FX Evening Briefing — Mon 12 Oct 2026: USD/MXN Closes Lower 0.73% — Asian Session Preview
MarketsFN FX Desk
Evening wrap-up for Monday 12 October 2026: as European markets close and the US session enters its final hours, G10 and emerging FX markets are closing with 12 pairs higher and 7 lower on the day. The standout movers are USD/MXN (-0.73%), USD/TRY (+0.58%), USD/CHF (+0.57%). End-of-day flows — institutional rebalancing, month-end positioning and any late US data surprises — are the main drivers for tonight's Asian handoff.
This evening briefing includes the full day's economic calendar with all released actuals, final intraday pivot levels, and updated candlestick charts for all 19 pairs. Pivot levels will reset at tomorrow's EU open based on today's completed daily bars.
All pivot levels (R1 R2 R3 / S1 S2 S3) are computed from yesterday's full-session OHLC. Asian session key levels and carry trade dynamics are highlighted in each pair's analysis below.
Today's Economic Calendar — Full Day Results
| Time (UTC) | Event | CCY | Previous | Forecast | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | ● Turkish Retail Sales (MoM) (Aug) | TRY | 0.2% | — | 1.4% |
| 07:00 | ● Turkish Retail Sales (YoY) (Aug) | TRY | 9.9% | — | 10.1% |
| 10:30 | ● CPI (YoY) (Sep) | INR | 4.83% | 5.40% | 5.54% |
| 12:50 | ● BoE MPC Member Mann Speaks | GBP | — | — | — |
| 23:01 | ● BRC Retail Sales Monitor (YoY) (Sep) | GBP | 0.5% | 0.8% | — |
Major Pairs
EUR/USD
1.1158 ▼0.36% Day H 1.1217 / L 1.1154 52W 1.1154–1.2082
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1287 | 1.1265 | 1.1231 | 1.1176 | 1.1154 | 1.1121 |
End-of-day snapshot for EUR/USD: closing at 1.1158 (-0.36% on the day), just 0.03% above its 52-week floor at 1.1154. Today's full-session range of 1.1154–1.1217 (0.0063 points). The daily close below the pivot (1.1209) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 1.1231 / R2 1.1265 / R3 1.1287 on the upside and S1 1.1176 / S2 1.1154 / S3 1.1121 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
EUR/USD finishes the day the annual support is under watch — a close below would reset the technical outlook bearish. The 52-week range of 1.1154–1.2082 places the pair at the 0th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
EUR/USDBearishBelow S1Near 52W Low
GBP/USD
1.3206 ▼0.19% Day H 1.3261 / L 1.3201 52W 1.3009–1.3868
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3296 | 1.3273 | 1.3252 | 1.3207 | 1.3184 | 1.3163 |
End-of-day snapshot for GBP/USD: closing at 1.3206 (-0.19% on the day), at the 23th percentile of its 1.3009–1.3868 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 1.3201–1.3261 (0.0060 points). The daily close below the pivot (1.3228) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 1.3252 / R2 1.3273 / R3 1.3296 on the upside and S1 1.3207 / S2 1.3184 / S3 1.3163 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
GBP/USD finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 1.3009–1.3868 places the pair at the 23th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
GBP/USDRangeboundBelow S1
USD/JPY
158.70 ▲0.26% Day H 158.75 / L 158.07 52W 151.49–163.98
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 159.23 | 158.83 | 158.56 | 157.89 | 157.48 | 157.21 |
End-of-day snapshot for USD/JPY: closing at 158.70 (+0.26% on the day), at the 58th percentile of its 151.49–163.98 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 158.07–158.75 (0.68 points). The daily close above the pivot (158.16) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 158.56 / R2 158.83 / R3 159.23 on the upside and S1 157.89 / S2 157.48 / S3 157.21 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
USD/JPY finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 151.49–163.98 places the pair at the 58th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
USD/JPYRangeboundAbove R1
USD/CHF
0.8346 ▲0.57% Day H 0.8348 / L 0.8289 52W 0.7602–0.8382
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8337 | 0.8327 | 0.8313 | 0.8290 | 0.8281 | 0.8267 |
