L 16.948 52W 16.855–18.768

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
17.168	17.090	17.036	16.904	16.826	16.773

USD/MXN opens the European session at 16.955 (-0.17% vs. Thursday's close), just 0.59% above its 52-week floor at 16.855. The intraday bias remains neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the daily pivot at 16.958. The 52-week range of 16.855–18.768 places USD/MXN at the 5th percentile — the annual support is the key line in the sand — hold or break determines the next directional leg.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 17.036 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (17.090) and R3 (17.168). On the downside, S1 at 16.904 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (16.826) then S3 (16.773). The R1–S1 corridor (17.036–16.904) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/MXN, a weekly close below S1 would reinforce the corrective bias into next week.

USD/MXNRangeboundNear 52W Low

USD/ZAR

16.15 ▼0.19% Session H 16.22 / L 16.14 52W 15.64–17.57

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
16.49	16.36	16.27	16.05	15.91	15.82

USD/ZAR opens the European session at 16.15 (-0.19% vs. Thursday's close), at the 27th percentile of its 15.64–17.57 52-week range. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 16.13. The 52-week range of 15.64–17.57 places USD/ZAR at the 27th percentile — price remains in the lower half of its annual range, reflecting structural headwinds.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 16.27 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (16.36) and R3 (16.49). On the downside, S1 at 16.05 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (15.91) then S3 (15.82). The R1–S1 corridor (16.27–16.05) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/ZAR, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

USD/ZARRangebound

USD/PLN

3.7258 ▲0.12% Session H 3.7295 / L 3.7111 52W 3.4750–3.8127

R3	R2	R1	S1	S2	S3
3.7666	3.7496	3.7354	3.7042	3.6871	3.6730

USD/PLN opens the European session at 3.7258 (+0.12% vs. Thursday's close), at the 74th percentile of its 3.4750–3.8127 52-week range. The intraday bias tilts bullish while price holds above the daily pivot at 3.7184. The 52-week range of 3.4750–3.8127 places USD/PLN at the 74th percentile — momentum is broadly constructive within the annual range.

Resistance levels to monitor on the upside: R1 at 3.7354 is the first pivot barrier; clearing it shifts momentum decisively higher toward R2 (3.7496) and R3 (3.7666). On the downside, S1 at 3.7042 is the immediate support floor — a confirmed break below S1 exposes S2 (3.6871) then S3 (3.6730). The R1–S1 corridor (3.7354–3.7042) marks the most probable intraday trading band.

For the session ahead, the key US data risk is the UoM Consumer Sentiment (preliminary September reading), due at 16:00 UTC. A reading above consensus would strengthen the dollar broadly; a miss would renew USD selling pressure. For USD/PLN, a weekly close above R1 would confirm the bullish structure into next week.

USD/PLNRangebound

Informational purposes only — not investment advice. Pivot levels computed from Thursday's session OHLC via standard floor-pivot formula. Data sourced from MetaTrader 5 as of Friday 11 September 2026 EU open. Past performance is not indicative of future results.