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Forex

FX Evening Briefing — Thu 08 Oct 2026: USD/PLN Closes Higher 0.18% — Asian Session Preview

MarketsFN FX Desk

•10 min read
FX Evening Briefing — Thu 08 Oct 2026: USD/PLN Closes Higher 0.18% — Asian Session Preview

Evening wrap-up for Thursday 08 October 2026: as European markets close and the US session enters its final hours, G10 and emerging FX markets are closing with 9 pairs higher and 10 lower on the day. The standout movers are USD/PLN (+0.18%), USD/SEK (-0.13%), USD/TRY (+0.13%). End-of-day flows — institutional rebalancing, month-end positioning and any late US data surprises — are the main drivers for tonight's Asian handoff.

This evening briefing includes the full day's economic calendar with all released actuals, final intraday pivot levels, and updated candlestick charts for all 19 pairs. Pivot levels will reset at tomorrow's EU open based on today's completed daily bars.

All pivot levels (R1 R2 R3 / S1 S2 S3) are computed from yesterday's full-session OHLC. Asian session key levels and carry trade dynamics are highlighted in each pair's analysis below.

Today's Economic Calendar — Full Day Results

Time (UTC)EventCCYPreviousForecastActual
06:00● German Trade Balance (Aug)EUR21.6B19.0B19.5B
08:30● BOE Credit Conditions SurveyGBP———
08:30● Fed Waller SpeaksUSD———
10:00● ECB's Lane SpeaksEUR———
10:00● Eurogroup MeetingsEUR———
10:30● BoE MPC Member Pill SpeaksGBP———
11:30● ECB Publishes Account of Monetary Policy MeetingEUR———
12:15● BoE Gov Bailey SpeaksGBP———
12:30● Continuing Jobless ClaimsUSD1,699K1,710K1,716K
12:30● Initial Jobless ClaimsUSD199K200K197K
15:00● Monetary Policy Meeting MinutesMXN———
15:10● Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3)USD3.7%3.7%3.6%
17:00● 30-Year Bond AuctionUSD5.308%—5.618%
20:30● Fed's Balance SheetUSD6,743B——
23:30● Household Spending (YoY) (Aug)JPY-3.6%-3.5%—
23:30● Household Spending (MoM) (Aug)JPY0.5%0.5%—

Major Pairs

EUR/USD

1.1203 ▲0.07% Day H 1.1226 / L 1.1171 52W 1.1161–1.2082

EUR/USD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
1.13481.13061.12501.11521.11091.1054

End-of-day snapshot for EUR/USD: closing at 1.1203 (+0.07% on the day), just 0.38% above its 52-week floor at 1.1161. Today's full-session range of 1.1171–1.1226 (0.0055 points). The daily close below the pivot (1.1207) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 1.1250 / R2 1.1306 / R3 1.1348 on the upside and S1 1.1152 / S2 1.1109 / S3 1.1054 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

EUR/USD finishes the day the annual support is under watch — a close below would reset the technical outlook bearish. The 52-week range of 1.1161–1.2082 places the pair at the 5th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

EUR/USDRangeboundNear 52W Low

GBP/USD

1.3210 ▼0.01% Day H 1.3248 / L 1.3184 52W 1.3009–1.3868

GBP/USD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
1.33421.33081.32601.31781.31451.3096

End-of-day snapshot for GBP/USD: closing at 1.3210 (-0.01% on the day), at the 23th percentile of its 1.3009–1.3868 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 1.3184–1.3248 (0.0064 points). The daily close below the pivot (1.3226) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 1.3260 / R2 1.3308 / R3 1.3342 on the upside and S1 1.3178 / S2 1.3145 / S3 1.3096 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

GBP/USD finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 1.3009–1.3868 places the pair at the 23th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

GBP/USDRangebound

USD/JPY

158.16 ▲0.07% Day H 158.36 / L 157.58 52W 150.27–163.98

USD/JPY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
159.08158.79158.42157.76157.48157.10