End-of-day snapshot for USD/CHF: closing at 0.8346 (+0.57% on the day), just 0.42% below its 52-week high of 0.8382. Today's full-session range of 0.8289–0.8348 (0.0059 points). The daily close above the pivot (0.8304) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 0.8313 / R2 0.8327 / R3 0.8337 on the upside and S1 0.8290 / S2 0.8281 / S3 0.8267 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
USD/CHF finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 0.7602–0.8382 places the pair at the 95th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
USD/CHFBullishAbove R1Near 52W High
AUD/USD
0.6956 ▼0.35% Day H 0.6995 / L 0.6956 52W 0.6421–0.7277
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7035 | 0.7012 | 0.6996 | 0.6958 | 0.6935 | 0.6920 |
End-of-day snapshot for AUD/USD: closing at 0.6956 (-0.35% on the day), at the 63th percentile of its 0.6421–0.7277 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 0.6956–0.6995 (0.0039 points). The daily close below the pivot (0.6973) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 0.6996 / R2 0.7012 / R3 0.7035 on the upside and S1 0.6958 / S2 0.6935 / S3 0.6920 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
AUD/USD finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 0.6421–0.7277 places the pair at the 63th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
AUD/USDBearishBelow S1
NZD/USD
0.5582 ▼0.51% Day H 0.5618 / L 0.5582 52W 0.5576–0.6092
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5654 | 0.5640 | 0.5625 | 0.5597 | 0.5582 | 0.5568 |
End-of-day snapshot for NZD/USD: closing at 0.5582 (-0.51% on the day), just 0.11% above its 52-week floor at 0.5576. Today's full-session range of 0.5582–0.5618 (0.0036 points). The daily close below the pivot (0.5611) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 0.5625 / R2 0.5640 / R3 0.5654 on the upside and S1 0.5597 / S2 0.5582 / S3 0.5568 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
NZD/USD finishes the day the annual support is under watch — a close below would reset the technical outlook bearish. The 52-week range of 0.5576–0.6092 places the pair at the 1th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
NZD/USDBearishBelow S1Near 52W Low
USD/CAD
1.4262 ▲0.06% Day H 1.4274 / L 1.4239 52W 1.3480–1.4297
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4390 | 1.4344 | 1.4299 | 1.4207 | 1.4160 | 1.4115 |
End-of-day snapshot for USD/CAD: closing at 1.4262 (+0.06% on the day), just 0.25% below its 52-week high of 1.4297. Today's full-session range of 1.4239–1.4274 (0.0035 points). The daily close above the pivot (1.4252) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 1.4299 / R2 1.4344 / R3 1.4390 on the upside and S1 1.4207 / S2 1.4160 / S3 1.4115 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
USD/CAD finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 1.3480–1.4297 places the pair at the 96th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
USD/CADRangeboundNear 52W High
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EUR/GBP
0.8448 ▼0.16% Day H 0.8465 / L 0.8445 52W 0.8445–0.8865
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8506 | 0.8495 | 0.8479 | 0.8452 | 0.8441 | 0.8425 |
End-of-day snapshot for EUR/GBP: closing at 0.8448 (-0.16% on the day), just 0.04% above its 52-week floor at 0.8445. Today's full-session range of 0.8445–0.8465 (0.0020 points). The daily close below the pivot (0.8468) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 0.8479 / R2 0.8495 / R3 0.8506 on the upside and S1 0.8452 / S2 0.8441 / S3 0.8425 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
EUR/GBP finishes the day the annual support is under watch — a close below would reset the technical outlook bearish. The 52-week range of 0.8445–0.8865 places the pair at the 1th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
EUR/GBPRangeboundBelow S1Near 52W Low
EUR/JPY
177.30 ▲0.02% Day H 177.56 / L 176.92 52W 175.70–187.94
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 178.76 | 178.31 | 177.79 | 176.82 | 176.37 | 175.84 |
End-of-day snapshot for EUR/JPY: closing at 177.30 (+0.02% on the day), just 0.91% above its 52-week floor at 175.70. Today's full-session range of 176.92–177.56 (0.64 points). The daily close below the pivot (177.34) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 177.79 / R2 178.31 / R3 178.76 on the upside and S1 176.82 / S2 176.37 / S3 175.84 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
