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Forex

FX Evening Briefing — Tue 06 Oct 2026: USD/ZAR Closes Lower 0.61% — Asian Session Preview

MarketsFN FX Desk

•10 min read
FX Evening Briefing — Tue 06 Oct 2026: USD/ZAR Closes Lower 0.61% — Asian Session Preview

Evening wrap-up for Tuesday 06 October 2026: as European markets close and the US session enters its final hours, G10 and emerging FX markets are closing with 12 pairs higher and 7 lower on the day. The standout movers are USD/ZAR (-0.61%), USD/MXN (-0.53%), GBP/JPY (+0.49%). End-of-day flows — institutional rebalancing, month-end positioning and any late US data surprises — are the main drivers for tonight's Asian handoff.

This evening briefing includes the full day's economic calendar with all released actuals, final intraday pivot levels, and updated candlestick charts for all 19 pairs. Pivot levels will reset at tomorrow's EU open based on today's completed daily bars.

All pivot levels (R1 R2 R3 / S1 S2 S3) are computed from yesterday's full-session OHLC. Asian session key levels and carry trade dynamics are highlighted in each pair's analysis below.

Today's Economic Calendar — Full Day Results

Time (UTC)EventCCYPreviousForecastActual
03:35● 10-Year JGB AuctionJPY2.995%—3.101%
06:00● German Factory Orders (MoM) (Aug)EUR3.2%-0.9%-10.6%
08:30● BoE MPC Member Mann SpeaksGBP———
08:30● S&P Global Construction PMI (Sep)GBP44.345.046.1
11:40● German Buba Vice President Buch SpeaksEUR———
12:14● ADP Employment Change WeeklyUSD20.00K—22.50K
12:15● ADP Employment Change WeeklyUSD22.50K—23.80K
12:30● Exports (Aug)USD310.70B—315.20B
12:30● Imports (Aug)USD399.30B—420.80B
12:30● Trade Balance (Aug)USD-92.80B-100.80B-105.60B
12:30● Trade Balance (Aug)CAD0.79B1.50B4.20B
13:00● ECB's Elderson SpeaksEUR———
13:05● FOMC Member Williams SpeaksUSD———
14:00● Ivey PMI (Sep)CAD64.365.258.2
14:45● FOMC Member Bowman SpeaksUSD———
15:00● Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3)USD3.7%3.7%3.7%
16:00● EIA Short-Term Energy OutlookUSD———
17:00● 3-Year Note AuctionUSD4.474%—4.932%
20:30● API Weekly Crude Oil StockUSD1.019M——

Major Pairs

EUR/USD

1.1260 ▲0.35% Day H 1.1277 / L 1.1202 52W 1.1161–1.2082

EUR/USD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
1.13671.13141.12671.11671.11141.1067

End-of-day snapshot for EUR/USD: closing at 1.1260 (+0.35% on the day), just 0.89% above its 52-week floor at 1.1161. Today's full-session range of 1.1202–1.1277 (0.0074 points). The daily close above the pivot (1.1214) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 1.1267 / R2 1.1314 / R3 1.1367 on the upside and S1 1.1167 / S2 1.1114 / S3 1.1067 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

EUR/USD finishes the day the annual support is under watch — a close below would reset the technical outlook bearish. The 52-week range of 1.1161–1.2082 places the pair at the 11th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

EUR/USDBullishNear 52W Low

GBP/USD

1.3273 ▲0.40% Day H 1.3285 / L 1.3200 52W 1.3009–1.3868

GBP/USD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
1.33101.32801.32501.31901.31591.3130

End-of-day snapshot for GBP/USD: closing at 1.3273 (+0.40% on the day), at the 31th percentile of its 1.3009–1.3868 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 1.3200–1.3285 (0.0084 points). The daily close above the pivot (1.3220) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 1.3250 / R2 1.3280 / R3 1.3310 on the upside and S1 1.3190 / S2 1.3159 / S3 1.3130 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

GBP/USD finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 1.3009–1.3868 places the pair at the 31th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

GBP/USDBullishAbove R1

USD/JPY

158.16 ▲0.17% Day H 158.24 / L 157.76 52W 149.37–163.98

USD/JPY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
159.17158.73158.31157.45157.01156.59