End-of-day snapshot for USD/JPY: closing at 158.16 (+0.07% on the day), at the 58th percentile of its 150.27–163.98 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 157.58–158.36 (0.78 points). The daily close above the pivot (158.13) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 158.42 / R2 158.79 / R3 159.08 on the upside and S1 157.76 / S2 157.48 / S3 157.10 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/JPY finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 150.27–163.98 places the pair at the 58th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/JPYRangebound

USD/CHF

0.8327 ▼0.05% Day H 0.8346 / L 0.8316 52W 0.7602–0.8382

USD/CHF candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
0.83780.83600.83460.83130.82940.8280

End-of-day snapshot for USD/CHF: closing at 0.8327 (-0.05% on the day), just 0.65% below its 52-week high of 0.8382. Today's full-session range of 0.8316–0.8346 (0.0030 points). The daily close above the pivot (0.8327) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 0.8346 / R2 0.8360 / R3 0.8378 on the upside and S1 0.8313 / S2 0.8294 / S3 0.8280 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/CHF finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 0.7602–0.8382 places the pair at the 93th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/CHFRangeboundNear 52W High

AUD/USD

0.6954 ▼0.10% Day H 0.6973 / L 0.6932 52W 0.6421–0.7277

AUD/USD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
0.70240.70040.69820.69400.69200.6899

End-of-day snapshot for AUD/USD: closing at 0.6954 (-0.10% on the day), at the 62th percentile of its 0.6421–0.7277 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 0.6932–0.6973 (0.0040 points). The daily close below the pivot (0.6962) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 0.6982 / R2 0.7004 / R3 0.7024 on the upside and S1 0.6940 / S2 0.6920 / S3 0.6899 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

AUD/USD finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 0.6421–0.7277 places the pair at the 62th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

AUD/USDRangebound

NZD/USD

0.5597 ▼0.01% Day H 0.5612 / L 0.5581 52W 0.5576–0.6092

NZD/USD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
0.56610.56430.56200.55790.55620.5539

End-of-day snapshot for NZD/USD: closing at 0.5597 (-0.01% on the day), just 0.37% above its 52-week floor at 0.5576. Today's full-session range of 0.5581–0.5612 (0.0031 points). The daily close below the pivot (0.5602) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 0.5620 / R2 0.5643 / R3 0.5661 on the upside and S1 0.5579 / S2 0.5562 / S3 0.5539 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

NZD/USD finishes the day the annual support is under watch — a close below would reset the technical outlook bearish. The 52-week range of 0.5576–0.6092 places the pair at the 4th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

NZD/USDRangeboundNear 52W Low

USD/CAD

1.4242 ▼0.08% Day H 1.4277 / L 1.4239 52W 1.3480–1.4293

USD/CAD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
1.43651.43231.42881.42111.41681.4134

End-of-day snapshot for USD/CAD: closing at 1.4242 (-0.08% on the day), just 0.36% below its 52-week high of 1.4293. Today's full-session range of 1.4239–1.4277 (0.0037 points). The daily close below the pivot (1.4245) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 1.4288 / R2 1.4323 / R3 1.4365 on the upside and S1 1.4211 / S2 1.4168 / S3 1.4134 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/CAD finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 1.3480–1.4293 places the pair at the 94th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/CADRangeboundNear 52W High

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Cross Pairs

EUR/GBP

0.8473 ▲0.03% Day H 0.8486 / L 0.8465 52W 0.8447–0.8865

EUR/GBP candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
0.85230.85030.84870.84510.84310.8414

End-of-day snapshot for EUR/GBP: closing at 0.8473 (+0.03% on the day), just 0.31% above its 52-week floor at 0.8447. Today's full-session range of 0.8465–0.8486 (0.0022 points). The daily close above the pivot (0.8467) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 0.8487 / R2 0.8503 / R3 0.8523 on the upside and S1 0.8451 / S2 0.8431 / S3 0.8414 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