EUR/JPY finishes the day the annual support is under watch — a close below would reset the technical outlook bearish. The 52-week range of 175.70–187.94 places the pair at the 13th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
EUR/JPYRangeboundNear 52W Low
GBP/JPY
209.88 ▲0.22% Day H 209.97 / L 209.16 52W 199.06–219.60
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 210.99 | 210.36 | 209.89 | 208.80 | 208.17 | 207.70 |
End-of-day snapshot for GBP/JPY: closing at 209.88 (+0.22% on the day), at the 53th percentile of its 199.06–219.60 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 209.16–209.97 (0.82 points). The daily close above the pivot (209.26) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 209.89 / R2 210.36 / R3 210.99 on the upside and S1 208.80 / S2 208.17 / S3 207.70 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
GBP/JPY finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 199.06–219.60 places the pair at the 53th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
GBP/JPYRangebound
AUD/JPY
110.52 ▲0.02% Day H 110.62 / L 110.19 52W 98.20–114.95
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111.70 | 111.15 | 110.82 | 109.95 | 109.40 | 109.08 |
End-of-day snapshot for AUD/JPY: closing at 110.52 (+0.02% on the day), at the 74th percentile of its 98.20–114.95 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 110.19–110.62 (0.43 points). The daily close above the pivot (110.27) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 110.82 / R2 111.15 / R3 111.70 on the upside and S1 109.95 / S2 109.40 / S3 109.08 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
AUD/JPY finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 98.20–114.95 places the pair at the 74th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
AUD/JPYRangebound
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USD/NOK
9.554 ▲0.04% Day H 9.581 / L 9.547 52W 9.144–10.297
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.632 | 9.609 | 9.580 | 9.528 | 9.505 | 9.476 |
End-of-day snapshot for USD/NOK: closing at 9.554 (+0.04% on the day), at the 36th percentile of its 9.144–10.297 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 9.547–9.581 (0.034 points). The daily close below the pivot (9.557) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 9.580 / R2 9.609 / R3 9.632 on the upside and S1 9.528 / S2 9.505 / S3 9.476 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
USD/NOK finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 9.144–10.297 places the pair at the 36th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
USD/NOKRangebound
USD/SEK
10.016 ▲0.25% Day H 10.030 / L 9.972 52W 8.737–10.105
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.089 | 10.049 | 10.020 | 9.951 | 9.911 | 9.882 |
End-of-day snapshot for USD/SEK: closing at 10.016 (+0.25% on the day), just 0.89% below its 52-week high of 10.105. Today's full-session range of 9.972–10.030 (0.058 points). The daily close above the pivot (9.980) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 10.020 / R2 10.049 / R3 10.089 on the upside and S1 9.951 / S2 9.911 / S3 9.882 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
USD/SEK finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 8.737–10.105 places the pair at the 93th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
USD/SEKRangeboundNear 52W High
EUR/NOK
10.679 ▼0.21% Day H 10.753 / L 10.677 52W 10.673–12.012
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.799 | 10.776 | 10.738 | 10.678 | 10.654 | 10.617 |
End-of-day snapshot for EUR/NOK: closing at 10.679 (-0.21% on the day), just 0.06% above its 52-week floor at 10.673. Today's full-session range of 10.677–10.753 (0.077 points). The daily close below the pivot (10.715) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 10.738 / R2 10.776 / R3 10.799 on the upside and S1 10.678 / S2 10.654 / S3 10.617 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
EUR/NOK finishes the day the annual support is under watch — a close below would reset the technical outlook bearish. The 52-week range of 10.673–12.012 places the pair at the 0th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