End-of-day snapshot for USD/JPY: closing at 158.16 (+0.17% on the day), at the 60th percentile of its 149.37–163.98 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 157.76–158.24 (0.48 points). The daily close above the pivot (157.87) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 158.31 / R2 158.73 / R3 159.17 on the upside and S1 157.45 / S2 157.01 / S3 156.59 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/JPY finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 149.37–163.98 places the pair at the 60th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/JPYRangebound

USD/CHF

0.8313 ▲0.13% Day H 0.8326 / L 0.8297 52W 0.7602–0.8382

USD/CHF candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
0.83720.83480.83250.82790.82540.8232

End-of-day snapshot for USD/CHF: closing at 0.8313 (+0.13% on the day), just 0.82% below its 52-week high of 0.8382. Today's full-session range of 0.8297–0.8326 (0.0029 points). The daily close above the pivot (0.8301) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 0.8325 / R2 0.8348 / R3 0.8372 on the upside and S1 0.8279 / S2 0.8254 / S3 0.8232 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/CHF finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 0.7602–0.8382 places the pair at the 91th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/CHFRangeboundNear 52W High

AUD/USD

0.6983 ▲0.19% Day H 0.6989 / L 0.6961 52W 0.6421–0.7277

AUD/USD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
0.70260.69990.69840.69430.69170.6901

End-of-day snapshot for AUD/USD: closing at 0.6983 (+0.19% on the day), at the 66th percentile of its 0.6421–0.7277 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 0.6961–0.6989 (0.0028 points). The daily close above the pivot (0.6958) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 0.6984 / R2 0.6999 / R3 0.7026 on the upside and S1 0.6943 / S2 0.6917 / S3 0.6901 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

AUD/USD finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 0.6421–0.7277 places the pair at the 66th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

AUD/USDRangebound

NZD/USD

0.5621 ▲0.41% Day H 0.5627 / L 0.5588 52W 0.5576–0.6092

NZD/USD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
0.56590.56400.56190.55780.55580.5538

End-of-day snapshot for NZD/USD: closing at 0.5621 (+0.41% on the day), just 0.81% above its 52-week floor at 0.5576. Today's full-session range of 0.5588–0.5627 (0.0039 points). The daily close above the pivot (0.5599) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 0.5619 / R2 0.5640 / R3 0.5659 on the upside and S1 0.5578 / S2 0.5558 / S3 0.5538 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

NZD/USD finishes the day the annual support is under watch — a close below would reset the technical outlook bearish. The 52-week range of 0.5576–0.6092 places the pair at the 9th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

NZD/USDBullishAbove R1Near 52W Low

USD/CAD

1.4248 ▼0.07% Day H 1.4285 / L 1.4229 52W 1.3480–1.4293

USD/CAD candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
1.43441.43191.42881.42321.42071.4176

End-of-day snapshot for USD/CAD: closing at 1.4248 (-0.07% on the day), just 0.32% below its 52-week high of 1.4293. Today's full-session range of 1.4229–1.4285 (0.0055 points). The daily close below the pivot (1.4263) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 1.4288 / R2 1.4319 / R3 1.4344 on the upside and S1 1.4232 / S2 1.4207 / S3 1.4176 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/CAD finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 1.3480–1.4293 places the pair at the 94th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/CADRangeboundNear 52W High

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Cross Pairs

EUR/GBP

0.8480 ▼0.06% Day H 0.8493 / L 0.8476 52W 0.8454–0.8865

EUR/GBP candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
0.85530.85280.85070.84610.84360.8414

End-of-day snapshot for EUR/GBP: closing at 0.8480 (-0.06% on the day), just 0.31% above its 52-week floor at 0.8454. Today's full-session range of 0.8476–0.8493 (0.0017 points). The daily close below the pivot (0.8482) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 0.8507 / R2 0.8528 / R3 0.8553 on the upside and S1 0.8461 / S2 0.8436 / S3 0.8414 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

EUR/GBP finishes the day the annual support is under watch — a close below would reset the technical outlook bearish. The 52-week range of 0.8454–0.8865 places the pair at the 6th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

EUR/GBPRangeboundNear 52W Low

EUR/JPY

177.87 ▲0.39% Day H 178.33 / L 177.02 52W 174.81–187.94

EUR/JPY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
179.46178.62177.90176.34175.49174.77