EUR/GBP finishes the day the annual support is under watch — a close below would reset the technical outlook bearish. The 52-week range of 0.8447–0.8865 places the pair at the 6th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

EUR/GBPRangeboundNear 52W Low

EUR/JPY

177.02 ▲0.04% Day H 177.31 / L 176.52 52W 175.24–187.94

EUR/JPY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
179.74179.02177.98176.22175.50174.46

End-of-day snapshot for EUR/JPY: closing at 177.02 (+0.04% on the day), just 1.02% above its 52-week floor at 175.24. Today's full-session range of 176.52–177.31 (0.79 points). The daily close below the pivot (177.26) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 177.98 / R2 179.02 / R3 179.74 on the upside and S1 176.22 / S2 175.50 / S3 174.46 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

EUR/JPY finishes the day the annual support is under watch — a close below would reset the technical outlook bearish. The 52-week range of 175.24–187.94 places the pair at the 14th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

EUR/JPYRangeboundNear 52W Low

GBP/JPY

208.92 ▲0.05% Day H 209.05 / L 208.19 52W 199.06–219.60

GBP/JPY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
211.32210.75209.79208.26207.70206.74

End-of-day snapshot for GBP/JPY: closing at 208.92 (+0.05% on the day), at the 48th percentile of its 199.06–219.60 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 208.19–209.05 (0.86 points). The daily close below the pivot (209.23) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 209.79 / R2 210.75 / R3 211.32 on the upside and S1 208.26 / S2 207.70 / S3 206.74 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

GBP/JPY finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 199.06–219.60 places the pair at the 48th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

GBP/JPYRangebound

AUD/JPY

109.95 ▼0.07% Day H 110.15 / L 109.62 52W 97.58–114.95

AUD/JPY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
111.27110.95110.49109.71109.40108.94

End-of-day snapshot for AUD/JPY: closing at 109.95 (-0.07% on the day), at the 71th percentile of its 97.58–114.95 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 109.62–110.15 (0.53 points). The daily close below the pivot (110.18) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 110.49 / R2 110.95 / R3 111.27 on the upside and S1 109.71 / S2 109.40 / S3 108.94 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

AUD/JPY finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 97.58–114.95 places the pair at the 71th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

AUD/JPYRangebound

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Nordic Pairs

USD/NOK

9.573 ▲0.08% Day H 9.594 / L 9.556 52W 9.144–10.297

USD/NOK candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
9.6769.6399.6029.5279.4909.453

End-of-day snapshot for USD/NOK: closing at 9.573 (+0.08% on the day), at the 37th percentile of its 9.144–10.297 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 9.556–9.594 (0.038 points). The daily close above the pivot (9.564) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 9.602 / R2 9.639 / R3 9.676 on the upside and S1 9.527 / S2 9.490 / S3 9.453 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/NOK finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 9.144–10.297 places the pair at the 37th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/NOKRangebound

USD/SEK

9.989 ▼0.13% Day H 10.030 / L 9.976 52W 8.737–10.105

USD/SEK candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
10.13710.09510.0499.9619.9199.873

End-of-day snapshot for USD/SEK: closing at 9.989 (-0.13% on the day), just 1.16% below its 52-week high of 10.105. Today's full-session range of 9.976–10.030 (0.055 points). The daily close below the pivot (10.007) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 10.049 / R2 10.095 / R3 10.137 on the upside and S1 9.961 / S2 9.919 / S3 9.873 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/SEK finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 8.737–10.105 places the pair at the 92th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/SEKRangeboundNear 52W High

EUR/NOK

10.718 ▲0.05% Day H 10.731 / L 10.695 52W 10.673–12.012

EUR/NOK candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
10.81410.78510.74810.68310.65410.617

End-of-day snapshot for EUR/NOK: closing at 10.718 (+0.05% on the day), just 0.42% above its 52-week floor at 10.673. Today's full-session range of 10.695–10.731 (0.036 points). The daily close below the pivot (10.719) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 10.748 / R2 10.785 / R3 10.814 on the upside and S1 10.683 / S2 10.654 / S3 10.617 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