EUR/NOKRangeboundNear 52W Low
NOK/SEK
1.0478 ▲0.34% Day H 1.0483 / L 1.0306 52W 0.9064–1.0497
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0579 | 1.0517 | 1.0480 | 1.0381 | 1.0319 | 1.0282 |
End-of-day snapshot for NOK/SEK: closing at 1.0478 (+0.34% on the day), just 0.19% below its 52-week high of 1.0497. Today's full-session range of 1.0306–1.0483 (0.0177 points). The daily close above the pivot (1.0418) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 1.0480 / R2 1.0517 / R3 1.0579 on the upside and S1 1.0381 / S2 1.0319 / S3 1.0282 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
NOK/SEK finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 0.9064–1.0497 places the pair at the 99th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
NOK/SEKBullishNear 52W High
Exotic Pairs
USD/TRY
49.330 ▲0.58% Day H 49.341 / L 49.223 52W 41.638–49.342
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.639 | 49.490 | 49.268 | 48.898 | 48.749 | 48.527 |
End-of-day snapshot for USD/TRY: closing at 49.330 (+0.58% on the day), just 0.02% below its 52-week high of 49.342. Today's full-session range of 49.223–49.341 (0.117 points). The daily close above the pivot (49.120) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 49.268 / R2 49.490 / R3 49.639 on the upside and S1 48.898 / S2 48.749 / S3 48.527 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
USD/TRY finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 41.638–49.342 places the pair at the 100th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
USD/TRYBullishAbove R1Near 52W High
USD/MXN
18.272 ▼0.73% Day H 18.434 / L 18.271 52W 16.855–18.768
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.910 | 18.703 | 18.555 | 18.199 | 17.992 | 17.843 |
End-of-day snapshot for USD/MXN: closing at 18.272 (-0.73% on the day), at the 74th percentile of its 16.855–18.768 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 18.271–18.434 (0.163 points). The daily close below the pivot (18.348) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 18.555 / R2 18.703 / R3 18.910 on the upside and S1 18.199 / S2 17.992 / S3 17.843 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
USD/MXN finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 16.855–18.768 places the pair at the 74th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
USD/MXNBearish
USD/ZAR
16.53 ▲0.12% Day H 16.56 / L 16.47 52W 15.64–17.57
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.68 | 16.63 | 16.57 | 16.47 | 16.43 | 16.37 |
End-of-day snapshot for USD/ZAR: closing at 16.53 (+0.12% on the day), at the 46th percentile of its 15.64–17.57 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 16.47–16.56 (0.10 points). The daily close below the pivot (16.53) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 16.57 / R2 16.63 / R3 16.68 on the upside and S1 16.47 / S2 16.43 / S3 16.37 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
USD/ZAR finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 15.64–17.57 places the pair at the 46th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
USD/ZARRangebound
USD/PLN
3.9230 ▲0.28% Day H 3.9268 / L 3.8960 52W 3.4750–3.9298
| R3 | R2 | R1 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.9625 | 3.9437 | 3.9279 | 3.8934 | 3.8745 | 3.8588 |
End-of-day snapshot for USD/PLN: closing at 3.9230 (+0.28% on the day), just 0.17% below its 52-week high of 3.9298. Today's full-session range of 3.8960–3.9268 (0.0308 points). The daily close above the pivot (3.9091) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.
For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 3.9279 / R2 3.9437 / R3 3.9625 on the upside and S1 3.8934 / S2 3.8745 / S3 3.8588 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.
USD/PLN finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 3.4750–3.9298 places the pair at the 99th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.
USD/PLNRangeboundNear 52W High
Informational purposes only — not investment advice. Pivot levels computed from yesterday's session OHLC via standard floor-pivot formula. Prices sourced from MetaTrader 5 as of Monday 12 October 2026 evening (20:30 CET). Past performance is not indicative of future results.