End-of-day snapshot for EUR/JPY: closing at 177.87 (+0.39% on the day), at the 23th percentile of its 174.81–187.94 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 177.02–178.33 (1.31 points). The daily close above the pivot (177.05) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 177.90 / R2 178.62 / R3 179.46 on the upside and S1 176.34 / S2 175.49 / S3 174.77 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

EUR/JPY finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 174.81–187.94 places the pair at the 23th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

EUR/JPYBullish

GBP/JPY

209.74 ▲0.49% Day H 210.04 / L 208.59 52W 199.06–219.60

GBP/JPY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
210.36209.83209.28208.20207.67207.12

End-of-day snapshot for GBP/JPY: closing at 209.74 (+0.49% on the day), at the 52th percentile of its 199.06–219.60 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 208.59–210.04 (1.45 points). The daily close above the pivot (208.75) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 209.28 / R2 209.83 / R3 210.36 on the upside and S1 208.20 / S2 207.67 / S3 207.12 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

GBP/JPY finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 199.06–219.60 places the pair at the 52th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

GBP/JPYBullishAbove R1

AUD/JPY

110.33 ▲0.25% Day H 110.48 / L 109.91 52W 96.25–114.95

AUD/JPY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
111.11110.64110.35109.58109.12108.82

End-of-day snapshot for AUD/JPY: closing at 110.33 (+0.25% on the day), at the 75th percentile of its 96.25–114.95 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 109.91–110.48 (0.57 points). The daily close above the pivot (109.88) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 110.35 / R2 110.64 / R3 111.11 on the upside and S1 109.58 / S2 109.12 / S3 108.82 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

AUD/JPY finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 96.25–114.95 places the pair at the 75th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

AUD/JPYRangebound

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Nordic Pairs

USD/NOK

9.566 ▼0.17% Day H 9.619 / L 9.542 52W 9.144–10.297

USD/NOK candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
9.7589.7199.6519.5439.5049.436

End-of-day snapshot for USD/NOK: closing at 9.566 (-0.17% on the day), at the 37th percentile of its 9.144–10.297 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 9.542–9.619 (0.077 points). The daily close below the pivot (9.611) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 9.651 / R2 9.719 / R3 9.758 on the upside and S1 9.543 / S2 9.504 / S3 9.436 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/NOK finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 9.144–10.297 places the pair at the 37th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/NOKRangebound

USD/SEK

9.993 ▼0.33% Day H 10.058 / L 9.965 52W 8.737–10.105

USD/SEK candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
10.19710.15110.0899.9819.9359.872

End-of-day snapshot for USD/SEK: closing at 9.993 (-0.33% on the day), just 1.13% below its 52-week high of 10.105. Today's full-session range of 9.965–10.058 (0.093 points). The daily close below the pivot (10.043) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 10.089 / R2 10.151 / R3 10.197 on the upside and S1 9.981 / S2 9.935 / S3 9.872 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/SEK finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 8.737–10.105 places the pair at the 92th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/SEKBearishNear 52W High

EUR/NOK

10.763 ▲0.09% Day H 10.788 / L 10.713 52W 10.673–12.012

EUR/NOK candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
10.90210.86610.81010.71810.68210.626

End-of-day snapshot for EUR/NOK: closing at 10.763 (+0.09% on the day), just 0.85% above its 52-week floor at 10.673. Today's full-session range of 10.713–10.788 (0.075 points). The daily close below the pivot (10.774) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 10.810 / R2 10.866 / R3 10.902 on the upside and S1 10.718 / S2 10.682 / S3 10.626 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

EUR/NOK finishes the day the annual support is under watch — a close below would reset the technical outlook bearish. The 52-week range of 10.673–12.012 places the pair at the 7th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

EUR/NOKRangeboundNear 52W Low

NOK/SEK

1.0440 ▲0.02% Day H 1.0470 / L 1.0419 52W 0.9064–1.0491

NOK/SEK candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
1.06201.05481.04931.03671.02951.0240