EUR/NOK finishes the day the annual support is under watch — a close below would reset the technical outlook bearish. The 52-week range of 10.673–12.012 places the pair at the 3th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

EUR/NOKRangeboundNear 52W Low

NOK/SEK

1.0430 ▼0.12% Day H 1.0466 / L 1.0411 52W 0.9064–1.0497

NOK/SEK candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
1.05641.05311.04871.04091.03761.0332

End-of-day snapshot for NOK/SEK: closing at 1.0430 (-0.12% on the day), just 0.65% below its 52-week high of 1.0497. Today's full-session range of 1.0411–1.0466 (0.0055 points). The daily close below the pivot (1.0453) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 1.0487 / R2 1.0531 / R3 1.0564 on the upside and S1 1.0409 / S2 1.0376 / S3 1.0332 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

NOK/SEK finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 0.9064–1.0497 places the pair at the 95th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

NOK/SEKRangeboundNear 52W High

Exotic Pairs

USD/TRY

49.212 ▲0.13% Day H 49.216 / L 49.133 52W 41.618–49.216

USD/TRY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
49.35949.27849.21449.07048.98948.925

End-of-day snapshot for USD/TRY: closing at 49.212 (+0.13% on the day), just 0.01% below its 52-week high of 49.216. Today's full-session range of 49.133–49.216 (0.083 points). The daily close above the pivot (49.134) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 49.214 / R2 49.278 / R3 49.359 on the upside and S1 49.070 / S2 48.989 / S3 48.925 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/TRY finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 41.618–49.216 places the pair at the 100th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/TRYRangeboundNear 52W High

USD/MXN

17.969 ▼0.04% Day H 18.066 / L 17.932 52W 16.855–18.768

USD/MXN candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
18.27718.19918.08717.89817.82017.709

End-of-day snapshot for USD/MXN: closing at 17.969 (-0.04% on the day), at the 58th percentile of its 16.855–18.768 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 17.932–18.066 (0.134 points). The daily close below the pivot (18.009) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 18.087 / R2 18.199 / R3 18.277 on the upside and S1 17.898 / S2 17.820 / S3 17.709 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/MXN finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 16.855–18.768 places the pair at the 58th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/MXNRangebound

USD/ZAR

16.61 ▼0.01% Day H 16.72 / L 16.60 52W 15.64–17.57

USD/ZAR candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
16.9516.8416.7216.5016.3916.28

End-of-day snapshot for USD/ZAR: closing at 16.61 (-0.01% on the day), at the 50th percentile of its 15.64–17.57 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 16.60–16.72 (0.12 points). The daily close below the pivot (16.61) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 16.72 / R2 16.84 / R3 16.95 on the upside and S1 16.50 / S2 16.39 / S3 16.28 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/ZAR finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 15.64–17.57 places the pair at the 50th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/ZARRangebound

USD/PLN

3.9103 ▲0.18% Day H 3.9201 / L 3.9022 52W 3.4750–3.9298

USD/PLN candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
3.98263.95393.92863.87473.84603.8207

End-of-day snapshot for USD/PLN: closing at 3.9103 (+0.18% on the day), just 0.50% below its 52-week high of 3.9298. Today's full-session range of 3.9022–3.9201 (0.0179 points). The daily close above the pivot (3.9000) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 3.9286 / R2 3.9539 / R3 3.9826 on the upside and S1 3.8747 / S2 3.8460 / S3 3.8207 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/PLN finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 3.4750–3.9298 places the pair at the 96th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/PLNRangeboundNear 52W High

Informational purposes only — not investment advice. Pivot levels computed from yesterday's session OHLC via standard floor-pivot formula. Prices sourced from MetaTrader 5 as of Thursday 08 October 2026 evening (20:30 CET). Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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