End-of-day snapshot for NOK/SEK: closing at 1.0440 (+0.02% on the day), just 0.49% below its 52-week high of 1.0491. Today's full-session range of 1.0419–1.0470 (0.0050 points). The daily close above the pivot (1.0421) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 1.0493 / R2 1.0548 / R3 1.0620 on the upside and S1 1.0367 / S2 1.0295 / S3 1.0240 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

NOK/SEK finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 0.9064–1.0491 places the pair at the 96th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

NOK/SEKRangeboundNear 52W High

Exotic Pairs

USD/TRY

49.178 ▲0.28% Day H 49.178 / L 49.007 52W 41.618–49.178

USD/TRY candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
49.71249.43649.23748.76348.48848.289

End-of-day snapshot for USD/TRY: closing at 49.178 (+0.28% on the day), just 0.00% below its 52-week high of 49.178. Today's full-session range of 49.007–49.178 (0.171 points). The daily close above the pivot (48.962) signals bullish continuation into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 49.237 / R2 49.436 / R3 49.712 on the upside and S1 48.763 / S2 48.488 / S3 48.289 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/TRY finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 41.618–49.178 places the pair at the 100th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/TRYRangeboundNear 52W High

USD/MXN

17.976 ▼0.53% Day H 18.098 / L 17.908 52W 16.855–18.768

USD/MXN candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
18.39618.32818.20018.00317.93517.807

End-of-day snapshot for USD/MXN: closing at 17.976 (-0.53% on the day), at the 59th percentile of its 16.855–18.768 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 17.908–18.098 (0.190 points). The daily close below the pivot (18.131) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 18.200 / R2 18.328 / R3 18.396 on the upside and S1 18.003 / S2 17.935 / S3 17.807 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/MXN finishes the day the pair is closing in the upper half of its annual range, a constructive sign for bulls. The 52-week range of 16.855–18.768 places the pair at the 59th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/MXNBearishBelow S1

USD/ZAR

16.53 ▼0.61% Day H 16.66 / L 16.47 52W 15.64–17.57

USD/ZAR candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
16.8516.7916.7116.5816.5216.44

End-of-day snapshot for USD/ZAR: closing at 16.53 (-0.61% on the day), at the 46th percentile of its 15.64–17.57 52-week range. Today's full-session range of 16.47–16.66 (0.18 points). The daily close below the pivot (16.66) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 16.71 / R2 16.79 / R3 16.85 on the upside and S1 16.58 / S2 16.52 / S3 16.44 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/ZAR finishes the day the pair is ending the day in the lower half of its annual range, keeping bears in control. The 52-week range of 15.64–17.57 places the pair at the 46th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/ZARBearishBelow S1

USD/PLN

3.8827 ▼0.42% Day H 3.9105 / L 3.8691 52W 3.4750–3.9298

USD/PLN candlestick chart — SMA20 SMA50 BB
R3R2R1S1S2S3
3.99483.96233.93063.86653.83403.8023

End-of-day snapshot for USD/PLN: closing at 3.8827 (-0.42% on the day), just 1.21% below its 52-week high of 3.9298. Today's full-session range of 3.8691–3.9105 (0.0414 points). The daily close below the pivot (3.8981) signals bearish momentum into tomorrow's Asian open.

For tomorrow's Asian open, the key pivot reference levels remain: R1 3.9306 / R2 3.9623 / R3 3.9948 on the upside and S1 3.8665 / S2 3.8340 / S3 3.8023 on the downside. Asian session liquidity is typically thinner, so gaps through pivot levels should be monitored carefully.

USD/PLN finishes the day the trend is intact; bulls will target a break above the annual high on the next catalyst. The 52-week range of 3.4750–3.9298 places the pair at the 90th percentile. Key overnight risk: Asian economic data and any after-hours US developments that could reprice the USD complex before London re-opens.

USD/PLNBearishNear 52W High

Informational purposes only — not investment advice. Pivot levels computed from yesterday's session OHLC via standard floor-pivot formula. Prices sourced from MetaTrader 5 as of Tuesday 06 October 2026 evening (20:30 CET). Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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MarketsFN Team
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GBP/USD: Up 0.36% to 1.3268 — Descending Channel
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Forex

GBP/USD: Up 0.36% to 1.3268 — Descending Channel

MarketsFN Team
1 minOct 6, 2026